Happy-Torso — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

20.7%

Resolved

Trades

1,427

lifetime

Volume

$8.34K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 08-13 06:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

45% — —

Other

30% 50% $-0

Politics

19% 0% $-4

Sports

5% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

50 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us obtains iranian enriched uranium by july 31 20260610164403871 511	74	$329	167	167	+0	open	—	07-28 01:28
us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	14	$201	112	91	+21	open	—	07-29 15:00
iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	17	$150	101	51	+50	open	—	07-14 19:53
will bitcoin reach 85k in june 2026	17	$150	101	51	+50	open	—	06-22 12:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	8	$109	60	60	+0	open	—	05-31 10:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	8	$107	58	58	+0	open	—	07-31 05:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	17	$106	59	59	+0	open	—	05-14 19:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	8	$103	53	53	+0	open	—	07-04 20:08
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	27	$101	51	51	+0	open	—	06-24 17:40
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	4	$101	51	51	+0	open	—	06-28 03:41
will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	24	$101	51	51	+0	open	—	02-27 11:16
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	28	$100	51	50	+0	open	—	08-13 07:41
will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	4	$100	51	51	+0	open	—	03-29 16:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	6	$100	51	51	+0	open	—	04-28 21:53
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	11	$100	51	51	+0	open	—	05-18 03:11
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	5	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	06-20 14:11
Netanyahu out by April 30?	8	$100	51	51	+0	open	—	04-10 08:46
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	9	$99	50	50	+0	open	—	05-20 03:12
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	20	$99	50	50	+0	open	—	04-30 05:03
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?	26	$98	50	50	+0	open	—	04-10 06:55
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	5	$98	52	47	+5	open	—	07-07 17:27
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	6	$98	50	50	+0	open	—	04-23 06:14
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	8	$98	49	49	+0	open	—	04-30 05:03
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	7	$98	50	50	+0	open	—	04-10 08:46
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	7	$97	52	52	+0	open	—	04-30 05:03
will bitcoin reach 87pt5k in june 2026	41	$90	70	20	+50	open	—	06-24 07:20
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	7	$88	44	44	+0	open	—	03-05 17:51
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	3	$81	41	41	+0	open	—	05-17 21:22
will italy win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	3	$80	41	41	+0	open	—	02-14 21:26
Will Chad Bianco advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	3	$80	40	40	+0	open	—	06-06 02:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-13 07:41:48	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xa96caf…
08-13 07:08:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xf7c18e…
08-13 07:06:40	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xfd58e2…
08-13 07:06:22	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x2d8017…
08-13 06:17:34	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x746293…
08-13 06:15:39	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x1bc468…
08-13 06:13:49	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xcd99f8…
08-13 06:11:55	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x5b0322…
08-13 06:05:33	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xd8b2ac…
08-13 06:03:12	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xc5fe84…
08-13 05:27:27	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x9e361c…
08-13 05:26:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x4fbc15…
08-13 05:22:58	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x4e4984…
08-13 05:17:33	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xaf0983…
08-13 05:15:39	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xf8bed4…
08-13 05:13:22	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xa63d49…
08-13 05:11:22	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x47bd94…
08-13 05:11:13	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x719978…
08-13 05:09:10	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xbc4a0e…
08-13 05:09:04	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x025289…
08-13 05:07:54	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x23f986…
08-13 05:06:57	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xcf2a11…
08-13 05:01:16	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x817a3c…
08-13 05:00:07	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x30470f…
08-13 04:45:39	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xbb6d9b…
08-03 21:05:26	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x11c6d2…
07-31 12:39:09	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xfb5431…
07-31 10:26:08	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5986eb…
07-31 10:25:06	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2dbae4…
07-31 10:25:05	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xaddbd2…
07-31 10:24:59	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x625a31…
07-31 10:24:56	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4799e4…
07-31 10:24:51	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbf44af…
07-31 10:24:48	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1beaa4…
07-31 10:24:45	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf35c36…
07-31 10:24:44	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf3fcf6…
07-31 06:55:41	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xaa59ca…
07-31 06:55:38	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf1c477…
07-31 06:55:38	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x869136…
07-31 06:55:36	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7b28cb…
07-31 06:55:35	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe48ea4…
07-31 05:29:45	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x4e8dd2…
07-31 05:08:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0x1c75a8…
07-31 05:02:48	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xc5b520…
07-31 04:43:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x18d986…
07-31 04:42:38	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6d3a59…
07-31 04:20:47	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x0581c0…
07-31 04:06:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x1c39f9…
07-31 03:31:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x949762…
07-31 03:22:21	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x30d5d4…
07-31 03:04:36	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0ac321…
07-31 03:03:50	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xc58072…
07-31 03:01:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x67dc9f…
07-29 15:00:30	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x7d9d7a…
07-29 09:07:06	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9f507e…
07-28 01:28:57	us obtains iranian enriched uranium by july 31 20260610164403871 511	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x17e9c2…
07-28 01:07:19	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0xddfaab…
07-24 16:25:33	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x8d8337…
07-21 19:21:42	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x28077c…
07-21 19:20:39	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x5c57f3…
07-20 01:46:54	us obtains iranian enriched uranium by july 31 20260610164403871 511	No	BUY	11	99¢	$10	0x6bcbdd…
07-20 00:32:18	will ethereum reach 2400 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x733f1e…
07-20 00:12:34	will ethereum reach 2400 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe98482…
07-20 00:12:34	will ethereum reach 2400 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4746d8…
07-20 00:12:34	will ethereum reach 2400 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2f3c98…
07-19 19:44:36	will ethereum reach 2400 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x55af3a…
07-19 15:15:31	will ethereum reach 2400 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x06f585…
07-19 14:33:15	will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x3c2cdb…
07-19 13:38:48	will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x60cfcb…
07-19 11:40:21	will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbd431e…
07-19 06:47:45	will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xcedf98…
07-19 05:44:21	will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x135769…
07-19 01:03:37	will ethereum reach 2400 in july 2026	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x0aa6d7…
07-19 00:02:57	will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe14596…
07-19 00:02:13	will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xdb7b83…
07-18 19:18:39	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xbfc719…
07-18 19:03:37	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x38228f…
07-18 19:02:25	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa84006…
07-18 16:23:07	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7b5d53…
07-18 16:05:48	will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x18c580…
07-18 15:48:40	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x60252d…
07-18 15:07:13	will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0df33a…
07-18 14:12:07	will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x02a321…
07-18 12:53:22	will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1166d3…
07-18 12:48:37	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa20e96…
07-18 12:41:19	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xfb4ea5…
07-18 11:04:43	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd4f49c…
07-18 11:04:28	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x2a62e1…
07-18 10:38:58	will ethereum reach 2200 in july 2026	No	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x21a8fa…
07-18 10:37:12	will ethereum reach 2200 in july 2026	No	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0xf171ab…
07-18 10:36:46	will ethereum reach 2200 in july 2026	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x45205c…
07-18 10:03:04	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcc682f…
07-18 09:32:06	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x84842f…
07-18 09:18:00	will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x3412f4…
07-18 09:16:52	will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x096fe3…
07-18 08:48:04	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x498c6d…
07-18 08:47:58	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5aded5…
07-18 08:47:57	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x98ac60…
07-18 08:47:54	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x9fc46f…
07-18 08:47:54	will bitcoin reach 75k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x6469a6…