Misguided-Bother — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

76.2%

Resolved

112

Trades

197

lifetime

Volume

$205

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-05

last 05-11 04:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

76% 75% +$1

Other

15% — —

Tech

4% — —

Politics

3% — —

Sports

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 101 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$9	6	6	+0	open	—	04-12 12:55
highest temperature in seoul on april 6 2026 12c	3	$4	5	5	+0	open	—	04-06 05:29
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-12 12:56
Will Kirk Cousins play for Seattle Seahawks in 2026-27?	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-07 10:37
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-07 07:50
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-07 11:48
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	2	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	04-12 12:56
highest temperature in seoul on april 6 2026 11c	8	$3	10	8	+3	open	—	04-06 05:57
will bitcoin dip to 67k on april 6	2	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	04-06 16:35
nba det orl 2026 04 06	2	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	04-06 22:57
will solana reach 90 on april 7	2	$3	2	1	+0	open	—	04-07 18:03
will wti reach 120 by april 6 2026	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	04-07 18:25
will iran successfully target shipping on march 31 2026 564	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	04-07 08:24
btc updown 5m 1776061800	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	04-13 06:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	2	$2	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	05-10 18:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	2	$2	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	05-10 16:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	2	$2	4	0	+4	Up	+$0	05-10 13:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	2	$2	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	05-10 16:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	2	$2	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	05-10 17:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	2	$2	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	05-10 16:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	2	$2	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	05-10 13:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	2	$2	5	0	+5	Down	+$0	05-10 16:31
btc updown 5m 1775545200	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	04-07 07:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	2	$2	4	0	+4	Down	+$0	05-10 18:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	2	$2	5	0	+5	Down	+$0	05-10 18:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	2	$2	4	0	+4	Up	+$0	05-10 14:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	2	$2	5	0	+5	Down	+$0	05-10 15:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	2	$2	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	05-10 17:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	2	$2	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	05-10 15:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	2	$2	5	0	+5	Down	+$0	05-10 17:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-11 04:04:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	SELL	1	26¢	$0	0x39d8ab…
05-11 04:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xd7ef3d…
05-11 03:49:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x64be72…
05-11 03:38:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x9201d5…
05-11 03:27:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xdf9efe…
05-11 03:17:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xc5f5ea…
05-11 03:07:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x823345…
05-11 02:58:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x07e4fa…
05-11 02:49:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x5c827a…
05-11 02:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	SELL	1	33¢	$0	0xb6782e…
05-11 02:39:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x5bd8fc…
05-11 02:29:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xaf2df0…
05-11 02:23:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xa7b318…
05-11 02:14:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	1	28¢	$0	0x9e0fd8…
05-11 02:13:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xbc5d21…
05-11 02:03:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x69fa6b…
05-11 01:52:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x77d21e…
05-11 01:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	14¢	$0	0xbc45a9…
05-11 01:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x96a8f4…
05-11 01:37:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x3676cd…
05-11 01:34:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	SELL	1	43¢	$0	0x6bf71a…
05-11 01:33:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xecdeeb…
05-11 01:27:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x0e4c2e…
05-11 01:24:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xae1c1f…
05-11 01:07:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x0548db…
05-11 01:03:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xa449e0…
05-11 00:58:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x1c6822…
05-11 00:49:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x6fdd55…
05-11 00:43:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x0e71df…
05-11 00:39:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x686b26…
05-11 00:27:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x2c1d5a…
05-11 00:13:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xe27ee5…
05-11 00:07:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x09f6f1…
05-11 00:04:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x675465…
05-10 23:58:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x91199e…
05-10 23:52:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x7d9f0c…
05-10 23:48:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x78ceb7…
05-10 23:44:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xceaa8a…
05-10 23:37:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x14c48e…
05-10 23:34:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x3b33c4…
05-10 23:29:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xcd46a6…
05-10 23:17:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x8f7a8b…
05-10 23:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x664c87…
05-10 23:08:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x6c4f36…
05-10 22:53:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	SELL	1	39¢	$0	0x4f3d15…
05-10 22:52:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x2bea9b…
05-10 22:49:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xf0e2b4…
05-10 22:43:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x8576e7…
05-10 22:37:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x4a934d…
05-10 22:17:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	SELL	1	32¢	$0	0x6ed14d…
05-10 22:17:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xcb2c7d…
05-10 22:03:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xe20f4a…
05-10 21:58:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x7564c5…
05-10 21:53:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xd3ca0d…
05-10 21:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xf2c77e…
05-10 21:42:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xcbdd4a…
05-10 21:32:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x424934…
05-10 21:28:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xdbefa8…
05-10 21:17:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x8d7537…
05-10 20:57:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x8683a6…
05-10 20:43:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x5b1c91…
05-10 20:28:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x9d92d5…
05-10 20:23:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x626a68…
05-10 20:17:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x2ddcfe…
05-10 20:12:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x93f2e2…
05-10 20:08:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x7ad281…
05-10 20:04:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x377813…
05-10 19:48:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x6b1b7b…
05-10 19:43:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x25b096…
05-10 19:32:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xffa00e…
05-10 19:23:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x8fc95c…
05-10 19:08:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x18420d…
05-10 18:55:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x4accb1…
05-10 18:50:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x7fa86e…
05-10 18:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xce4dcf…
05-10 18:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x2f5fed…
05-10 18:35:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x054a0d…
05-10 18:31:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x050bc8…
05-10 18:30:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x9f6304…
05-10 18:25:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x93d25b…
05-10 18:20:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x7cb133…
05-10 18:20:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xd188ad…
05-10 18:15:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xc5af0c…
05-10 18:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xfa7587…
05-10 18:03:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xf6810b…
05-10 17:55:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xae76c6…
05-10 17:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xb3a9ff…
05-10 17:50:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xc78c1c…
05-10 17:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xba080f…
05-10 17:35:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x258931…
05-10 17:25:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x43512d…
05-10 17:20:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xb6a7d9…
05-10 17:15:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xffd722…
05-10 17:10:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xedeca9…
05-10 17:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x27deaf…
05-10 17:05:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xc5ed39…
05-10 17:01:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xad408a…
05-10 17:00:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xedf97c…
05-10 16:55:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xa0bd66…
05-10 16:55:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x1111d5…