Frugal-Camper-Carnival — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

66.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$189

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-02

last 07-11 23:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

45% — —

Crypto

32% 67% +$1

Other

13% — —

Sports

8% — —

Tech

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?	Yes		+12	$5	15¢	$2	$-3	06-01 12:45

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	2	$79	93	93	+0	open	—	05-04 02:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	05-04 02:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	2	$10	27	0	+27	open	—	06-01 13:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Up	$-5	05-05 05:33
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	1	$5	27	0	+27	open	—	05-23 17:56
will wti reach 80 in june 2026 from june 16	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	06-18 02:59
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	05-19 03:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	1	$5	16	0	+16	open	—	05-04 02:45
nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	1	$5	15	0	+15	open	—	06-11 03:21
ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	1	$5	19	0	+19	open	—	07-11 23:02
Will Solana dip to $80 in May?	1	$5	11	0	+11	open	—	05-23 17:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Up	+$4	05-05 05:36
Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	1	$5	15	0	+15	open	—	05-28 13:56
ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14 topuria win by ko tko	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	06-06 04:20
Will Bryan Johnson have sex again by May 31?	1	$5	22	0	+22	open	—	05-02 14:45
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	1	$5	12	0	+12	open	—	06-07 19:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	1	$5	12	0	+12	open	—	05-04 03:26
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?	1	$5	12	0	+12	open	—	06-01 12:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	Up	+$2	05-07 23:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	05-04 03:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-11 23:02:11	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Conor McGregor	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x026a3b…
06-18 02:59:10	will wti reach 80 in june 2026 from june 16	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xe64f4a…
06-11 03:21:19	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Knicks	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xb8bb24…
06-07 19:44:03	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xb7957a…
06-06 04:20:36	ufc jus3 ili1 2026 06 14 topuria win by ko tko	Yes	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x645ec3…
06-01 13:28:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xa189a9…
06-01 13:28:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x66c71c…
06-01 12:45:45	Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x15aa87…
05-28 13:56:28	Claude 4.8 released by May 31?	No	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x6b88d3…
05-23 17:56:08	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?	Yes	BUY	27	18¢	$5	0xf0854f…
05-23 17:44:42	Will Solana dip to $80 in May?	Yes	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x48a125…
05-19 03:49:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x30f527…
05-07 23:20:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x323e70…
05-05 05:36:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x2be790…
05-05 05:33:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xa0e6ae…
05-04 03:26:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xc80047…
05-04 03:07:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x5e4390…
05-04 02:54:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x7fcaa1…
05-04 02:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x148d21…
05-04 02:45:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xddc518…
05-04 02:38:50	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	No	SELL	93	80¢	$74	0x4abd68…
05-02 14:45:34	Will Bryan Johnson have sex again by May 31?	No	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x43eacf…
05-02 14:37:42	Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?	No	BUY	93	5¢	$5	0x3dd0ec…