Pastel-League — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$378

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-05

last 06-12 08:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

45% — —

Other

33% 100% +$1

Tech

13% — —

Crypto

9% 43% $-3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	2	$57	30	30	+0	open	—	05-11 01:07
Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	3	$53	55	35	+20	open	—	05-16 12:17
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	3	$48	27	27	+0	open	—	05-06 02:56
Will any of Trump’s sons attend Trump’s Xi summit?	1	$31	32	0	+32	Yes	+$1	05-12 23:26
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	1	$25	40	0	+40	open	—	06-12 08:23
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	1	$23	25	0	+25	open	—	06-09 13:49
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$20	21	0	+21	open	—	03-18 22:23
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	03-05 08:44
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	2	$18	11	11	+0	open	—	03-05 08:43
will trump say vance or rubio during address to the nation 473	2	$17	11	11	+0	open	—	04-02 02:38
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	2	$11	7	7	+0	open	—	05-06 02:57
will trump say six seven during address to the nation	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-02 02:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	1	$10	19	0	+19	Up	+$9	05-06 04:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	1	$5	12	0	+12	Down	$-5	05-06 03:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Up	$-5	05-06 03:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	1	$5	33	0	+33	Down	$-5	05-06 03:41
will trump say qatar during address to the nation 244 817	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	04-01 22:49
will trump say obama during address to the nation 925 698	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	04-01 22:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Up	+$3	05-06 03:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	2	$3	4	4	+0	Up	+$1	05-06 03:19
btc updown 5m 1775097300	1	$1	50	0	+50	open	—	04-02 02:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	1	$1	7	0	+7	Up	$-1	05-06 03:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 08:23:18	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	Yes	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x51f745…
06-09 13:49:27	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	92¢	$23	0xa7a471…
05-16 12:17:16	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	Yes	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xe964cd…
05-16 02:36:02	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	Yes	SELL	35	35¢	$12	0x4a67a5…
05-14 22:47:18	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	Yes	BUY	35	88¢	$31	0x0765ee…
05-12 23:26:33	Will any of Trump’s sons attend Trump’s Xi summit?	Yes	BUY	32	97¢	$31	0x9f3b7e…
05-11 01:07:29	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	SELL	30	97¢	$29	0x5003f8…
05-06 22:30:47	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	30	91¢	$28	0x92e108…
05-06 04:45:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x608b98…
05-06 03:41:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x9e36b4…
05-06 03:35:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x5028d1…
05-06 03:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x464e59…
05-06 03:23:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xfb4d4c…
05-06 03:19:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	SELL	4	61¢	$2	0xff9dd5…
05-06 03:18:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xb914da…
05-06 03:12:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xc82109…
05-06 02:57:02	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	SELL	7	92¢	$7	0x6d4cf2…
05-06 02:56:54	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	SELL	27	96¢	$26	0x028f9a…
04-14 14:05:01	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	BUY	14	82¢	$12	0x98282e…
04-13 00:05:29	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xa731f7…
04-13 00:05:27	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	Yes	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xae143d…
04-02 02:39:49	btc updown 5m 1775097300	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x7b94aa…
04-02 02:38:35	will trump say six seven during address to the nation	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x57cd28…
04-02 02:38:27	will trump say vance or rubio during address to the nation 473	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xcac51c…
04-01 22:52:01	will trump say vance or rubio during address to the nation 473	No	BUY	11	57¢	$6	0xb8ddc4…
04-01 22:49:35	will trump say qatar during address to the nation 244 817	No	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xec345d…
04-01 22:47:37	will trump say obama during address to the nation 925 698	No	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x1e21ab…
04-01 22:43:53	will trump say six seven during address to the nation	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x9960c1…
03-18 22:23:09	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x03c46b…
03-05 08:44:37	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xc52e66…
03-05 08:43:35	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	11	80¢	$9	0x137a53…
03-05 03:33:23	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	11	81¢	$9	0xcb0781…
03-05 02:57:29	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0xd6ecde…