Elliptical-Downfall — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

33.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$14.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$336

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-12

last 05-31 05:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

37% — —

Other

29% — —

Tech

20% — —

Crypto

10% 100% +$9

Sports

4% 0% $-2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	8	$3.5K	2,529	2,529	+0	open	—	05-09 08:52
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$1.6K	1,141	707	+434	open	—	04-25 04:06
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	3	$1.4K	1,135	375	+760	open	—	05-01 02:36
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	1	$1.3K	1,342	0	+1,342	open	—	04-27 14:20
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	4	$970	961	961	+0	open	—	05-13 03:53
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	4	$953	915	915	+0	open	—	05-13 03:53
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	3	$932	728	728	-0	open	—	05-13 03:52
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	3	$772	831	610	+221	open	—	04-27 14:15
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	3	$660	444	444	+0	open	—	05-12 12:00
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	2	$605	760	760	+0	open	—	05-23 07:00
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	2	$581	302	302	+0	open	—	04-27 14:10
si above 95 jan 2026	1	$412	3,033	0	+3,033	open	—	01-12 14:57
UFC 328: Roman Kopylov vs. Marco Tulio (Middleweight, Early Prelims)	2	$298	234	234	+0	Roman Kopylov	$-2	05-08 03:08
si above 120 jan 2026	1	$200	1,252	0	+1,252	open	—	01-26 08:45
UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)	2	$162	300	0	+300	open	—	04-27 14:18
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in May?	1	$150	159	0	+159	Yes	+$9	05-04 17:51
ufc dei uma 2026 01 24	1	$118	1,075	0	+1,075	open	—	01-24 08:30
Ebola pandemic in 2026?	1	$100	0	1,111	-1,111	open	—	05-31 05:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-31 05:53:12	Ebola pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,111	9¢	$100	0x61e0e1…
05-23 07:00:49	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	760	53¢	$405	0x1e4883…
05-18 12:10:32	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	760	26¢	$200	0xd8b299…
05-13 03:53:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	480	66¢	$317	0x8008d9…
05-13 03:53:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	302	55¢	$166	0x44721c…
05-13 03:52:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	SELL	364	75¢	$273	0xec454d…
05-12 14:48:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	613	55¢	$337	0xe480a0…
05-12 12:00:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	222	83¢	$184	0xf4b6d5…
05-12 10:43:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	436	57¢	$250	0xc9e1a2…
05-12 07:23:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	SELL	222	79¢	$176	0x1abcf0…
05-12 07:23:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	SELL	364	71¢	$258	0xab1de5…
05-12 07:22:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	480	58¢	$279	0xf9f365…
05-10 17:42:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	479	42¢	$200	0x4bf036…
05-10 17:41:35	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	Yes	BUY	728	55¢	$400	0x77d171…
05-10 17:41:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	No	BUY	444	68¢	$300	0x4d12cd…
05-09 08:52:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,029	72¢	$741	0x2e2a19…
05-09 03:27:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,029	69¢	$710	0xb51bac…
05-09 01:17:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	200	37¢	$74	0xbe486d…
05-09 01:13:47	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,029	65¢	$669	0x38ebf6…
05-08 04:01:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	761	39¢	$300	0x334b6b…
05-08 03:08:07	UFC 328: Roman Kopylov vs. Marco Tulio (Middleweight, Early Prelims)	Marco Tulio	SELL	234	63¢	$148	0x6a9443…
05-07 14:21:21	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	500	60¢	$300	0xd8b5cb…
05-04 17:51:02	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in May?	Yes	BUY	159	94¢	$150	0x905729…
05-04 17:49:40	UFC 328: Roman Kopylov vs. Marco Tulio (Middleweight, Early Prelims)	Marco Tulio	BUY	234	64¢	$150	0xedb49d…
05-04 17:48:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	176	85¢	$150	0x570982…
05-04 17:47:52	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	353	85¢	$300	0x7cd54b…
05-01 02:36:38	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	760	92¢	$700	0xc60fc1…
04-30 09:34:42	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	SELL	375	100¢	$373	0x60942b…
04-27 14:20:30	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,342	100¢	$1,340	0x56bac5…
04-27 14:18:40	UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)	Carlos Prates	BUY	150	54¢	$81	0xbb4b8b…
04-27 14:18:02	UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)	Carlos Prates	BUY	150	54¢	$81	0xc88d17…
04-27 14:15:48	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	BUY	200	55¢	$110	0xbbdadd…
04-27 14:10:38	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	302	99¢	$298	0x2a7b7f…
04-27 14:09:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	471	70¢	$329	0x124dc6…
04-25 04:07:50	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	471	67¢	$315	0x567589…
04-25 04:06:06	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	707	86¢	$608	0x59179b…
04-25 04:05:28	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	SELL	610	52¢	$317	0xcb4604…
04-25 03:11:54	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	375	92¢	$345	0x578034…
04-25 03:10:40	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	BUY	631	55¢	$345	0x5f465e…
04-25 03:02:42	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,141	88¢	$1,000	0x3c50ed…
04-25 02:30:08	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	302	94¢	$283	0x11ebb7…
01-26 08:45:17	si above 120 jan 2026	Yes	BUY	1,252	16¢	$200	0xf137fa…
01-24 08:30:34	ufc dei uma 2026 01 24	Figueiredo	BUY	1,075	11¢	$118	0xedcb2f…
01-12 14:57:34	si above 95 jan 2026	Yes	BUY	3,033	14¢	$412	0x330740…