Extra-Large-Outfielder — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

91.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$806

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-01

last 05-16 21:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

74% — —

Crypto

23% 75% +$2

Politics

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
spx opens up or down on march 2 2026	2	$145	81	81	+0	open	—	03-02 16:06
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	2	$104	64	64	+0	open	—	03-30 18:52
spx up or down on march 6 2026	2	$58	41	41	+0	open	—	03-06 14:51
will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 124 949 438 563 647 712 323	2	$52	35	35	+0	open	—	03-06 14:51
spx up or down on march 2 2026	2	$52	55	55	+0	open	—	03-02 18:51
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	2	$51	32	31	+1	open	—	04-28 16:10
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	2	$38	25	25	+0	open	—	04-19 19:18
will the percentage change in the sp 500 in q1 2026 be less than 0	2	$38	23	23	+0	open	—	03-30 18:53
spx up or down on march 9 2026	2	$34	32	32	+0	open	—	03-08 15:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	6	$34	24	24	+0	Up	+$4	05-05 17:04
sp 500 all time high by march 31 2026	2	$24	14	14	+0	open	—	03-30 18:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	3	$23	14	14	+0	Up	+$3	05-05 16:52
will any eu country strike iran by march 31	2	$22	12	12	+0	open	—	03-30 19:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	4	$21	19	19	+0	Up	+$1	05-12 07:07
will the price of xrp be between 1pt40 1pt50 on april 24	1	$15	16	0	+16	open	—	04-24 06:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	2	$12	8	8	+0	Up	+$2	05-05 16:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	2	$11	8	8	+0	Down	+$1	05-05 17:06
Will Australia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$10	14	0	+14	open	—	05-16 20:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	2	$10	11	0	+11	Up	+$1	05-05 16:47
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 26?	1	$8	52	0	+52	open	—	04-26 15:22
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 26?	2	$5	133	126	+6	open	—	04-26 15:21
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 26?	1	$5	17	0	+17	open	—	04-26 10:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	1	$5	1,203	0	+1,203	Up	$-5	05-12 07:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	1	$5	83	0	+83	Down	$-5	05-12 07:02
Will Norway be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$5	29	0	+29	open	—	05-16 21:10
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	1	$5	14	0	+14	open	—	03-30 19:03
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	1	$5	19	0	+19	open	—	04-22 18:10
nik up or down on march 9 2026	1	$5	12	0	+12	open	—	03-08 12:13
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$3	115	0	+115	open	—	03-30 19:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 21:10:40	Will Norway be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x67b95b…
05-16 20:54:29	Will Australia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x3833c0…
05-12 07:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1,203	0¢	$5	0x088905…
05-12 07:07:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	SELL	9	62¢	$6	0x3b29e7…
05-12 07:06:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	SELL	10	53¢	$6	0x6bea49…
05-12 07:05:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xdfc28c…
05-12 07:05:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xd5c4bc…
05-12 07:02:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xf4a040…
05-05 17:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	SELL	8	71¢	$6	0x7add3c…
05-05 17:05:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xed74e0…
05-05 17:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	SELL	7	91¢	$6	0x3180da…
05-05 17:03:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xdedf90…
05-05 17:02:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	SELL	11	65¢	$7	0xb0522f…
05-05 17:01:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	SELL	6	83¢	$5	0x990cf6…
05-05 17:01:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xa098e6…
05-05 17:01:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x44dd07…
05-05 16:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	8	88¢	$7	0x34dd63…
05-05 16:56:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x71fabc…
05-05 16:52:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	SELL	14	96¢	$13	0x78ae95…
05-05 16:51:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xcc57b2…
05-05 16:50:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x70f47c…
05-05 16:47:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x0d6e84…
05-05 16:46:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xd15dfd…
04-28 16:10:54	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	SELL	31	99¢	$31	0x0829a4…
04-26 15:22:34	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	52	15¢	$8	0x9df910…
04-26 15:21:12	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 26?	Yes	SELL	126	0¢	$0	0x74c13c…
04-26 10:26:40	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	133	4¢	$5	0x34490f…
04-26 10:26:28	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x98564e…
04-24 06:38:58	will the price of xrp be between 1pt40 1pt50 on april 24	Yes	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0xa15be7…
04-22 18:10:28	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x948dcc…
04-19 19:18:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	SELL	25	95¢	$23	0xdbe5d7…
04-12 08:28:17	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0x52a157…
03-30 19:17:07	will any eu country strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0x8f69d3…
03-30 19:04:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0x66079e…
03-30 19:03:13	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x0abc7f…
03-30 19:00:53	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	115	3¢	$3	0xc1acbb…
03-30 18:53:51	sp 500 all time high by march 31 2026	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x85969f…
03-30 18:53:03	will the percentage change in the sp 500 in q1 2026 be less than 0	Yes	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x68de13…
03-30 18:52:39	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	SELL	64	100¢	$64	0xac44ac…
03-10 09:31:11	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	64	62¢	$40	0x4baded…
03-08 15:22:49	spx up or down on march 9 2026	Down	SELL	32	60¢	$19	0xc5e1e2…
03-08 12:13:47	nik up or down on march 9 2026	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x963f84…
03-07 11:39:13	will the percentage change in the sp 500 in q1 2026 be less than 0	Yes	BUY	23	64¢	$15	0x703152…
03-06 14:58:53	sp 500 all time high by march 31 2026	No	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x728840…
03-06 14:54:13	spx up or down on march 9 2026	Down	BUY	32	47¢	$15	0x83fd81…
03-06 14:51:19	will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 124 949 438 563 647 712 323	Yes	SELL	35	92¢	$32	0xb304d6…
03-06 14:51:03	spx up or down on march 6 2026	Down	SELL	41	93¢	$38	0x9a8572…
03-05 18:02:55	will any eu country strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x6bfcf5…
03-05 17:53:33	will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 124 949 438 563 647 712 323	Yes	BUY	35	58¢	$20	0xa6ee7e…
03-05 17:47:49	spx up or down on march 6 2026	Down	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0xb97738…
03-02 18:51:29	spx up or down on march 2 2026	Up	SELL	55	40¢	$22	0x887605…
03-02 17:46:49	spx up or down on march 2 2026	Up	BUY	55	55¢	$30	0xe400d3…
03-02 16:06:23	spx opens up or down on march 2 2026	Down	SELL	81	100¢	$81	0x15d6fd…
03-01 14:36:37	spx opens up or down on march 2 2026	Down	BUY	81	79¢	$64	0x6ba6ec…