Worthwhile-Mailing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$127

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

15.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$33.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.47K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 05-08 09:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

98% 33% $-127

Politics

2% 0% $-0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	2	$32.0K	16,074	16,074	+0	open	—	01-09 05:13
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 5?	2	$641	373	373	+0	Up	$-7	05-05 13:23
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	2	$520	306	306	+0	No	+$0	05-05 18:10
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 6?	2	$248	168	168	+0	Down	+$3	05-06 06:06
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 6?	1	$122	533	0	+533	Up	$-122	05-06 04:57
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	4	$80	154	154	+0	open	—	05-07 15:08
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	4	$61	170	125	+45	open	—	05-08 07:01
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	2	$55	98	98	+0	open	—	05-06 09:33
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	2	$40	20	20	+0	No	$-0	05-08 09:24
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$32	64	0	+64	open	—	05-07 10:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-08 09:24:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x332153…
05-08 08:32:23	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x33b853…
05-08 07:01:01	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	SELL	125	15¢	$19	0xc259f3…
05-08 06:52:33	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	125	16¢	$20	0xb9edaf…
05-07 15:08:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	68	23¢	$16	0xd0c333…
05-07 14:36:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	36	28¢	$10	0x7922dd…
05-07 14:35:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	51	28¢	$14	0x3a0d26…
05-07 14:03:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	BUY	154	26¢	$40	0xc9f4b8…
05-07 10:59:05	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0xf25ace…
05-07 10:59:05	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	38¢	$12	0x38557b…
05-07 10:45:36	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	22	12¢	$3	0xd0d175…
05-07 10:45:36	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0x061f56…
05-06 09:33:36	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	98	26¢	$25	0x229e47…
05-06 06:14:40	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	98	30¢	$29	0x58d22b…
05-06 06:06:48	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	SELL	168	75¢	$126	0xfec36a…
05-06 05:15:56	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	BUY	168	73¢	$122	0x5521e5…
05-06 04:57:28	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 6?	Down	BUY	533	23¢	$122	0xe0dfdc…
05-05 18:10:00	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	SELL	306	85¢	$260	0x2bd047…
05-05 14:15:20	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	306	85¢	$260	0x5c14bf…
05-05 13:23:20	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 5?	Up	SELL	373	85¢	$317	0xd8808f…
05-05 13:21:14	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 5?	Up	BUY	373	87¢	$324	0x0fff7a…
01-09 05:13:34	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	SELL	16,074	99¢	$15,977	0xd49dfe…
01-09 05:02:46	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	16,074	100¢	$15,994	0x163f7a…