Antique-Derby — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$61

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

51.2%

Resolved

Trades

3,786

lifetime

Volume

$10.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-28

last 06-09 12:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 39% $-61

Politics

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

48 active days in 12wk • peak 189 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Yes		-39	$-0	1¢	$-0	+$0	05-28 19:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1775151600	7	$98	120	60	+60	open	—	04-02 17:46
btc updown 5m 1775065800	4	$97	82	79	+3	open	—	04-01 17:54
btc updown 5m 1774732800	5	$73	59	49	+11	open	—	03-28 21:25
btc updown 5m 1775236500	2	$62	50	48	+2	open	—	04-03 17:16
btc updown 5m 1775150700	2	$62	36	35	+1	open	—	04-02 17:29
btc updown 5m 1775657400	1	$59	103	0	+103	open	—	04-08 14:10
btc updown 5m 1775217000	3	$31	60	0	+60	open	—	04-03 11:52
btc updown 5m 1775214900	2	$30	100	0	+100	open	—	04-03 11:19
btc updown 5m 1775064600	2	$28	60	0	+60	open	—	04-01 17:31
btc updown 5m 1775194800	2	$27	60	0	+60	open	—	04-03 05:41
btc updown 5m 1775211600	3	$27	80	0	+80	open	—	04-03 10:22
btc updown 5m 1775656500	1	$25	44	0	+44	open	—	04-08 13:55
btc updown 5m 1775315100	3	$24	20	19	+1	open	—	04-04 15:08
btc updown 5m 1775308500	5	$20	60	0	+60	open	—	04-04 13:19
btc updown 5m 1775216400	2	$20	80	0	+80	open	—	04-03 11:43
btc updown 5m 1775311500	2	$19	60	0	+60	open	—	04-04 14:09
btc updown 5m 1775489700	1	$19	35	0	+35	open	—	04-06 15:35
btc updown 5m 1775151000	10	$18	70	0	+70	open	—	04-02 17:33
btc updown 5m 1775310900	2	$17	30	0	+30	open	—	04-04 13:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	7	$16	20	17	+4	Up	+$4	05-10 22:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	Up	+$5	05-10 22:32
btc updown 5m 1775312700	1	$14	25	0	+25	open	—	04-04 14:25
btc updown 5m 1775314500	1	$14	25	0	+25	open	—	04-04 14:55
btc updown 5m 1775314200	1	$14	25	0	+25	open	—	04-04 14:50
btc updown 5m 1775483400	1	$14	25	0	+25	open	—	04-06 13:50
btc updown 5m 1775563800	1	$14	25	0	+25	open	—	04-07 12:10
btc updown 5m 1775150400	2	$14	30	0	+30	open	—	04-02 17:20
btc updown 5m 1775313300	1	$14	25	0	+25	open	—	04-04 14:35
btc updown 5m 1775483700	1	$14	25	0	+25	open	—	04-06 13:55
btc updown 5m 1775313600	1	$14	25	0	+25	open	—	04-04 14:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 12:15:34	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 11am et	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x428a13…
06-09 12:15:09	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x154519…
06-09 12:14:48	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa1af21…
06-09 12:14:12	btc updown 4h 1781006400	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x9e8826…
06-08 12:49:30	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 10am et	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xd79543…
06-08 12:49:12	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xeeb43c…
06-08 12:48:28	bitcoin up or down june 8 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x772d52…
06-08 12:47:31	btc updown 4h 1780920000	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x23fd71…
06-06 12:28:18	bitcoin up or down june 6 2026 9am et	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xfa11c9…
06-06 12:27:48	bitcoin up or down june 6 2026 8am et	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x1ceb5d…
06-06 12:27:01	btc updown 4h 1780747200	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xb716dc…
06-05 17:13:36	bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x5e5a6c…
06-05 17:13:01	bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xd17760…
06-05 17:10:49	btc updown 4h 1780675200	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x0d8463…
06-04 16:53:31	btc updown 15m 1780591500	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x3bea07…
06-04 16:52:55	bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xba6bec…
06-04 16:52:40	bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x23bfbb…
06-03 17:43:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x285dd2…
06-03 17:41:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x1641d1…
06-03 11:39:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x6be699…
06-03 11:37:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x0af30a…
06-02 20:47:48	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x8aaa0b…
06-02 17:08:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x67108e…
06-02 17:03:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x3b93e3…
06-02 16:54:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xef9e51…
06-02 11:29:44	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0x11e262…
06-02 11:29:30	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xf27791…
06-01 17:17:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc1c30a…
06-01 15:47:24	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x70de38…
06-01 13:30:44	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xd4fb65…
06-01 12:44:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xa494c9…
06-01 12:44:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x9ecc91…
05-31 17:34:59	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x54f382…
05-28 19:05:33	Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	39	1¢	$0	0x5e16fc…
05-28 12:55:26	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xe93680…
05-28 12:47:45	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	No	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xb062ba…
05-12 02:50:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xc23164…
05-12 02:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xd71e1f…
05-12 02:46:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xc69df4…
05-12 02:42:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x19df86…
05-12 02:20:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xbcff9f…
05-12 02:05:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xfd5dd7…
05-12 01:55:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xa65718…
05-12 01:46:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x93f72f…
05-12 01:40:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xef0a5c…
05-12 01:26:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x4b9943…
05-12 01:06:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xcc3e91…
05-12 00:55:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x4752ff…
05-12 00:51:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xa9b497…
05-12 00:40:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xa1b01d…
05-12 00:38:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xa8770f…
05-12 00:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	22¢	$0	0xe8e352…
05-12 00:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	22¢	$1	0x4d98db…
05-12 00:24:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x2e89da…
05-11 22:50:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	57¢	$0	0x729f08…
05-11 22:50:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xa7c74e…
05-11 22:50:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x6891c5…
05-11 22:45:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xe896ac…
05-11 03:55:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xd54ac4…
05-11 03:50:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x565120…
05-11 03:45:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x2f1053…
05-11 03:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xb93052…
05-11 03:30:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x4dc763…
05-11 03:25:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x49e337…
05-11 03:20:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xb47219…
05-11 03:10:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xb54603…
05-11 03:05:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xcfe633…
05-11 03:00:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x7d0621…
05-11 02:56:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x9fe68e…
05-11 02:55:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x378fa4…
05-11 02:40:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x1f9ed1…
05-11 02:35:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x56511d…
05-11 02:05:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x04681b…
05-10 23:43:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x1abca8…
05-10 23:41:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x97de35…
05-10 23:37:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x037e5b…
05-10 23:36:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x97f6cd…
05-10 23:36:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xaa5948…
05-10 23:31:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xbd8e07…
05-10 23:29:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x83de2d…
05-10 23:22:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x076e16…
05-10 23:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x694099…
05-10 23:18:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x5f5281…
05-10 23:18:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0xf04d51…
05-10 23:13:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x3108ea…
05-10 23:12:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x152469…
05-10 23:11:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x741288…
05-10 23:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xf32f0c…
05-10 23:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xa9f8ca…
05-10 23:08:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xc1f39b…
05-10 23:06:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x05bfd7…
05-10 23:06:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xc254a7…
05-10 23:05:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xa8a280…
05-10 22:59:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x0b7c74…
05-10 22:58:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x603f0c…
05-10 22:58:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xb4f0fd…
05-10 22:58:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	SELL	15	27¢	$4	0x1288b9…
05-10 22:57:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x847401…
05-10 22:55:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x4920ba…
05-10 22:53:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	SELL	17	69¢	$11	0xbe12b6…