Natural-Vessel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

48.8%

Resolved

Trades

159

lifetime

Volume

$249

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-14

last 05-21 09:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

80% 0% $-1

Other

20% 60% $-2

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	2	$13	11	10	+0	open	—	04-27 05:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	04-27 05:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	04-27 05:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	1	$10	18	0	+18	open	—	04-27 05:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	3	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	05-01 08:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	4	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	05-04 16:49
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Punjab Kings	3	$5	6	3	+3	Sunrisers Hyderabad	$-2	05-06 13:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	3	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	04-30 06:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	04-27 08:10
T20 Series Bangladesh vs. New Zealand: Bangladesh vs New Zealand	1	$5	11	0	+11	open	—	04-27 08:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	04-27 06:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	2	$5	5	5	+0	open	—	04-30 07:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2AM ET	2	$5	7	7	+0	open	—	04-27 06:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	3	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	05-01 12:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	1	$4	11	0	+11	open	—	04-27 05:46
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Delhi Capitals	1	$4	9	0	+9	open	—	05-01 14:18
btc updown 4h 1776715200	2	$3	6	0	+6	open	—	04-20 20:27
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	05-18 15:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	05-03 12:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	05-21 09:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-26 08:10
btc updown 5m 1776706500	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-20 17:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	3	$3	4	2	+2	open	—	05-01 12:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	05-01 03:39
ICC Cricket World Cup League Two: Nepal vs United Arab Emirates	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	05-01 11:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	2	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	05-17 15:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	2	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	05-02 14:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	05-14 15:09
T20 Series Bangladesh vs Sri Lanka, Women: Bangladesh vs Sri Lanka	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-02 13:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	04-30 12:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-21 09:13:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0x94a89c…
05-21 09:11:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x228194…
05-18 15:33:29	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x15d77a…
05-18 15:30:34	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x5d31da…
05-17 15:54:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	3	59¢	$2	0x5ab921…
05-17 15:50:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x7514b8…
05-15 00:29:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0xbe9b84…
05-15 00:25:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x570c03…
05-14 23:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x0d25b8…
05-14 23:09:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xfff860…
05-14 16:16:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	82¢	$1	0x770e7d…
05-14 16:14:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xc80001…
05-14 16:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x550832…
05-14 15:09:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0xe638c5…
05-14 14:53:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x4388a7…
05-09 11:28:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xf5ad9d…
05-06 13:04:42	Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Punjab Kings	Punjab Kings	BUY	3	53¢	$1	0xcbb2b1…
05-06 13:03:10	Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Punjab Kings	Punjab Kings	SELL	3	52¢	$2	0x8629df…
05-06 13:02:28	Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Punjab Kings	Punjab Kings	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0xb0fa45…
05-05 18:02:40	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Ann Li vs Shuai Zhang	Ann Li	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0xc7b568…
05-05 17:21:50	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Ann Li vs Shuai Zhang	Ann Li	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xcc8c95…
05-05 16:21:48	Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Chennai Super Kings	Delhi Capitals	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0xb5fa5f…
05-05 16:19:50	Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Anhelina Kalinina vs Katie Volynets	Anhelina Kalinina	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xc5d276…
05-05 16:12:22	Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Anhelina Kalinina vs Katie Volynets	Anhelina Kalinina	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x722ab3…
05-05 15:26:22	Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Chennai Super Kings	Delhi Capitals	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x88cf7b…
05-04 19:58:32	Sevilla FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x2a49cb…
05-04 17:05:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1PM ET	Up	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0xdc362c…
05-04 17:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x8a6f42…
05-04 16:49:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x66dd4e…
05-04 16:47:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x6fb821…
05-04 16:46:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0x0b56d6…
05-04 16:45:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xb484f2…
05-04 16:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x2af1d2…
05-04 16:43:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x099646…
05-03 21:32:20	Canadiens vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x76756a…
05-03 19:01:24	Aston Villa FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x15cb99…
05-03 12:43:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x2506df…
05-03 12:42:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb3f2f2…
05-02 14:32:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	SELL	3	56¢	$2	0x359526…
05-02 14:30:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xe116b6…
05-02 14:17:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0x27e840…
05-02 14:15:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x324f6c…
05-02 13:05:28	T20 Series Bangladesh vs Sri Lanka, Women: Bangladesh vs Sri Lanka	Sri Lanka	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xb7bc42…
05-02 06:38:28	T20 Series Bangladesh vs Sri Lanka, Women: Bangladesh vs Sri Lanka	Sri Lanka	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xed6e06…
05-02 06:31:00	T20 Series Bangladesh vs. New Zealand: Bangladesh vs New Zealand	Bangladesh	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0x92f246…
05-02 06:19:38	T20 Series Bangladesh vs. New Zealand: Bangladesh vs New Zealand	Bangladesh	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x1aa2cc…
05-01 20:09:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x245cd2…
05-01 18:09:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x29b04c…
05-01 17:58:56	Madrid Open: Alexander Blockx vs Alexander Zverev	Alexander Blockx	SELL	4	20¢	$1	0x191f47…
05-01 14:18:52	Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Delhi Capitals	Rajasthan Royals	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0xd711b5…
05-01 13:06:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0x45da5b…
05-01 13:04:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xfd6aa0…
05-01 12:59:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xe00a01…
05-01 12:57:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x68542b…
05-01 12:45:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xc0e973…
05-01 12:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xf0b72a…
05-01 12:33:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x685209…
05-01 12:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x8d0fa7…
05-01 12:26:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	4	73¢	$3	0x8138d1…
05-01 12:24:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x97760d…
05-01 12:24:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x1eb0d2…
05-01 12:21:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x6f2267…
05-01 12:20:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x81ccf2…
05-01 12:06:48	Madrid Open: Alexander Blockx vs Alexander Zverev	Alexander Blockx	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x760d13…
05-01 11:46:36	ICC Cricket World Cup League Two: Nepal vs United Arab Emirates	Nepal	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x50f609…
05-01 10:42:30	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Hanwha Life Esports	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x1bb7a1…
05-01 10:38:04	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x938c4e…
05-01 10:15:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0xf21760…
05-01 10:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x204071…
05-01 09:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0x706346…
05-01 09:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x910547…
05-01 08:28:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	4	85¢	$3	0x34d6fb…
05-01 08:24:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x9a892d…
05-01 08:23:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xbc729f…
05-01 08:18:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x2f03a7…
05-01 04:31:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	76¢	$1	0x80bd24…
05-01 04:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xf3c937…
05-01 03:51:50	ICC Cricket World Cup League Two: Nepal vs United Arab Emirates	Nepal	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xad7dc0…
05-01 03:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0xea2d01…
05-01 03:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x1ce64e…
05-01 03:21:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x1ca392…
04-30 18:05:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x4b1e8c…
04-30 17:50:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x76aeba…
04-30 16:58:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xe28751…
04-30 16:58:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xd70333…
04-30 12:38:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	84¢	$1	0xa51159…
04-30 12:35:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xedddea…
04-30 12:13:26	Fenerbahce vs. Zalgiris Kaunas	Fenerbahce	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x8a873d…
04-30 12:12:20	Madrid Open: Casper Ruud vs Alexander Blockx	Alexander Blockx	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x435213…
04-30 11:04:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0x70a5ce…
04-30 10:05:52	Bitcoin Up or Down on April 30?	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xb523e4…
04-30 10:03:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x5034e6…
04-30 08:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xab8825…
04-30 07:52:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0x5c8b16…
04-30 07:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xaddde4…
04-30 07:46:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x786144…
04-30 07:45:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xd9f167…
04-30 07:38:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x3485b7…
04-30 07:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x586a50…
04-30 06:37:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	SELL	4	82¢	$3	0x6d52aa…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	88	$59.0K	1,769	05-21 09:15
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	71	$29.6K	4,572	05-21 09:14
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	69	$26.8K	4,148	05-21 09:14
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	68	$39.9K	2,951	05-21 09:14
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	67	$111.4K	5,170	05-21 09:15
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	63	$25.9K	7,330	05-21 09:14
Good-Natured-Angora 0x6748…ee08	62	$6.70K	2,054	05-21 09:14
(anonymous) 0x5e2b…9101	62	$6.52K	738	05-21 09:14