Natural-Cricketer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

89.2%

Resolved

Trades

322

lifetime

Volume

$4.56K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 05-15 02:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

61% 100% +$0

Crypto

24% 75% +$0

Politics

9% — —

Sports

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 29 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by between 10% and 15%?	10	$120	60	60	+0	open	—	04-13 11:51
will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on april 1	1	$69	69	0	+69	open	—	04-01 10:17
highest temperature in paris on march 29 2026 16corhigher	1	$66	66	0	+66	open	—	03-29 10:41
Will Wolfgang Grozo win the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections by any margin?	2	$66	33	33	+0	open	—	04-13 03:38
ethereum above 1800 on april 4	1	$65	65	0	+65	open	—	04-04 02:11
highest temperature in moscow on april 5 2026 15c	1	$61	61	0	+61	open	—	04-05 08:33
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?	2	$60	30	30	+0	open	—	02-03 18:34
will crude oil cl hit low 65 by end of march 687 631 179 583 222 896 946 953 469 231 749	1	$60	60	0	+60	open	—	03-30 06:20
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	2	$58	29	29	+0	open	—	01-22 06:47
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 14?	4	$57	29	29	+0	open	—	05-14 14:16
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 Week of May 4 2026?	2	$57	28	28	+0	No	+$0	05-08 03:32
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	4	$56	28	28	+0	open	—	03-29 04:58
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 7°C on April 27?	6	$50	25	25	+0	open	—	04-27 09:43
ethereum above 2600 on april 20	2	$49	25	25	+0	open	—	04-20 05:18
highest temperature in guangzhou on april 22 2026 37corhigher	5	$49	24	24	+0	open	—	04-21 22:42
ethereum above 2500 on april 24	2	$48	24	24	+0	open	—	04-24 14:05
highest temperature in guangzhou on april 23 2026 27c	2	$48	24	24	+0	open	—	04-23 17:40
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C or higher on April 27?	2	$47	24	24	+0	open	—	04-27 09:18
Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 14?	5	$47	24	24	+0	open	—	05-14 12:14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	2	$47	24	24	+0	Yes	+$0	05-11 13:35
highest temperature in atlanta on april 24 2026 74 75f	2	$47	23	23	+0	open	—	04-24 11:30
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2026?	2	$46	23	23	+0	open	—	05-14 11:30
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on April 27?	2	$46	23	23	+0	open	—	04-27 14:40
highest temperature in toronto on april 6 2026 2c	1	$46	46	0	+46	open	—	04-06 07:06
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on April 26?	2	$46	23	23	+0	open	—	04-26 18:37
highest temperature in amsterdam on april 20 2026 8corbelow	2	$45	23	23	+0	open	—	04-20 06:54
xrp above 0pt9 on april 2	1	$45	45	0	+45	open	—	04-02 02:51
highest temperature in lucknow on april 3 2026 40c	1	$44	45	0	+45	open	—	04-03 03:11
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on April 27?	2	$44	22	22	+0	open	—	04-26 18:38
Will BNB reach $700 in April?	2	$44	22	22	+0	open	—	05-01 00:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 02:19:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xf7b87e…
05-14 20:27:11	Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xebdcd7…
05-14 14:16:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 14?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x680d2b…
05-14 13:59:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 14?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xc9521f…
05-14 13:46:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 14?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x96bf30…
05-14 12:14:10	Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 14?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x6a7d62…
05-14 12:14:00	Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 14?	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x7c94cf…
05-14 11:30:24	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xc11646…
05-14 11:27:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$28	0xf378ca…
05-14 11:22:43	Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 14?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xb33bf6…
05-14 10:51:52	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 14?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xc37f98…
05-14 10:26:38	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 14?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xc68584…
05-14 10:23:26	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 14?	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x3e8e2a…
05-14 09:55:17	Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 14?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x69aaa5…
05-14 09:53:07	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 14?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xa36d40…
05-14 09:52:24	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 14?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$1	0x370a4f…
05-14 04:03:41	Will the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xb5338d…
05-13 18:31:05	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	22	100¢	$21	0xa80f12…
05-13 15:20:37	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x1a3425…
05-13 13:10:30	Will the price of Solana be above $70 on May 13?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xf21fe3…
05-12 12:54:46	Will the price of Solana be above $70 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x6fb24c…
05-11 13:35:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xf3b1c1…
05-11 02:41:09	Will "The Sheep Detectives" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x74905b…
05-11 02:38:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	24	100¢	$23	0xf75cdb…
05-11 01:49:17	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x91981a…
05-11 01:47:53	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 11?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x29019e…
05-10 20:30:19	Will "The Sheep Detectives" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x1714b0…
05-10 11:33:58	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x5e51a9…
05-09 22:31:12	Will "The Sheep Detectives" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xba34d0…
05-08 03:32:05	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 Week of May 4 2026?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x4c4eed…
05-07 18:50:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x656c42…
05-05 14:11:50	Uber # of trips above 4.8B in Q1?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x89996b…
05-05 08:48:24	Uber # of trips above 4.8B in Q1?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x99087d…
05-05 03:47:06	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 5?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x4c2e09…
05-04 21:05:50	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 5?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x96b0d6…
05-02 18:04:12	Will Solana dip to $70 April 27-May 3?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xb7ea8f…
05-02 16:21:34	Will Solana dip to $70 April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x3063d6…
05-01 00:46:14	Will BNB reach $700 in April?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x73faf1…
04-30 16:13:54	Will BNB reach $700 in April?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x03ed28…
04-30 13:08:34	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x2e760a…
04-30 06:53:20	Will Trump talk to Yoon Suk Yeol in April?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x51fdac…
04-30 03:24:44	Will Trump talk to Yoon Suk Yeol in April?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x9920b1…
04-30 02:03:08	Will Marco Rubio have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x4b4ae1…
04-29 16:08:18	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x3a5b35…
04-29 15:01:32	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xbb72c2…
04-29 14:56:02	Israeli forces enter Beirut by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x89f067…
04-29 13:20:32	Israeli forces enter Beirut by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x2f8d3a…
04-29 06:23:20	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x62231b…
04-29 05:44:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 29?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x7ecb43…
04-29 02:08:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 29?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x77d6dd…
04-29 01:02:02	Will Trump talk to Yoon Suk Yeol in April?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x07d738…
04-28 22:15:22	Will Marco Rubio have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x43a404…
04-27 23:01:30	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 90°F or higher on April 28?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x1d18d9…
04-27 23:01:28	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 90°F or higher on April 28?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xc1dd07…
04-27 23:01:28	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 90°F or higher on April 28?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x15cdf3…
04-27 18:48:50	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 90°F or higher on April 28?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x6d4262…
04-27 15:33:24	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be -1°C on April 28?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x4631c9…
04-27 14:40:04	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on April 27?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x1a7bff…
04-27 12:57:02	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 90°F or higher on April 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xf58508…
04-27 10:26:10	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C or below on April 27?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x5d5967…
04-27 09:46:02	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on April 27?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x980501…
04-27 09:43:44	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 7°C on April 27?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xb4c556…
04-27 09:43:44	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 7°C on April 27?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x9383c1…
04-27 09:43:44	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 7°C on April 27?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x932950…
04-27 09:43:44	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 7°C on April 27?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x4393b6…
04-27 09:43:44	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 7°C on April 27?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x16a626…
04-27 09:18:12	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C or higher on April 27?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xb3bc7f…
04-27 07:52:30	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 7°C on April 27?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xdb432a…
04-27 06:15:44	Will 125-149 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x697f52…
04-27 05:24:44	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C or below on April 27?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xa5e739…
04-27 03:03:18	Will 125-149 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x378ca5…
04-27 02:21:10	Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 27?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xbcc973…
04-26 22:57:56	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C or higher on April 27?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xd1a967…
04-26 19:22:54	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 17°C or below on April 26?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xa8fd45…
04-26 19:22:54	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 17°C or below on April 26?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x6d8b0d…
04-26 19:22:46	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 17°C or below on April 26?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x25d550…
04-26 18:41:26	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 55°F or below on April 27?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x3d37cf…
04-26 18:40:06	Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x4a0c9f…
04-26 18:38:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on April 27?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xb97d68…
04-26 18:37:24	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on April 26?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xf0d4af…
04-26 17:06:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on April 27?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xd93542…
04-26 12:30:50	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 55°F or below on April 27?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xfb6956…
04-26 07:04:24	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on April 26?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x463176…
04-26 00:47:10	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on April 26?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb13222…
04-25 21:28:38	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 17°C or below on April 26?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcd8f97…
04-25 19:24:18	Will the price of Solana be above $70 on April 26?	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xe0694d…
04-25 19:04:08	Will the price of Solana be above $70 on April 26?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x650f93…
04-25 05:42:26	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on April 25?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x85eae9…
04-25 01:23:06	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 25?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x68c59b…
04-24 22:11:22	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on April 25?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xb1d197…
04-24 20:59:28	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C or below on April 25?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xd4ef90…
04-24 14:05:52	ethereum above 2500 on april 24	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x5495d5…
04-24 12:04:38	xrp above 1pt7 on april 24	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x9f93ff…
04-24 11:58:32	Will 125-149 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xf6b710…
04-24 11:57:08	xrp above 1pt7 on april 24	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x6bfac4…
04-24 11:30:28	highest temperature in atlanta on april 24 2026 74 75f	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x663c35…
04-24 11:29:42	lowest temperature in hong kong on april 24 2026 26corhigher	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xa9a586…
04-24 11:28:16	ethereum above 2000 on april 24	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x4a36a1…
04-24 10:36:40	highest temperature in atlanta on april 24 2026 74 75f	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x7b78d0…
04-24 09:22:16	ethereum above 2500 on april 24	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x05dd39…