Glittering-Adrenaline — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$23

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

14.2%

Resolved

Trades

207

lifetime

Volume

$1.42K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-26

last 05-09 16:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 25% $-23

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 62 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	10	$83	1,239	51	+1,188	open	—	05-03 18:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	9	$73	88	77	+11	open	—	05-03 19:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	3	$60	58	32	+26	open	—	05-03 19:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	6	$54	63	63	+0	open	—	05-03 00:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	8	$50	44	44	+0	open	—	05-02 19:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	4	$37	54	29	+25	Down	$-13	05-09 16:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	4	$34	37	37	+0	open	—	05-03 00:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	7	$34	40	34	+6	open	—	04-28 18:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	3	$30	50	33	+18	open	—	05-03 18:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	5	$30	37	29	+7	open	—	04-26 16:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	3	$29	37	21	+16	open	—	05-02 19:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	4	$27	63	43	+21	open	—	05-03 00:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	4	$26	27	27	+0	open	—	04-28 18:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	5	$26	30	25	+5	open	—	04-28 19:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	3	$25	23	8	+15	open	—	04-29 18:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	5	$25	29	18	+11	open	—	04-30 17:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	04-28 18:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	4	$25	26	26	+0	open	—	05-03 00:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	2	$24	28	28	+0	open	—	05-01 16:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	5	$23	29	18	+11	open	—	04-30 17:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	2	$23	22	21	+0	open	—	04-26 12:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	4	$23	19	19	+1	open	—	04-26 16:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	5	$22	21	11	+10	open	—	05-02 19:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	2	$21	12	12	+0	open	—	04-26 13:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	4	$21	44	41	+2	open	—	04-26 15:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	3	$21	32	13	+19	Down	$-9	05-09 16:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	2	$20	13	13	+0	open	—	04-28 19:17
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$20	22	0	+22	open	—	04-26 11:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	2	$17	20	20	+0	Down	$-3	05-09 16:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	4	$16	25	11	+14	open	—	04-28 19:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-09 16:59:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	13	45¢	$6	0xf62a04…
05-09 16:58:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x9a70a2…
05-09 16:57:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xa0f7f8…
05-09 16:54:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	15	69¢	$10	0x75fada…
05-09 16:54:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x64f1ff…
05-09 16:54:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	SELL	29	25¢	$7	0x72bb3f…
05-09 16:51:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x66018a…
05-09 16:49:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0x705191…
05-09 16:49:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x7cdcb6…
05-05 17:21:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	10	75¢	$7	0xaad072…
05-05 17:21:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xf4fb39…
05-03 19:24:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0xd6ecdd…
05-03 19:23:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	SELL	32	62¢	$20	0x3b4c10…
05-03 19:20:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0xb8635c…
05-03 19:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	SELL	24	2¢	$0	0xcfa32c…
05-03 19:04:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x1ffa0a…
05-03 19:04:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x2a1f6e…
05-03 19:03:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	11	91¢	$10	0x3359d7…
05-03 19:02:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xfcb4f3…
05-03 19:01:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	SELL	26	56¢	$15	0x8d9463…
05-03 19:01:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x49df2f…
05-03 19:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	SELL	16	44¢	$7	0x9f761d…
05-03 19:01:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x197e61…
05-03 18:58:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xae2c66…
05-03 18:58:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	33	32¢	$11	0x2ec562…
05-03 18:57:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xcf0129…
05-03 18:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	400	1¢	$4	0xc53df3…
05-03 18:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	377	1¢	$4	0x7ce119…
05-03 18:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	400	1¢	$4	0x6b03a8…
05-03 18:54:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x0aad4f…
05-03 18:52:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	18	66¢	$12	0x116289…
05-03 18:52:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x2fc5b8…
05-03 18:52:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	16	53¢	$8	0x1b7c16…
05-03 18:51:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x39b319…
05-03 18:51:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	17	62¢	$10	0x68ae12…
05-03 18:51:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x32b544…
05-03 00:51:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	SELL	19	22¢	$4	0x29dbce…
05-03 00:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x0ca925…
05-03 00:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	SELL	19	55¢	$10	0x9ce278…
05-03 00:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x8e5d9a…
05-03 00:47:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	SELL	19	27¢	$5	0xb8094e…
05-03 00:46:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x33b5af…
05-03 00:46:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	SELL	21	44¢	$9	0x0138b1…
05-03 00:46:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x8ebe0d…
05-03 00:45:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	SELL	23	42¢	$10	0xb3b2f8…
05-03 00:45:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xa1ffd2…
05-03 00:41:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x1d7361…
05-03 00:41:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xde7acb…
05-03 00:40:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	43	15¢	$6	0xb48431…
05-03 00:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x16dd58…
05-03 00:35:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x69f8be…
05-03 00:33:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0x6b49c4…
05-03 00:32:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x40af78…
05-03 00:30:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	SELL	23	54¢	$13	0x80750f…
05-03 00:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x3a1c1b…
05-03 00:24:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xa17441…
05-02 19:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0xfac9c9…
05-02 19:12:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	21	44¢	$9	0xdeb8a9…
05-02 19:10:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x5ef46c…
05-02 19:09:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	17	58¢	$10	0x61d499…
05-02 19:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x8481e3…
05-02 19:08:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	8	58¢	$5	0x03dcb0…
05-02 19:07:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x6e29de…
05-02 19:07:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	8	57¢	$5	0x3d6472…
05-02 19:07:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xc70f20…
05-02 19:06:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	10	55¢	$5	0x7fd711…
05-02 19:06:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x85f63c…
05-02 19:04:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x2e176e…
05-02 19:04:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	SELL	3	50¢	$1	0x65b37e…
05-02 19:03:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x1dad88…
05-02 19:01:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	SELL	8	69¢	$6	0xe89413…
05-02 19:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x9793e8…
05-02 18:55:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	17	36¢	$6	0x9b6715…
05-02 18:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xa27b13…
05-02 18:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x39a060…
05-01 21:06:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	11	49¢	$6	0x93468b…
05-01 21:05:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xd5c119…
05-01 17:56:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	12	53¢	$6	0x0ae624…
05-01 17:55:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x03a03e…
05-01 17:28:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x01cbf6…
05-01 17:28:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	12	44¢	$5	0xff0108…
05-01 17:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x08f808…
05-01 16:06:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	SELL	28	50¢	$14	0x5fb991…
05-01 16:06:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x0389d3…
05-01 16:01:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xa74c44…
04-30 17:42:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	10	37¢	$4	0x6107c9…
04-30 17:41:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xb786cc…
04-30 17:40:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xec106b…
04-30 17:39:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0xc04c83…
04-30 17:39:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x0eb16d…
04-30 17:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	8	65¢	$6	0x1d3aed…
04-30 17:38:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x6c1812…
04-30 17:34:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x0834e2…
04-30 17:34:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0xde973c…
04-30 17:34:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0xf7be0d…
04-30 17:33:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	8	62¢	$5	0x610a08…
04-30 17:33:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xa4afdb…
04-30 17:29:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x641084…
04-30 17:29:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	11	38¢	$4	0x6f06ec…
04-30 17:28:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xbfec25…