Expert-Portfolio — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

34.0%

Resolved

Trades

425

lifetime

Volume

$3.70K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-13

last 05-21 08:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Sports

46% 0% $-0

Crypto

39% — —

Other

12% 100% +$0

Politics

3% 0% $-0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	20	$144	73	73	+0	open	—	03-21 14:08
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	16	$130	86	86	+0	open	—	03-18 19:13
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	16	$120	60	60	+0	open	—	03-18 10:53
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?	16	$112	57	57	+0	open	—	03-10 03:48
Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	17	$110	56	56	+0	open	—	03-11 16:14
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?	14	$102	51	51	+0	open	—	03-12 11:08
Will the Golden State Warriors win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	13	$94	48	48	+0	open	—	03-11 09:55
Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?	12	$92	46	46	+0	open	—	03-18 11:11
Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	10	$86	44	44	+0	open	—	03-29 15:50
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	10	$76	38	38	+0	open	—	03-06 22:19
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	12	$72	36	36	+0	open	—	03-10 06:21
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	10	$68	35	35	+0	open	—	03-08 13:05
will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament	10	$64	33	33	+0	open	—	03-12 03:20
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	8	$60	30	30	+0	open	—	03-10 22:01
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	8	$59	41	41	+0	open	—	03-10 15:00
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	9	$50	26	26	+0	open	—	03-16 20:29
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	6	$48	25	24	+0	open	—	03-01 16:26
GTA VI released before June 2026?	6	$46	24	24	+0	open	—	03-05 08:35
Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League?	6	$44	22	22	+0	open	—	03-02 08:18
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	2	$42	50	50	+0	open	—	05-21 08:48
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$38	20	20	+0	No	$-0	03-19 03:17
Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	4	$36	20	20	+0	No	+$0	02-22 19:04
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	6	$36	19	19	+0	open	—	03-29 14:53
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	6	$36	19	19	+0	open	—	03-15 15:19
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	4	$34	27	27	+0	open	—	02-24 17:29
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$34	17	17	+0	open	—	03-01 20:29
bitcoin up or down march 6 4pm et	2	$30	15	15	+0	open	—	03-06 21:58
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	3	$23	16	7	+9	open	—	02-27 11:59
Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?	4	$22	11	11	+0	open	—	03-06 16:15
bitcoin up or down march 10 2pm et	2	$22	11	11	+0	open	—	03-10 18:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-21 08:48:22	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	No	SELL	50	40¢	$20	0x53aa14…
05-21 08:15:35	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 in May?	No	BUY	50	44¢	$22	0x27d8c5…
05-20 02:12:34	Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	13	18¢	$2	0xc6f5a7…
05-20 02:11:55	Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0xc4e5c9…
05-19 23:52:29	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?	Yes	SELL	35	6¢	$2	0xc5a127…
05-19 22:25:07	Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	SELL	2	35¢	$1	0x4da38d…
05-19 18:33:59	Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0x77edea…
05-19 18:33:20	Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xccfbf0…
05-19 15:39:20	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?	Yes	SELL	15	10¢	$2	0xb78cab…
05-19 13:29:36	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?	Yes	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0x283f22…
05-18 12:20:31	Will Deere Q2 revenue be above $11.5B?	No	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0x59b8ee…
05-16 20:07:19	Will Deere Q2 revenue be above $11.5B?	No	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x974c07…
03-29 15:50:26	Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x9d3701…
03-29 15:35:12	Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x1b8670…
03-29 14:53:00	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x15e1e1…
03-29 14:37:48	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x513958…
03-29 14:34:26	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x0fc09f…
03-29 14:19:08	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x7b184c…
03-29 13:03:22	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xdc2fbb…
03-29 12:48:06	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1803e9…
03-29 11:35:30	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0x27a3bb…
03-29 11:32:24	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0xd7efb7…
03-21 14:08:49	Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xbb36f6…
03-21 09:21:31	Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc3a10f…
03-19 12:25:09	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	16	62¢	$10	0xaad306…
03-19 05:59:39	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xa2b247…
03-19 03:17:01	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	9	97¢	$9	0x727fbb…
03-19 02:58:31	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x6446ae…
03-19 02:06:49	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0xbb548e…
03-19 02:06:39	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	7	89¢	$6	0x2f2cea…
03-19 01:42:59	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	9	89¢	$8	0x92cd8d…
03-18 22:45:17	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	7	95¢	$7	0xdf7830…
03-18 22:26:37	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0x85bc10…
03-18 19:13:33	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0xd777e7…
03-18 16:54:45	Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x53369b…
03-18 16:39:39	Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xea5cf9…
03-18 15:57:59	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xc78fe8…
03-18 15:39:23	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x19fe5d…
03-18 11:11:35	Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xc1d2f6…
03-18 11:08:31	Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9d7b58…
03-18 10:53:29	Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x0c7158…
03-18 10:38:23	Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd3d63d…
03-17 03:58:33	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xdfef29…
03-16 22:45:15	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0x66b93d…
03-16 22:26:41	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x5cf8df…
03-16 20:29:35	Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	No	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0x23c3db…
03-16 20:10:59	Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	No	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0xbbb1fe…
03-16 15:39:37	Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x3ea7cb…
03-16 15:24:31	Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x779b8a…
03-16 09:11:03	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x0866cd…
03-16 08:52:33	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xdf7e21…
03-16 05:46:29	Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xc92456…
03-16 05:46:27	Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	No	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0xff5fec…
03-16 04:51:05	Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xab6c98…
03-16 00:52:43	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0x93e453…
03-16 00:49:37	will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xa7b0f2…
03-15 15:19:31	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	7	95¢	$7	0x7aae7e…
03-15 15:00:53	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0x017302…
03-15 03:54:11	bitcoin up or down march 14 11pm et	Down	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x318619…
03-15 02:50:05	bitcoin up or down march 14 10pm et	Up	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xac4923…
03-15 00:50:41	bitcoin up or down march 14 8pm et	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x045451…
03-14 23:50:05	bitcoin up or down march 14 7pm et	Up	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x0eb82e…
03-14 22:56:01	bitcoin up or down march 14 6pm et	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x198229…
03-14 20:50:07	bitcoin up or down march 14 4pm et	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xf43e02…
03-14 16:54:21	bitcoin up or down march 14 12pm et	Up	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xee1f9e…
03-14 14:54:27	bitcoin up or down march 14 10am et	Down	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x640421…
03-14 11:50:09	bitcoin up or down march 14 7am et	Up	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x49bd9f…
03-14 06:50:07	bitcoin up or down march 14 2am et	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x208128…
03-14 03:50:09	bitcoin up or down march 13 11pm et	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x32306f…
03-14 00:50:05	bitcoin up or down march 13 8pm et	Down	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xa3a353…
03-13 23:50:09	bitcoin up or down march 13 7pm et	Up	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0x648052…
03-13 21:53:51	bitcoin up or down march 13 5pm et	Down	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x55cf97…
03-13 20:53:01	bitcoin up or down march 13 4pm et	Up	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x57beea…
03-13 19:56:17	bitcoin up or down march 13 3pm et	Up	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x58ca6f…
03-13 16:55:05	bitcoin up or down march 13 12pm et	Up	BUY	16	97¢	$16	0xa019e4…
03-13 15:54:39	bitcoin up or down march 13 11am et	Down	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xe59193…
03-13 14:50:05	bitcoin up or down march 13 10am et	Down	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xc8e487…
03-13 13:50:05	bitcoin up or down march 13 9am et	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xbabf54…
03-13 11:50:19	bitcoin up or down march 13 7am et	Down	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x6e3c3f…
03-13 10:50:05	bitcoin up or down march 13 6am et	Up	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x6a0581…
03-13 08:50:05	bitcoin up or down march 13 4am et	Up	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0x546560…
03-13 07:50:07	bitcoin up or down march 13 3am et	Up	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xe3464c…
03-13 06:50:05	bitcoin up or down march 13 2am et	Down	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xbfc303…
03-13 05:50:07	bitcoin up or down march 13 1am et	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x498ca2…
03-13 01:54:15	bitcoin up or down march 12 9pm et	Up	BUY	15	91¢	$14	0x4572f4…
03-13 00:50:05	bitcoin up or down march 12 8pm et	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2c2e1d…
03-12 23:50:05	bitcoin up or down march 12 7pm et	Up	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x87caef…
03-12 22:50:05	bitcoin up or down march 12 6pm et	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xb80bc9…
03-12 21:50:05	bitcoin up or down march 12 5pm et	Up	BUY	14	96¢	$13	0x919dc3…
03-12 19:50:05	bitcoin up or down march 12 3pm et	Up	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x643755…
03-12 18:50:11	bitcoin up or down march 12 2pm et	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x810f95…
03-12 17:54:43	bitcoin up or down march 12 1pm et	Down	BUY	14	91¢	$13	0x38e48d…
03-12 15:50:07	bitcoin up or down march 12 11am et	Up	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xc6b26a…
03-12 14:50:05	bitcoin up or down march 12 10am et	Down	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0x62f755…
03-12 12:57:27	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	11	81¢	$9	0x3e8ac5…
03-12 12:50:13	bitcoin up or down march 12 8am et	Up	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x8d038b…
03-12 12:38:57	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	11	82¢	$9	0x1c80fd…
03-12 11:50:03	bitcoin up or down march 12 7am et	Up	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0xb60f4a…
03-12 11:08:23	Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x5f1011…
03-12 10:53:15	Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf332eb…