Embellished-Postage — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$625

Unrealized P&L

-$51

Hit rate

44.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.44K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$69

Open exposure

$91

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-10 14:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

100% 75% $-625

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes		-332	$-39	26¢	$-88	$-49	05-10 14:06
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes		-5	$-1	57¢	$-3	$-1	05-09 20:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	2	$519	0	1,323	-1,323	Yes	$-804	05-06 20:15
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	8	$503	686	1,018	-332	open	—	05-10 14:06
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	2	$198	598	600	-2	No	+$90	05-08 07:05
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	6	$176	155	322	-166	No	+$46	05-06 20:05
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	2	$43	0	348	-348	No	+$43	05-05 10:46
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	1	$1	0	5	-5	open	—	05-09 20:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 14:06:55	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	28¢	$2	0x0920a7…
05-10 10:58:08	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	14	26¢	$4	0xa21491…
05-10 10:58:04	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	67	26¢	$17	0x732293…
05-10 08:33:36	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	629	24¢	$151	0xd96c33…
05-10 06:48:40	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	191	34¢	$65	0xf22058…
05-10 06:48:33	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	377	34¢	$128	0x89dd5b…
05-10 06:48:24	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	BUY	117	33¢	$39	0xbde2ca…
05-09 20:41:11	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	30¢	$1	0xa66da2…
05-09 15:30:07	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	Yes	SELL	300	32¢	$97	0x24bfb4…
05-08 07:05:18	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	598	9¢	$54	0x323315…
05-06 20:15:51	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	287	40¢	$115	0x17b810…
05-06 20:05:20	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x104d31…
05-06 19:54:50	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	152	41¢	$62	0x20a9ba…
05-06 17:51:11	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	42¢	$6	0x73fef0…
05-06 17:51:06	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	132	42¢	$56	0x7de536…
05-06 17:41:04	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,036	39¢	$404	0x707269…
05-06 16:38:48	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	40¢	$13	0x6deec4…
05-06 11:25:04	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	137	26¢	$35	0x4c4d92…
05-06 08:09:58	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	600	24¢	$144	0x47b5f8…
05-05 10:46:34	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	302	7¢	$20	0xe643f6…
05-04 22:44:58	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	SELL	47	48¢	$22	0xa4d6ef…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Courageous-Polish 0xc4d5…87cf	6	$15.7K	306	05-10 14:57
Far-Acid 0xf6e6…e0bb	6	$2.56K	17	05-09 14:33
Ondra 0x849c…4009	6	$761	23	05-10 13:11
Compassionate-Hardware 0xb4e9…f380	5	$5.22K	8	05-10 06:47
Right-Simple 0xfbcb…bb5d	5	$1.56K	273	05-10 14:51
Careful-Providence 0xf993…cd9d	4	$8.18K	11	05-10 13:57
Intelligent-Tax 0x913f…c676	4	$5.34K	8	05-08 14:15
Salty-Geometry 0xbac4…1ab2	4	$1.65K	7	05-10 14:57