Scientific-Chaos — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$16

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

31.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.27K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$70

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-05

last 05-06 13:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

71% 0% $-7

Other

22% — —

Crypto

8% 50% $-9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	2	$653	585	585	+0	open	—	04-08 00:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	3	$190	10,198	10,198	+0	open	—	05-06 13:50
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$176	3,448	3,448	+0	open	—	04-06 17:59
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	2	$53	570	570	+0	Yes	$-7	04-19 14:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	1	$51	425	0	+425	open	—	04-18 19:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	2	$35	25	25	+0	Up	+$15	05-06 13:55
btc updown 5m 1775608200	1	$27	2,700	0	+2,700	open	—	04-08 00:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	1	$24	54	0	+54	Down	$-24	05-06 13:59
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	1	$23	638	0	+638	open	—	04-19 14:01
bitcoin above 74k on april 11	1	$14	3,243	0	+3,243	open	—	04-11 14:53
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$10	303	0	+303	open	—	04-12 18:04
us x iran meeting by april 12 2026 558	1	$10	993	0	+993	open	—	04-11 14:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 13:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	54	44¢	$24	0x2fef00…
05-06 13:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x115f53…
05-06 13:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	25	39¢	$10	0x919dc0…
05-06 13:50:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	10,198	0¢	$10	0x756542…
04-25 21:00:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	7,980	1¢	$80	0xf84272…
04-24 12:24:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	2,218	4¢	$100	0x0bab21…
04-19 14:01:36	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	Yes	BUY	638	4¢	$23	0xf7871e…
04-19 14:00:52	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	570	4¢	$23	0xfaad7f…
04-18 19:08:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	Yes	BUY	425	12¢	$51	0xe44c7a…
04-12 18:09:23	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	570	5¢	$30	0xc866a1…
04-12 18:04:09	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	303	3¢	$10	0x2bcaea…
04-11 14:53:11	bitcoin above 74k on april 11	Yes	BUY	3,243	0¢	$14	0xd94db9…
04-11 14:19:55	us x iran meeting by april 12 2026 558	No	BUY	993	1¢	$10	0x1792be…
04-08 00:35:09	btc updown 5m 1775608200	Up	BUY	2,700	1¢	$27	0x5b3990…
04-08 00:04:41	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	SELL	585	99¢	$577	0xa5e891…
04-06 18:00:13	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	BUY	585	13¢	$76	0xfa1627…
04-06 17:59:27	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	3,448	2¢	$76	0xc7b3c1…
04-05 17:05:53	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	3,448	3¢	$100	0x990a94…