Probable-Banking — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$22

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.1%

Resolved

Trades

700

lifetime

Volume

$5.05K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-22

last 06-28 16:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 80% $-29

Other

2% 100% +$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 123 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	2	$92	60	60	+0	Up	$-7	05-07 08:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	2	$61	31	31	+0	open	—	04-27 21:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	4	$61	61	31	+30	open	—	04-27 16:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	2	$60	32	32	+0	open	—	04-26 09:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	2	$60	31	31	+0	open	—	04-29 09:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	6	$60	45	30	+15	open	—	04-29 10:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	3	$60	62	32	+30	open	—	04-27 16:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	2	$59	31	31	+0	open	—	04-27 21:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	4	$57	84	0	+84	Down	$-23	05-07 10:18
btc updown 5m 1776986100	4	$56	49	33	+15	open	—	04-23 23:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	2	$55	33	32	+0	open	—	04-27 11:30
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 15?	2	$55	37	37	+0	open	—	05-15 10:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	3	$55	145	0	+145	Down	$-5	05-07 09:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	2	$52	50	50	+0	open	—	05-21 18:15
btc updown 5m 1776865800	2	$51	77	0	+77	open	—	04-22 13:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	3	$51	51	51	+0	open	—	05-21 18:00
btc updown 5m 1777047600	4	$50	48	33	+16	open	—	04-24 16:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	5	$50	49	32	+17	open	—	04-24 21:34
btc updown 5m 1776862800	1	$49	53	0	+53	open	—	04-22 13:04
btc updown 5m 1776861600	1	$49	51	0	+51	open	—	04-22 12:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	7	$48	51	51	+0	open	—	05-21 17:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	3	$46	52	0	+52	Down	+$1	05-07 09:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	2	$46	57	0	+57	Up	+$6	05-07 09:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	2	$46	55	0	+55	Down	+$4	05-07 09:52
btc updown 5m 1777039500	9	$45	70	37	+33	open	—	04-24 14:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	2	$43	32	32	+0	open	—	04-27 16:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	4	$41	31	21	+10	open	—	04-29 17:29
btc updown 5m 1777038900	3	$40	54	37	+17	open	—	04-24 13:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	4	$40	30	20	+10	open	—	04-29 18:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	2	$37	21	21	+0	open	—	04-29 20:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-28 16:09:11	btc updown 5m 1782662700	Up	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0xa9c5a3…
06-28 15:54:22	btc updown 5m 1782661800	Up	BUY	4	3¢	$0	0x8faca0…
06-28 15:54:22	btc updown 5m 1782661800	Up	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0x736532…
06-28 15:54:22	btc updown 5m 1782661800	Up	BUY	18	3¢	$1	0x64b76a…
06-28 15:54:22	btc updown 5m 1782661800	Up	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x0979a4…
06-28 14:38:04	btc updown 5m 1782657300	Up	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0x76b250…
06-28 13:39:52	btc updown 5m 1782653700	Up	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0xaa253f…
06-28 13:38:55	btc updown 5m 1782653700	Up	BUY	14	10¢	$1	0x0b8b09…
06-28 13:38:53	btc updown 5m 1782653700	Up	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x9fc7be…
06-28 13:23:20	btc updown 5m 1782652800	Down	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0xd68803…
06-28 13:23:19	btc updown 5m 1782652800	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xefc215…
06-28 13:23:19	btc updown 5m 1782652800	Down	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0xbef99f…
06-28 13:23:19	btc updown 5m 1782652800	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x3b3cfd…
06-28 13:23:19	btc updown 5m 1782652800	Down	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0x2bf6d2…
06-28 13:19:47	btc updown 5m 1782652500	Up	SELL	45	3¢	$1	0xca9d48…
06-28 13:18:47	btc updown 5m 1782652500	Up	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x9d2bd3…
06-28 13:17:10	btc updown 5m 1782652500	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x2cbaca…
06-28 13:13:14	btc updown 5m 1782652200	Down	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x2b0043…
06-28 13:11:47	btc updown 5m 1782652200	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x072301…
06-28 12:53:28	btc updown 5m 1782651000	Down	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0xa7dc99…
06-28 12:52:58	btc updown 5m 1782651000	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x2351f9…
06-28 12:49:04	btc updown 5m 1782650700	Down	SELL	2	4¢	$0	0xb3f994…
06-28 12:48:53	btc updown 5m 1782650700	Down	SELL	43	8¢	$3	0x0ffe3a…
06-28 12:48:41	btc updown 5m 1782650700	Down	BUY	13	5¢	$1	0x995873…
06-28 12:48:41	btc updown 5m 1782650700	Down	BUY	27	5¢	$1	0x8e9fac…
06-28 12:47:13	btc updown 5m 1782650700	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xb8a79f…
06-28 12:44:20	btc updown 5m 1782650400	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xea996b…
06-28 12:13:08	btc updown 5m 1782648600	Up	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x69c327…
06-28 12:13:07	btc updown 5m 1782648600	Up	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0xe6d01c…
06-28 12:13:07	btc updown 5m 1782648600	Up	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0xc92d36…
06-28 12:13:07	btc updown 5m 1782648600	Up	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0xbadbd9…
06-28 12:13:07	btc updown 5m 1782648600	Up	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x7d2b1f…
06-28 12:13:07	btc updown 5m 1782648600	Up	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x4402aa…
06-28 12:13:07	btc updown 5m 1782648600	Up	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x159c08…
06-28 12:13:05	btc updown 5m 1782648600	Up	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0xfffffa…
06-28 12:12:25	btc updown 5m 1782648600	Up	BUY	0	20¢	$0	0x4a6330…
06-28 12:12:25	btc updown 5m 1782648600	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x064b64…
06-28 12:03:28	btc updown 5m 1782648000	Up	SELL	45	10¢	$4	0xf71884…
06-28 12:03:16	btc updown 5m 1782648000	Up	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x8f0280…
06-28 12:02:28	btc updown 5m 1782648000	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xd4a1f6…
06-28 11:58:38	btc updown 5m 1782647700	Up	SELL	5	10¢	$0	0x9460b0…
06-28 11:56:52	btc updown 5m 1782647700	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xafe117…
06-28 11:56:47	btc updown 5m 1782647700	Down	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0x397093…
06-28 11:55:58	btc updown 5m 1782647700	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x80a3db…
06-28 11:53:29	btc updown 5m 1782647400	Down	BUY	4	6¢	$0	0xc2bd8c…
06-28 11:53:29	btc updown 5m 1782647400	Down	BUY	13	6¢	$1	0xb93f64…
06-28 11:53:29	btc updown 5m 1782647400	Down	BUY	2	6¢	$0	0x83f584…
06-28 11:53:29	btc updown 5m 1782647400	Down	BUY	14	6¢	$1	0x60b69c…
06-28 11:53:20	btc updown 5m 1782647400	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xa5f0d3…
06-28 11:48:17	btc updown 5m 1782647100	Up	SELL	38	10¢	$4	0x9e0d0e…
06-28 11:47:31	btc updown 5m 1782647100	Up	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x4c987f…
06-28 11:46:40	btc updown 5m 1782647100	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x00ea7e…
06-28 11:44:41	btc updown 5m 1782646800	Up	SELL	33	11¢	$4	0xf5ab35…
06-28 11:43:47	btc updown 5m 1782646800	Up	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0xdac95d…
06-28 11:43:26	btc updown 5m 1782646800	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x7a0339…
06-28 11:37:14	btc updown 5m 1782646500	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x8784b3…
06-28 11:37:14	btc updown 5m 1782646500	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x6b001d…
06-28 11:37:14	btc updown 5m 1782646500	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x67b031…
06-28 11:37:07	btc updown 5m 1782646500	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xe34c0c…
06-28 11:33:55	btc updown 5m 1782646200	Up	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0xfa4cd4…
06-28 11:33:40	btc updown 5m 1782646200	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xe10dea…
06-28 11:17:52	btc updown 5m 1782645300	Down	SELL	30	14¢	$4	0x8bf647…
06-28 11:17:37	btc updown 5m 1782645300	Down	BUY	8	8¢	$1	0xf86721…
06-28 11:17:37	btc updown 5m 1782645300	Down	BUY	3	8¢	$0	0xb9df1f…
06-28 11:17:37	btc updown 5m 1782645300	Down	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0x8bf2c2…
06-28 11:16:08	btc updown 5m 1782645300	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x19fc95…
06-28 11:14:37	btc updown 5m 1782645000	Up	SELL	30	21¢	$6	0x26c7cc…
06-28 11:14:08	btc updown 5m 1782645000	Up	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x679def…
06-28 11:13:22	btc updown 5m 1782645000	Up	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xede6cf…
06-28 11:02:10	btc updown 5m 1782644400	Down	BUY	16	10¢	$2	0x7f629a…
06-28 11:02:10	btc updown 5m 1782644400	Down	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0x07f8d4…
06-28 10:53:05	btc updown 5m 1782643800	Down	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x55efa6…
06-28 10:27:59	btc updown 5m 1782642300	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x65bf33…
06-28 10:12:31	btc updown 5m 1782641400	Down	BUY	28	7¢	$2	0xd99f7d…
06-28 10:03:58	btc updown 5m 1782640800	Up	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0x09c6f6…
06-28 10:03:49	btc updown 5m 1782640800	Up	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xca5532…
06-28 09:42:07	btc updown 5m 1782639600	Down	BUY	12	10¢	$1	0xf12921…
06-28 09:42:07	btc updown 5m 1782639600	Down	BUY	7	10¢	$1	0x58a7be…
06-28 09:42:07	btc updown 5m 1782639600	Down	BUY	9	10¢	$1	0x4cc204…
06-28 09:42:05	btc updown 5m 1782639600	Down	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x3909d0…
06-28 09:33:10	btc updown 5m 1782639000	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xfb8ee0…
06-28 09:33:07	btc updown 5m 1782639000	Down	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xd2cadb…
06-28 09:33:07	btc updown 5m 1782639000	Down	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0x4335dc…
06-28 09:33:07	btc updown 5m 1782639000	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x1d91e7…
06-28 09:28:59	btc updown 5m 1782638700	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xc559c5…
06-28 09:28:16	btc updown 5m 1782638700	Up	SELL	23	19¢	$4	0x9cc94a…
06-28 09:28:08	btc updown 5m 1782638700	Up	BUY	23	10¢	$2	0x17ca60…
06-28 09:22:53	btc updown 5m 1782638400	Up	SELL	9	19¢	$2	0x0356e0…
06-28 09:22:41	btc updown 5m 1782638400	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x5950e6…
06-28 09:22:22	btc updown 5m 1782638400	Up	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0x7e7f9b…
06-28 09:21:17	btc updown 5m 1782638400	Up	BUY	7	10¢	$1	0x773ae3…
06-28 09:21:17	btc updown 5m 1782638400	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0x6e00a5…
06-28 09:21:17	btc updown 5m 1782638400	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x3c1b1d…
06-28 09:21:10	btc updown 5m 1782638400	Up	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0xbf99d3…
06-28 09:13:05	btc updown 5m 1782637800	Up	BUY	23	10¢	$2	0xca8dfa…
06-28 09:08:38	btc updown 5m 1782637500	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x0be8ac…
06-28 08:58:56	btc updown 5m 1782636900	Down	SELL	8	44¢	$4	0x231e99…
06-28 08:58:35	btc updown 5m 1782636900	Down	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xbd9c82…
06-28 08:52:14	btc updown 5m 1782636600	Up	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x3c9811…
06-28 08:42:35	btc updown 5m 1782636000	Up	BUY	28	7¢	$2	0x3fce32…