Past-Harpsichord — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.26K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$102

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-14

last 05-24 15:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

85% 100% +$1

Other

6% — —

Politics

6% — —

Sports

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 24?	2	$208	104	104	+0	open	—	05-24 00:46
bitcoin above 66k on april 13	2	$205	103	103	+0	open	—	04-13 09:58
Iran leadership change by March 13?	2	$196	98	98	+0	open	—	03-16 03:53
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 25?	1	$104	104	0	+104	open	—	05-24 15:51
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 20?	1	$104	104	0	+104	open	—	05-19 14:58
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	1	$104	104	0	+104	Yes	+$0	05-11 01:48
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 8?	1	$103	104	0	+104	Yes	+$0	05-07 00:44
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 6?	1	$103	104	0	+104	Yes	+$0	05-05 06:31
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	1	$103	103	0	+103	open	—	04-30 14:44
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 28?	1	$103	103	0	+103	open	—	04-27 13:05
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 25?	1	$103	103	0	+103	open	—	04-23 16:00
bitcoin above 66k on april 20	1	$103	103	0	+103	open	—	04-18 06:51
bitcoin above 66k on april 17	1	$103	103	0	+103	open	—	04-16 05:06
Genius FDV above $50M one day after launch?	1	$103	103	0	+103	open	—	04-14 04:53
bitcoin above 60k on april 11	1	$102	103	0	+103	open	—	04-10 03:33
bitcoin above 62k on april 8	1	$102	102	0	+102	open	—	04-07 23:56
bitcoin above 62k on april 7	1	$102	102	0	+102	open	—	04-06 07:56
bitcoin above 62k on april 1	1	$102	102	0	+102	open	—	04-01 05:04
Based FDV above $800M one day after launch?	1	$102	102	0	+102	open	—	03-31 05:05
bitcoin above 60k on march 30	1	$102	102	0	+102	open	—	03-30 05:14
bitcoin above 58k on march 29	1	$102	102	0	+102	open	—	03-28 16:34
bitcoin above 62k on march 27	1	$102	102	0	+102	open	—	03-27 13:48
bitcoin above 66k on march 26	1	$101	102	0	+102	open	—	03-26 13:22
bitcoin above 64k on march 25	1	$101	101	0	+101	open	—	03-24 11:25
bitcoin above 62k on march 22	1	$101	101	0	+101	open	—	03-21 07:34
cbb liub arz 2026 03 20	1	$101	101	0	+101	open	—	03-20 18:34
cbb bradly day 2026 03 18	1	$101	101	0	+101	open	—	03-19 02:41
nhl sj edm 2026 03 17	1	$100	101	0	+101	open	—	03-18 03:31
bitcoin above 66k on march 17	1	$98	100	0	+100	open	—	03-16 03:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-24 15:51:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0x05cfcd…
05-24 00:46:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 24?	No	SELL	104	100¢	$104	0x14b990…
05-23 02:34:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 24?	No	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0xba422a…
05-19 14:58:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0xcd8431…
05-11 01:48:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0xfc68c0…
05-07 00:44:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	104	100¢	$103	0x8f86e5…
05-05 06:31:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	104	100¢	$103	0xbc3020…
04-30 14:44:02	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0xac830e…
04-27 13:05:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x02ad3c…
04-23 16:00:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 25?	Yes	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x65f51d…
04-18 06:51:32	bitcoin above 66k on april 20	Yes	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x770441…
04-16 05:06:12	bitcoin above 66k on april 17	Yes	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x1086c5…
04-14 04:53:19	Genius FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0xd6b1ff…
04-13 09:58:33	bitcoin above 66k on april 13	Yes	SELL	103	100¢	$103	0x7bd1dd…
04-11 23:57:29	bitcoin above 66k on april 13	Yes	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x75d8f9…
04-10 03:33:37	bitcoin above 60k on april 11	Yes	BUY	103	100¢	$102	0x84111d…
04-07 23:56:35	bitcoin above 62k on april 8	Yes	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x63ed0b…
04-06 07:56:59	bitcoin above 62k on april 7	Yes	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x0d575b…
04-01 05:04:23	bitcoin above 62k on april 1	Yes	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x275e71…
03-31 05:05:41	Based FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0xac8280…
03-30 05:14:22	bitcoin above 60k on march 30	Yes	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x0deb67…
03-28 16:34:35	bitcoin above 58k on march 29	Yes	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0xd081f6…
03-27 13:48:09	bitcoin above 62k on march 27	Yes	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x447fe7…
03-26 13:22:33	bitcoin above 66k on march 26	Yes	BUY	102	100¢	$101	0x487783…
03-24 11:25:43	bitcoin above 64k on march 25	Yes	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x865d71…
03-21 07:34:19	bitcoin above 62k on march 22	Yes	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x19f382…
03-20 18:34:55	cbb liub arz 2026 03 20	Arizona Wildcats	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0xde4074…
03-19 02:41:19	cbb bradly day 2026 03 18	Dayton Flyers	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x1db401…
03-18 03:31:43	nhl sj edm 2026 03 17	Oilers	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x95c633…
03-16 03:54:59	bitcoin above 66k on march 17	Yes	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x498dfb…
03-16 03:53:35	Iran leadership change by March 13?	No	SELL	98	100¢	$98	0x77a780…
03-14 03:47:51	Iran leadership change by March 13?	No	BUY	98	100¢	$98	0x54cb7d…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Energetic-Freight-Comparison 0xb0d1…26b5	28	$3.17K	31	05-24 15:51
Upset-Velvet 0x585e…f63e	28	$2.29K	31	05-24 15:52
Punctual-Furnace 0xde03…6ffe	28	$2.26K	31	05-24 15:52
Talkative-Scholar 0xcf26…d54c	28	$2.15K	31	05-24 15:51
Dearest-Quit 0x82d8…c7b4	27	$3.07K	30	05-24 15:52
Handy-Meal 0x95ad…b390	27	$2.09K	30	05-24 15:51
Suburban-Pretzel 0x6500…1981	27	$2.08K	30	05-24 15:51
Authentic-Percentage 0x228e…b6f4	27	$1.99K	30	05-24 15:51