Harmless-Ketchup — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$85

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$390

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-07

last 05-10 12:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 60% $-85

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	2	$60	88	0	+88	Up	$-60	05-07 15:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	2	$59	31	31	+0	Down	+$3	05-07 15:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	4	$41	25	25	+0	Up	+$1	05-08 02:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	3	$39	34	19	+16	Down	$-1	05-07 15:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	3	$32	29	13	+16	Down	$-8	05-10 01:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	4	$30	16	16	+0	Up	+$0	05-09 11:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	2	$22	13	13	+0	Down	+$2	05-07 21:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	2	$21	11	11	+0	Up	+$1	05-08 04:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	2	$20	10	10	+0	Down	+$0	05-08 02:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	2	$20	10	10	+0	Up	+$0	05-07 15:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	2	$11	7	7	+0	Down	+$1	05-10 08:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	Down	+$0	05-10 07:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	1	$10	22	0	+22	Down	$-10	05-07 15:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	1	$10	12	0	+12	Down	$-10	05-10 01:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Up	$-5	05-10 12:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 12:26:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xa67253…
05-10 08:02:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	SELL	7	80¢	$6	0xf148eb…
05-10 08:01:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xfd4640…
05-10 07:59:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	6	93¢	$5	0xa5d5ea…
05-10 07:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x18c00e…
05-10 01:19:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x1e25b3…
05-10 01:14:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	13	97¢	$12	0xeeb52c…
05-10 01:13:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x9e5fc2…
05-10 01:10:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xfe59f6…
05-09 11:14:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x448ae6…
05-09 11:13:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x8cb62b…
05-09 11:12:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x292e32…
05-09 11:12:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x6f0906…
05-08 04:03:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	SELL	11	94¢	$11	0xe6a8cb…
05-08 04:02:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x01a183…
05-08 02:21:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x2ae3e1…
05-08 02:17:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x06fd48…
05-08 02:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x27dd93…
05-08 02:14:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xf77c5c…
05-08 02:12:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	15	72¢	$11	0x938fcb…
05-08 02:12:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x4d52f5…
05-07 21:33:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	SELL	13	93¢	$12	0xc22aa7…
05-07 21:32:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x0e8dcf…
05-07 15:51:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x55fbad…
05-07 15:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xcfe6ae…
05-07 15:32:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xff5f90…
05-07 15:28:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	67	74¢	$50	0x4e4a11…
05-07 15:27:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x9fa39e…
05-07 15:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0xa6fab1…
05-07 15:22:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	31	89¢	$28	0x4ea615…
05-07 15:20:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x94a9b3…
05-07 15:16:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xd3d4cd…
05-07 15:15:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xab7096…