Untried-Nose-Elephant — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

85.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$145

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-07

last 06-21 18:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 62% $-0

Other

3% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes		-52	$-2	2¢	$-1	+$1	06-21 18:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	8	$51	53	53	+0	Down	+$11	05-09 19:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	4	$23	20	20	+0	Up	+$3	05-09 19:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	4	$23	16	16	+0	Down	+$3	05-09 19:26
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	2	$12	10	10	+0	Up	+$2	05-07 18:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	2	$10	10	10	+0	Down	+$0	05-10 07:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	1	$10	21	0	+21	Down	$-10	05-10 07:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	1	$5	56	0	+56	Up	$-5	05-07 17:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Down	$-5	05-10 07:56
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	1	$2	0	52	-52	open	—	06-21 18:46
Will "Kendrick" or "Lamar" be said on ICEMAN?	1	$2	7	0	+7	open	—	05-09 16:36
Will "Super Bowl" be said on ICEMAN?	1	$1	8	0	+8	open	—	05-09 08:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-21 18:46:07	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	52	4¢	$2	0xd07fdc…
05-10 07:56:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xfc0a99…
05-10 07:49:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xde3323…
05-10 07:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0x8e38dd…
05-10 07:44:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x0f40bf…
05-09 19:26:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	7	91¢	$6	0xdcc98b…
05-09 19:25:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xca192b…
05-09 19:25:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	10	74¢	$7	0x771926…
05-09 19:25:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xdc0ee3…
05-09 19:24:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	11	78¢	$8	0x08940a…
05-09 19:23:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x7622ae…
05-09 19:23:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x008907…
05-09 19:22:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xcef502…
05-09 19:22:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	18	45¢	$8	0x3f73a4…
05-09 19:22:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xe9ff47…
05-09 19:21:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	14	71¢	$10	0x4ab27f…
05-09 19:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x7a2c3d…
05-09 19:19:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0x50ceac…
05-09 19:19:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x6ddfac…
05-09 19:18:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	SELL	13	51¢	$7	0xcc5163…
05-09 19:16:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x8fd2c3…
05-09 16:36:16	Will "Kendrick" or "Lamar" be said on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x9ba3a0…
05-09 08:42:26	Will "Super Bowl" be said on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xb6c021…
05-07 18:01:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	10	72¢	$7	0x32d552…
05-07 18:00:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x15d307…
05-07 17:55:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xc78935…