Authentic-Percentage — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.27K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$67

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-14

last 05-24 15:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

76% 100% +$0

Other

15% — —

Politics

9% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran leadership change by March 13?	2	$196	98	98	+0	open	—	03-16 03:53
cbb geows utahv 2026 03 18	2	$162	109	108	+0	open	—	03-19 01:43
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 24?	2	$127	64	64	+0	open	—	05-24 00:46
bitcoin above 66k on april 13	2	$126	63	63	+0	open	—	04-13 09:58
bitcoin above 66k on march 17	1	$98	100	0	+100	open	—	03-16 03:54
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 25?	1	$64	64	0	+64	open	—	05-24 15:51
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 20?	1	$64	64	0	+64	open	—	05-19 14:58
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	1	$63	64	0	+64	Yes	+$0	05-11 01:48
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 6?	1	$63	63	0	+63	Yes	+$0	05-05 06:30
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 8?	1	$63	63	0	+63	Yes	+$0	05-07 00:44
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 28?	1	$63	63	0	+63	open	—	04-27 13:05
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	1	$63	63	0	+63	open	—	04-30 14:44
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 25?	1	$63	63	0	+63	open	—	04-23 16:00
bitcoin above 66k on april 20	1	$63	63	0	+63	open	—	04-18 06:51
bitcoin above 66k on april 17	1	$63	63	0	+63	open	—	04-16 05:06
Genius FDV above $50M one day after launch?	1	$63	63	0	+63	open	—	04-14 04:53
bitcoin above 60k on april 11	1	$63	63	0	+63	open	—	04-10 03:33
bitcoin above 62k on april 8	1	$63	63	0	+63	open	—	04-07 23:56
bitcoin above 62k on april 7	1	$62	63	0	+63	open	—	04-06 07:56
bitcoin above 62k on april 1	1	$62	62	0	+62	open	—	04-01 05:04
Based FDV above $800M one day after launch?	1	$62	62	0	+62	open	—	03-31 05:05
bitcoin above 60k on march 30	1	$62	62	0	+62	open	—	03-30 05:14
dota2 ty tundra 2026 03 28 game1	1	$62	62	0	+62	open	—	03-28 16:31
bitcoin above 62k on march 27	1	$62	62	0	+62	open	—	03-27 13:48
bitcoin above 66k on march 26	1	$62	62	0	+62	open	—	03-26 13:22
bitcoin above 64k on march 25	1	$62	62	0	+62	open	—	03-24 11:25
bitcoin above 64k on march 23	1	$62	62	0	+62	open	—	03-23 11:26
bitcoin above 62k on march 22	1	$62	62	0	+62	open	—	03-21 07:34
cbb liub arz 2026 03 20	1	$62	62	0	+62	open	—	03-20 18:34
cbb bradly day 2026 03 18	1	$62	62	0	+62	open	—	03-19 02:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-24 15:51:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	64	100¢	$64	0x914098…
05-24 00:46:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 24?	No	SELL	64	100¢	$64	0x83cd41…
05-23 02:34:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 24?	No	BUY	64	100¢	$64	0x6b3498…
05-19 14:58:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	64	100¢	$64	0x637259…
05-11 01:48:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	64	100¢	$63	0xc300aa…
05-07 00:44:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0x7a4703…
05-05 06:30:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0xa41732…
04-30 14:44:00	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	No	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0xc2a5b0…
04-27 13:05:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0xcf1b3e…
04-23 16:00:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 25?	Yes	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0x3fe085…
04-18 06:51:32	bitcoin above 66k on april 20	Yes	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0x1ac16d…
04-16 05:06:10	bitcoin above 66k on april 17	Yes	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0xb60015…
04-14 04:53:17	Genius FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0xc51845…
04-13 09:58:33	bitcoin above 66k on april 13	Yes	SELL	63	100¢	$63	0x7bd1dd…
04-11 23:57:27	bitcoin above 66k on april 13	Yes	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0x3dc068…
04-10 03:33:37	bitcoin above 60k on april 11	Yes	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0xa70509…
04-07 23:56:33	bitcoin above 62k on april 8	Yes	BUY	63	100¢	$63	0x2c98be…
04-06 07:56:59	bitcoin above 62k on april 7	Yes	BUY	63	100¢	$62	0xe4671b…
04-01 05:04:21	bitcoin above 62k on april 1	Yes	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0x438948…
03-31 05:05:37	Based FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0xe084db…
03-30 05:14:22	bitcoin above 60k on march 30	Yes	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0x8dcb29…
03-28 16:31:21	dota2 ty tundra 2026 03 28 game1	Tundra Esports	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0x87c2b3…
03-27 13:48:09	bitcoin above 62k on march 27	Yes	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0x6b2cb2…
03-26 13:22:59	bitcoin above 66k on march 26	Yes	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0xda5a4d…
03-24 11:25:41	bitcoin above 64k on march 25	Yes	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0xf2fa23…
03-23 11:26:51	bitcoin above 64k on march 23	Yes	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0xc82600…
03-21 07:34:19	bitcoin above 62k on march 22	Yes	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0xedcf26…
03-20 18:34:55	cbb liub arz 2026 03 20	Arizona Wildcats	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0x0506d1…
03-19 02:41:03	cbb bradly day 2026 03 18	Dayton Flyers	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0x50aad6…
03-19 01:43:57	cbb geows utahv 2026 03 18	George Washington Revolutionaries	SELL	108	57¢	$62	0xd2ac83…
03-19 01:06:35	cbb geows utahv 2026 03 18	George Washington Revolutionaries	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0xfcf9d9…
03-16 03:54:57	bitcoin above 66k on march 17	Yes	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x36623b…
03-16 03:53:29	Iran leadership change by March 13?	No	SELL	98	100¢	$98	0xe49f8a…
03-14 03:47:47	Iran leadership change by March 13?	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0xc80831…