Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$216

Unrealized P&L

+$6

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$15.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$191

Open exposure

$20

1 position

First seen

2026-01-08

last 06-16 04:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

66% 0% $-216

Politics

16% — —

Crypto

12% 0% —

Sports

5% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Weed rescheduled by December 31?	Yes		-86	$-25	23¢	$-20	+$6	06-16 04:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Israeli forces enter Beirut by April 30, 2026?	2	$2.2K	1,272	1,272	+0	open	—	03-21 16:26
will bitcoin outperform nvidia nvda in march 2026	4	$1.8K	1,200	1,200	+0	open	—	03-30 15:17
Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30?	2	$1.1K	766	766	+0	open	—	03-31 02:20
col1 alf inm 2026 04 19 alf	7	$935	1,416	1,416	+0	open	—	03-25 16:39
will there be at least 1650 measles cases in the us by march 31 2026 696 531 583 497	5	$923	1,234	1,234	+0	open	—	03-10 12:11
will we continue the change democratic bulgaria ppdb finish third in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	2	$903	602	602	+0	open	—	04-09 11:29
will nyc have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in march	3	$854	597	597	+0	open	—	03-11 03:42
Will Trump’s approval rating fall to 38.5% in April?	3	$783	540	540	+0	open	—	04-27 09:33
will fidesz kdnp win at least 90 seats	3	$726	1,067	1,067	+0	open	—	03-21 19:50
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide from april 6 12	2	$662	521	521	+0	open	—	04-09 23:59
Will Chet Holmgren win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?	4	$491	0	1,055	-1,055	open	—	01-30 05:56
will seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in february	6	$487	1,102	1,102	+0	open	—	02-26 17:20
bun hsv b04 2026 01 13 total 2pt5	1	$421	714	0	+714	open	—	02-26 06:21
will trump deport 250000 500000 people	3	$386	224	224	+0	open	—	02-04 19:05
will ja morant be traded this season	1	$354	466	0	+466	open	—	01-08 22:01
cbb sill evans 2026 01 25 spread away 4pt5	1	$321	668	0	+668	open	—	03-17 12:58
will microstrategy be delisted from the msci index by march 31	3	$317	0	332	-332	open	—	01-08 21:12
spl qad ett 2025 12 19 qad	2	$302	315	315	+0	open	—	02-11 21:18
Virginia Cavaliers vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons (W)	1	$300	334	0	+334	open	—	04-08 18:00
north korea missile launch by january 31 661	3	$222	0	389	-389	open	—	01-09 17:21
Will April 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?	1	$216	366	0	+366	Yes	$-216	04-08 06:53
Sentio FDV above $20M one day after launch?	2	$177	804	804	+0	Yes	+$0	03-25 16:15
nba 2025 26 3pm leader stephen curry	3	$175	404	283	+121	open	—	02-04 19:56
will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by january 11 424	3	$168	336	336	+0	open	—	01-09 18:53
will israel take military action in lebanon on march 28 2026	2	$150	831	831	+0	open	—	03-25 19:08
will the atlanta hawks make the nba playoffs 928	5	$130	133	133	+0	open	—	01-10 00:08
Will Taylor Swift have a #1 hit in April?	2	$125	297	297	+0	open	—	03-10 14:37
will evil influencer the jodi hildebrandt story be the top global netflix movie this week january 13 2026	1	$87	126	0	+126	open	—	01-08 21:23
will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the united states in january 2026	2	$86	48	48	+0	open	—	01-30 07:45
will jesse armstrong mountainhead win best director of a movie for television at the 78th dga awards	1	$73	90	0	+90	open	—	02-05 07:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-16 04:34:33	Weed rescheduled by December 31?	Yes	SELL	86	30¢	$25	0xf749ae…
04-27 09:33:52	Will Trump’s approval rating fall to 38.5% in April?	No	SELL	482	90¢	$434	0xa6d657…
04-27 09:33:06	Will Trump’s approval rating fall to 38.5% in April?	No	SELL	58	90¢	$52	0xf6bccc…
04-23 13:17:16	Will Trump’s approval rating fall to 38.5% in April?	No	BUY	540	55¢	$297	0x78459e…
04-09 23:59:25	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide from april 6 12	Yes	SELL	521	66¢	$344	0x3f9a3b…
04-09 11:29:11	will we continue the change democratic bulgaria ppdb finish third in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	602	75¢	$452	0x05a8b9…
04-08 18:00:17	Virginia Cavaliers vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons (W)	Wake Forest Demon Deacons	BUY	334	90¢	$300	0x51f625…
04-08 17:20:09	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide from april 6 12	Yes	BUY	521	61¢	$318	0x78758d…
04-08 06:53:39	Will April 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?	No	BUY	366	59¢	$216	0x6e6ff8…
04-07 14:48:11	will we continue the change democratic bulgaria ppdb finish third in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	602	75¢	$452	0xec9005…
03-31 02:20:41	Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30?	No	SELL	766	76¢	$582	0x74ac9e…
03-30 15:17:07	will bitcoin outperform nvidia nvda in march 2026	Yes	SELL	339	94¢	$319	0x0b8568…
03-30 15:16:51	will bitcoin outperform nvidia nvda in march 2026	Yes	SELL	861	94¢	$809	0x8b9c48…
03-30 06:58:06	will bitcoin outperform nvidia nvda in march 2026	Yes	BUY	597	55¢	$328	0xca3d3d…
03-30 06:57:44	will bitcoin outperform nvidia nvda in march 2026	Yes	BUY	603	55¢	$332	0x13a221…
03-30 06:25:36	Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30?	No	BUY	766	62¢	$475	0x2cbf20…
03-25 19:08:53	will israel take military action in lebanon on march 28 2026	No	SELL	831	9¢	$75	0x2ca4bd…
03-25 16:39:41	col1 alf inm 2026 04 19 alf	Yes	SELL	805	37¢	$298	0x734b8a…
03-25 16:39:33	col1 alf inm 2026 04 19 alf	Yes	SELL	318	37¢	$118	0xfdc2d1…
03-25 16:39:21	col1 alf inm 2026 04 19 alf	Yes	SELL	230	37¢	$85	0xa77aec…
03-25 16:39:05	col1 alf inm 2026 04 19 alf	Yes	SELL	63	37¢	$23	0xf4ed28…
03-25 16:15:13	Sentio FDV above $20M one day after launch?	No	SELL	804	11¢	$88	0x1fe622…
03-25 09:43:33	Sentio FDV above $20M one day after launch?	No	BUY	804	11¢	$88	0x6a7292…
03-25 08:38:51	col1 alf inm 2026 04 19 alf	Yes	BUY	63	29¢	$18	0xfe15ba…
03-25 08:38:29	col1 alf inm 2026 04 19 alf	Yes	BUY	230	29¢	$67	0xc5e500…
03-25 08:38:09	col1 alf inm 2026 04 19 alf	Yes	BUY	1,123	29¢	$326	0xbc3708…
03-24 15:40:41	will israel take military action in lebanon on march 28 2026	No	BUY	831	9¢	$75	0x673dda…
03-21 19:50:45	will fidesz kdnp win at least 90 seats	No	SELL	508	35¢	$178	0x2dd07c…
03-21 19:49:29	will fidesz kdnp win at least 90 seats	No	SELL	559	35¢	$196	0xe64d22…
03-21 16:26:51	Israeli forces enter Beirut by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1,272	87¢	$1,107	0xfe5af7…
03-20 10:17:25	will fidesz kdnp win at least 90 seats	No	BUY	1,067	33¢	$352	0x3ddf9f…
03-20 06:07:21	Israeli forces enter Beirut by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,272	87¢	$1,107	0xccb0a0…
03-17 12:58:43	cbb sill evans 2026 01 25 spread away 4pt5	Evansville Aces	BUY	668	48¢	$321	0x6bf340…
03-11 03:42:45	will nyc have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in march	No	SELL	48	61¢	$29	0x3d317c…
03-11 03:41:39	will nyc have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in march	No	SELL	549	60¢	$329	0xc01928…
03-10 14:37:31	Will Taylor Swift have a #1 hit in April?	Yes	SELL	297	28¢	$83	0x94d0ae…
03-10 12:11:45	will there be at least 1650 measles cases in the us by march 31 2026 696 531 583 497	Yes	SELL	87	43¢	$37	0x295fb9…
03-10 12:11:25	will there be at least 1650 measles cases in the us by march 31 2026 696 531 583 497	Yes	SELL	1,147	43¢	$493	0x473c58…
03-06 08:40:49	will there be at least 1650 measles cases in the us by march 31 2026 696 531 583 497	Yes	BUY	438	33¢	$145	0x7fda59…
03-06 08:40:31	will there be at least 1650 measles cases in the us by march 31 2026 696 531 583 497	Yes	BUY	430	33¢	$142	0x9cc74c…
03-06 07:55:09	will there be at least 1650 measles cases in the us by march 31 2026 696 531 583 497	Yes	BUY	366	29¢	$106	0xd646b8…
03-06 07:20:05	will nyc have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in march	No	BUY	597	83¢	$496	0x22509f…
03-06 06:30:23	Will Taylor Swift have a #1 hit in April?	Yes	BUY	297	14¢	$42	0x3ba899…
02-26 17:20:06	will seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in february	Yes	SELL	130	2¢	$2	0x4657d5…
02-26 17:19:54	will seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in february	Yes	SELL	305	2¢	$5	0x13fb19…
02-26 06:21:46	bun hsv b04 2026 01 13 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	714	59¢	$421	0xb23109…
02-11 21:18:45	spl qad ett 2025 12 19 qad	No	SELL	315	19¢	$60	0x7429ce…
02-11 15:22:31	spl qad ett 2025 12 19 qad	No	BUY	315	77¢	$243	0x27ac7d…
02-05 17:06:01	will seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in february	Yes	SELL	667	29¢	$193	0x5782d4…
02-05 07:17:03	will seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in february	Yes	BUY	206	26¢	$54	0x3604ab…
02-05 07:16:49	will seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in february	Yes	BUY	667	26¢	$173	0xe3cd20…
02-05 07:16:39	will seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in february	Yes	BUY	229	26¢	$60	0x004cef…
02-05 07:02:49	will jesse armstrong mountainhead win best director of a movie for television at the 78th dga awards	No	BUY	90	81¢	$73	0x76f0d5…
02-04 19:56:47	nba 2025 26 3pm leader stephen curry	No	SELL	71	16¢	$11	0x91420d…
02-04 19:05:09	will trump deport 250000 500000 people	Yes	SELL	80	89¢	$71	0xfa12f0…
02-04 19:04:51	will trump deport 250000 500000 people	Yes	SELL	144	89¢	$128	0x6d9275…
01-30 08:43:30	will trump deport 250000 500000 people	Yes	BUY	224	83¢	$187	0x055680…
01-30 07:45:48	will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the united states in january 2026	Yes	SELL	48	98¢	$47	0x2515a0…
01-30 05:56:52	Will Chet Holmgren win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?	Yes	SELL	509	42¢	$214	0xf8701c…
01-11 18:26:34	nba 2025 26 3pm leader stephen curry	No	SELL	212	24¢	$51	0xdaa813…
01-10 11:55:24	Will Chet Holmgren win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?	Yes	SELL	307	53¢	$163	0xb390c8…
01-10 04:04:24	foreign intervention in gaza by march 31	Yes	SELL	87	17¢	$15	0x2f39f0…
01-10 00:08:30	will the atlanta hawks make the nba playoffs 928	Yes	SELL	19	50¢	$10	0xe3fe61…
01-10 00:08:10	will the atlanta hawks make the nba playoffs 928	Yes	SELL	96	50¢	$48	0xf1bb4c…
01-10 00:06:20	will the atlanta hawks make the nba playoffs 928	Yes	SELL	9	49¢	$4	0x236704…
01-10 00:05:10	will the atlanta hawks make the nba playoffs 928	Yes	SELL	9	49¢	$4	0x637d16…
01-09 19:42:52	foreign intervention in gaza by march 31	Yes	BUY	87	17¢	$15	0xd59332…
01-09 19:08:24	will the atlanta hawks make the nba playoffs 928	Yes	BUY	133	48¢	$64	0x5b1b57…
01-09 18:53:44	will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by january 11 424	Yes	SELL	82	24¢	$20	0xa45733…
01-09 18:53:14	will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by january 11 424	Yes	SELL	254	24¢	$61	0xdd3ea0…
01-09 18:02:06	nba 2025 26 3pm leader stephen curry	No	BUY	404	28¢	$113	0x62a3a5…
01-09 17:31:20	will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by january 11 424	Yes	BUY	336	26¢	$87	0x85f79b…
01-09 17:21:34	north korea missile launch by january 31 661	No	SELL	58	57¢	$33	0x58da07…
01-09 17:20:42	north korea missile launch by january 31 661	No	SELL	134	57¢	$76	0x5bba75…
01-09 17:19:58	north korea missile launch by january 31 661	No	SELL	197	57¢	$112	0xda4571…
01-09 16:36:14	Will Chet Holmgren win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?	Yes	SELL	227	48¢	$109	0x8a7016…
01-09 16:35:56	Will Chet Holmgren win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?	Yes	SELL	12	48¢	$6	0xeecabb…
01-08 22:01:52	will ja morant be traded this season	No	BUY	466	76¢	$354	0xed3d22…
01-08 22:00:54	will fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the united states in january 2026	Yes	BUY	48	82¢	$39	0x87b1f0…
01-08 21:23:18	will evil influencer the jodi hildebrandt story be the top global netflix movie this week january 13 2026	No	BUY	126	69¢	$87	0x365a43…
01-08 21:12:40	will microstrategy be delisted from the msci index by march 31	No	SELL	38	95¢	$36	0x4cb357…
01-08 21:11:46	will microstrategy be delisted from the msci index by march 31	No	SELL	272	95¢	$260	0xf4675f…
01-08 21:09:48	will microstrategy be delisted from the msci index by march 31	No	SELL	22	95¢	$21	0x067fcb…