Outlandish-Wildebeest — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.0%

Resolved

Trades

182

lifetime

Volume

$260

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-02

last 05-08 10:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 56% $-7

Sports

2% — —

Other

0% 0% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 124 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	6	$11	8	8	+0	Down	+$1	05-07 21:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	8	$10	8	8	+0	Down	$-0	05-07 21:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	5	$10	4	8	-4	Up	+$2	05-07 19:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	6	$8	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-07 21:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	4	$7	9	9	+0	Up	+$1	05-07 19:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	2	$6	3	3	+0	Up	+$0	05-07 20:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	6	$6	6	6	+0	Down	$-0	05-07 23:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	4	$5	4	4	+0	Down	+$1	05-07 19:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	4	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$1	05-07 23:37
76ers vs. Celtics	2	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	05-03 07:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	3	$5	1	5	-4	Up	$-1	05-07 19:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Up	$-5	05-07 18:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-02 18:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-03 08:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-02 19:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	3	$5	4	6	-2	Up	$-1	05-07 21:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	Down	+$1	05-07 18:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-03 08:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	4	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$0	05-07 21:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$0	05-07 18:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	4	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$0	05-07 21:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	4	$4	4	4	+0	Up	+$0	05-07 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	4	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$0	05-07 20:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	4	$4	3	3	+0	Down	$-1	05-07 23:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	4	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$0	05-08 10:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	1	$4	6	0	+6	open	—	05-02 19:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	2	$4	203	0	+203	open	—	05-02 19:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	4	$4	3	3	+0	Up	$-0	05-07 23:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	3	$4	3	1	+2	Down	$-0	05-07 21:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	4	$3	1	3	-2	Up	+$0	05-07 20:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-08 10:28:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xf7bdfa…
05-08 10:26:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0x5e5c74…
05-08 10:26:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1	60¢	$1	0x32f918…
05-08 10:17:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	26¢	$1	0x2a7e53…
05-08 10:16:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xb5f8d8…
05-08 10:14:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0xb63eac…
05-08 10:13:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x6fee9e…
05-08 10:12:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0xb2a1bc…
05-08 10:12:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xa19b0e…
05-07 23:47:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	33¢	$1	0xe8c53e…
05-07 23:47:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x36b3dd…
05-07 23:46:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	SELL	1	54¢	$1	0x2d34fd…
05-07 23:45:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	SELL	1	64¢	$1	0x0beba5…
05-07 23:43:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	63¢	$1	0xec2547…
05-07 23:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x50beee…
05-07 23:42:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x4f3f3b…
05-07 23:41:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x29a1e4…
05-07 23:37:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x376efa…
05-07 23:36:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x127d34…
05-07 23:36:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	SELL	3	71¢	$2	0xc00495…
05-07 23:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0x44e8db…
05-07 23:34:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0xeb5177…
05-07 23:33:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x7aa286…
05-07 23:32:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0xc22dc1…
05-07 23:32:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xc2a799…
05-07 23:31:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0xdb4cb9…
05-07 23:30:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x167702…
05-07 23:18:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x09c64e…
05-07 23:18:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	SELL	2	6¢	$0	0x215cc8…
05-07 23:18:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x2eb087…
05-07 23:17:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x5ec598…
05-07 23:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xdda047…
05-07 21:46:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xeec332…
05-07 21:45:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xeb36dc…
05-07 21:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xef1d24…
05-07 21:39:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0xcbaa5a…
05-07 21:39:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0xbb90bb…
05-07 21:38:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x737433…
05-07 21:38:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x1eb331…
05-07 21:38:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0x540a1b…
05-07 21:36:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xa9d82a…
05-07 21:33:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xed8ab3…
05-07 21:31:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	SELL	1	62¢	$1	0x94075c…
05-07 21:30:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xf03070…
05-07 21:28:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xee9950…
05-07 21:27:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x29fc8d…
05-07 21:27:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	79¢	$1	0x836be0…
05-07 21:25:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x1fa467…
05-07 21:24:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	83¢	$1	0x830d77…
05-07 21:24:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	71¢	$2	0x81134e…
05-07 21:23:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0xe41f95…
05-07 21:21:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x7b6c82…
05-07 21:21:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x9189a8…
05-07 21:20:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xdca58b…
05-07 21:16:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	2	32¢	$1	0xa4612e…
05-07 21:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	4	52¢	$2	0x836e21…
05-07 21:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xcb51ff…
05-07 21:07:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x126c53…
05-07 21:06:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x26847a…
05-07 21:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0xc72aa1…
05-07 21:06:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x6a9505…
05-07 21:04:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x689078…
05-07 21:04:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x8cfa84…
05-07 21:03:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	18¢	$0	0x974cbd…
05-07 21:01:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xa486eb…
05-07 21:01:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x8f3bdc…
05-07 21:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x59ae3c…
05-07 21:00:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	SELL	4	61¢	$2	0xe2199d…
05-07 20:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x8c9921…
05-07 20:57:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0xe81b18…
05-07 20:56:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	84¢	$1	0x38b21e…
05-07 20:56:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x62e84f…
05-07 20:52:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	2	70¢	$1	0xb987c3…
05-07 20:52:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0x8c576f…
05-07 20:48:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0xb7b8e8…
05-07 20:48:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x1b6dd4…
05-07 20:46:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	1	45¢	$0	0x3faec3…
05-07 20:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	SELL	1	66¢	$1	0x294370…
05-07 20:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xb3aff1…
05-07 20:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x9938b5…
05-07 20:42:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x7c8d12…
05-07 20:40:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xad9f7d…
05-07 20:36:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x77a791…
05-07 20:33:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	4	5¢	$0	0xfbe578…
05-07 20:30:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xfbb7dd…
05-07 20:29:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xd69249…
05-07 20:28:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x8d24ed…
05-07 20:27:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0x133beb…
05-07 20:25:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x8d121f…
05-07 20:24:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x4c83c3…
05-07 20:23:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xa4a409…
05-07 20:19:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xa4ad85…
05-07 20:19:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xbf3d14…
05-07 20:16:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0xf5bdcb…
05-07 20:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xa7c51a…
05-07 20:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x36a1c1…
05-07 20:13:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x448f5d…
05-07 19:57:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x00e08d…
05-07 19:46:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x45dc14…
05-07 19:36:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0x9f90df…