Happy-Torso — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

20.7%

Resolved

Trades

1,194

lifetime

Volume

$6.81K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$53

1 position

First seen

2026-01-05

last 07-01 18:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

49% — —

Other

28% 50% $-0

Politics

17% 0% $-4

Sports

5% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

58 active days in 12wk • peak 67 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No		+53	$50	100¢	$53	+$3	06-10 23:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 85k in june 2026	17	$150	101	51	+50	open	—	06-22 12:37
us obtains iranian enriched uranium by july 31 20260610164403871 511	45	$150	102	51	+51	open	—	06-27 02:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	8	$109	60	60	+0	open	—	05-31 10:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	17	$106	59	59	+0	open	—	05-14 19:07
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	27	$101	51	51	+0	open	—	06-24 17:40
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	4	$101	51	51	+0	open	—	06-28 03:41
will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	24	$101	51	51	+0	open	—	02-27 11:16
will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	4	$100	51	51	+0	open	—	03-29 16:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	6	$100	51	51	+0	open	—	04-28 21:53
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	11	$100	51	51	+0	open	—	05-18 03:11
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	5	$100	50	50	+0	open	—	06-20 14:11
Netanyahu out by April 30?	8	$100	51	51	+0	open	—	04-10 08:46
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	9	$99	50	50	+0	open	—	05-20 03:12
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	20	$99	50	50	+0	open	—	04-30 05:03
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?	26	$98	50	50	+0	open	—	04-10 06:55
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	6	$98	50	50	+0	open	—	04-23 06:14
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	8	$98	49	49	+0	open	—	04-30 05:03
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	7	$98	50	50	+0	open	—	04-10 08:46
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	7	$97	52	52	+0	open	—	04-30 05:03
will bitcoin reach 87pt5k in june 2026	41	$90	70	20	+50	open	—	06-24 07:20
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	7	$88	44	44	+0	open	—	03-05 17:51
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	3	$81	41	41	+0	open	—	05-17 21:22
will italy win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	3	$80	41	41	+0	open	—	02-14 21:26
Will Chad Bianco advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	3	$80	40	40	+0	open	—	06-06 02:50
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in April?	12	$75	49	26	+23	open	—	04-20 22:30
will bitcoin dip to 50k in february 2026 273 489 988	14	$75	51	25	+26	open	—	02-02 20:51
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in April?	13	$73	50	23	+27	open	—	04-13 15:38
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	9	$72	39	39	+0	Yes	$-0	05-09 21:33
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?	8	$72	41	32	+9	open	—	04-28 10:58
will bitcoin reach 95k in march 2026	4	$72	36	36	+0	open	—	03-29 16:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 18:31:13	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x05b2e5…
07-01 17:21:16	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 7 20260625174256255	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x5b69c8…
06-28 03:41:41	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	51	99¢	$51	0xbd4598…
06-27 02:50:22	us obtains iranian enriched uranium by july 31 20260610164403871 511	No	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0xc4943a…
06-27 02:35:29	us obtains iranian enriched uranium by july 31 20260610164403871 511	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x416803…
06-27 01:13:10	us obtains iranian enriched uranium by july 31 20260610164403871 511	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x00a8eb…
06-26 22:05:32	us obtains iranian enriched uranium by july 31 20260610164403871 511	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x6a7b6a…
06-26 17:25:37	will hunter biden announce a delaware senate run by july 14	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x9d4310…
06-25 10:29:34	will bitcoin reach 80k in june 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xe1ff0a…
06-25 08:05:13	will bitcoin reach 80k in june 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1f5ae0…
06-25 06:59:14	will bitcoin reach 80k in june 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x88d790…
06-24 22:08:53	will bitcoin reach 80k in june 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf7e2fc…
06-24 21:05:55	will bitcoin reach 80k in june 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd7259d…
06-24 19:57:13	will bitcoin reach 80k in june 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe6b2be…
06-24 19:39:32	will bitcoin reach 80k in june 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$15	0xd5e67a…
06-24 17:40:34	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x34c10e…
06-24 16:52:53	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xdcfdae…
06-24 15:26:19	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x5c1770…
06-24 14:32:26	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x7aa5b6…
06-24 13:55:46	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x25fdab…
06-24 13:38:25	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x86cc78…
06-24 12:46:41	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x4b813e…
06-24 11:43:07	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xbb50e3…
06-24 08:30:29	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xdbe0b5…
06-24 07:20:43	will bitcoin reach 87pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xe91dfc…
06-24 03:16:55	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xbb9406…
06-24 03:14:59	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xa566ae…
06-24 02:13:55	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x4f3c1a…
06-24 01:00:17	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x6e2e4d…
06-24 00:22:04	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x2518dc…
06-23 19:22:44	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xdcfce2…
06-23 18:06:10	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x972168…
06-23 17:55:31	will bitcoin reach 87pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x29b062…
06-23 16:41:37	will bitcoin reach 87pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x3d39c7…
06-23 16:02:01	will bitcoin reach 87pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8b74f3…
06-23 13:46:37	us obtains iranian enriched uranium by july 31 20260610164403871 511	No	SELL	33	98¢	$32	0x9b6c36…
06-23 12:17:37	will bitcoin reach 87pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbfd37c…
06-23 09:19:47	will bitcoin reach 87pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x18e094…
06-23 08:57:14	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x46b9ab…
06-23 07:28:01	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xefaeb3…
06-23 06:30:25	will bitcoin reach 87pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6be456…
06-23 04:59:13	will bitcoin reach 87pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x83c7c2…
06-23 04:38:50	will bitcoin reach 87pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8384f6…
06-23 00:02:34	us obtains iranian enriched uranium by july 31 20260610164403871 511	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x411258…
06-22 23:42:59	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x1bbf14…
06-22 23:12:43	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xedfe5f…
06-22 23:00:35	will bitcoin reach 87pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8aa642…
06-22 21:53:32	us obtains iranian enriched uranium by july 31 20260610164403871 511	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xe10400…
06-22 17:51:56	us obtains iranian enriched uranium by july 31 20260610164403871 511	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x5cac65…
06-22 17:50:53	us obtains iranian enriched uranium by july 31 20260610164403871 511	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x3f61f7…
06-22 17:50:38	us obtains iranian enriched uranium by july 31 20260610164403871 511	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x194191…
06-22 16:05:16	will bitcoin reach 87pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc88ae8…
06-22 13:27:52	us obtains iranian enriched uranium by july 31 20260610164403871 511	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x1b9d69…
06-22 13:26:22	us obtains iranian enriched uranium by july 31 20260610164403871 511	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x51daec…
06-22 13:21:46	us obtains iranian enriched uranium by july 31 20260610164403871 511	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x8ba4a3…
06-22 13:21:37	us obtains iranian enriched uranium by july 31 20260610164403871 511	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xf0bb9e…
06-22 13:21:28	us obtains iranian enriched uranium by july 31 20260610164403871 511	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x63ce48…
06-22 13:21:20	us obtains iranian enriched uranium by july 31 20260610164403871 511	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xb02d19…
06-22 13:21:11	us obtains iranian enriched uranium by july 31 20260610164403871 511	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x00eee0…
06-22 13:19:28	us obtains iranian enriched uranium by july 31 20260610164403871 511	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x79fe5e…
06-22 13:19:26	us obtains iranian enriched uranium by july 31 20260610164403871 511	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x887f44…
06-22 13:19:23	us obtains iranian enriched uranium by july 31 20260610164403871 511	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xd99eb3…
06-22 13:19:23	us obtains iranian enriched uranium by july 31 20260610164403871 511	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xc2224b…
06-22 13:19:23	us obtains iranian enriched uranium by july 31 20260610164403871 511	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xae6651…
06-22 13:19:23	us obtains iranian enriched uranium by july 31 20260610164403871 511	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x0add57…
06-22 13:19:22	us obtains iranian enriched uranium by july 31 20260610164403871 511	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x6a2c3f…
06-22 13:19:22	us obtains iranian enriched uranium by july 31 20260610164403871 511	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x14d848…
06-22 13:19:20	us obtains iranian enriched uranium by july 31 20260610164403871 511	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x17acd1…
06-22 13:19:19	us obtains iranian enriched uranium by july 31 20260610164403871 511	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x9f71d5…
06-22 13:19:19	us obtains iranian enriched uranium by july 31 20260610164403871 511	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x41f695…
06-22 13:19:19	us obtains iranian enriched uranium by july 31 20260610164403871 511	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x3c2543…
06-22 13:19:19	us obtains iranian enriched uranium by july 31 20260610164403871 511	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x2ce5d9…
06-22 13:19:17	us obtains iranian enriched uranium by july 31 20260610164403871 511	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x2d49b0…
06-22 13:19:16	us obtains iranian enriched uranium by july 31 20260610164403871 511	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xe01ab1…
06-22 13:19:16	us obtains iranian enriched uranium by july 31 20260610164403871 511	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xc8c6c9…
06-22 13:19:16	us obtains iranian enriched uranium by july 31 20260610164403871 511	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x60a6cc…
06-22 13:19:16	us obtains iranian enriched uranium by july 31 20260610164403871 511	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x13b903…
06-22 13:19:11	us obtains iranian enriched uranium by july 31 20260610164403871 511	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xd04c90…
06-22 13:19:11	us obtains iranian enriched uranium by july 31 20260610164403871 511	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x793df0…
06-22 13:19:10	us obtains iranian enriched uranium by july 31 20260610164403871 511	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x0cb76b…
06-22 13:19:08	us obtains iranian enriched uranium by july 31 20260610164403871 511	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x00a8ee…
06-22 13:19:05	us obtains iranian enriched uranium by july 31 20260610164403871 511	No	SELL	8	98¢	$7	0x1e59ce…
06-22 13:00:22	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xb60be8…
06-22 12:37:20	will bitcoin reach 85k in june 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x1caa6a…
06-22 12:25:49	will bitcoin reach 85k in june 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xba8041…
06-22 12:24:29	will bitcoin reach 87pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x042625…
06-22 12:12:46	will bitcoin reach 85k in june 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x12c7f1…
06-22 10:29:17	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xb31449…
06-22 10:02:11	will bitcoin reach 85k in june 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x463412…
06-22 10:01:58	will bitcoin reach 87pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x0a8a5f…
06-21 21:22:32	will ethereum reach 2600 in june 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc83970…
06-21 18:10:41	will ethereum reach 2600 in june 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe23b56…
06-21 16:57:01	will ethereum reach 2600 in june 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xa3fcf9…
06-21 16:56:52	will ethereum reach 2700 in june 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3539f8…
06-21 13:58:40	will ethereum reach 2600 in june 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0ea63f…
06-21 12:00:38	will ethereum reach 2700 in june 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xb2866a…
06-21 07:24:32	will ethereum reach 2800 in june 2026	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x340f64…
06-21 06:11:40	will ethereum reach 2800 in june 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xb881ea…
06-20 14:11:59	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0xa2fe6f…
06-20 12:58:40	will bitcoin reach 85k in june 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9bc645…