Quizzical-Cap — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.97K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.7%

Resolved

Trades

120

lifetime

Volume

$36.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$304

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 05-08 07:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

78% 54% $-1,970

Politics

21% — —

Other

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 81 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	7	$7.6K	11,285	11,285	+0	open	—	05-07 16:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	2	$4.1K	2,036	2,036	+0	Down	+$18	05-07 17:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	7	$3.8K	3,765	3,765	+0	Up	+$312	05-07 17:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	4	$3.5K	2,044	1,772	+273	Up	$-178	05-07 17:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	8	$3.5K	4,054	3,935	+119	Down	+$533	05-07 17:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	5	$2.5K	2,058	1,558	+500	Up	+$269	05-07 16:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	1	$2.0K	2,017	0	+2,017	Up	+$20	05-07 17:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	3	$2.0K	3,096	0	+3,096	Up	$-1,981	05-07 17:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	4	$1.0K	633	633	+0	Up	+$38	05-05 06:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	2	$525	320	320	+0	Down	+$109	05-05 06:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	4	$468	265	265	+0	Up	+$57	05-05 06:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	2	$460	238	238	+0	Down	+$12	05-05 06:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	3	$418	556	231	+325	Down	+$7	05-07 16:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	5	$376	215	215	+0	Down	+$13	05-07 16:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	6	$372	649	350	+299	Up	$-90	05-07 15:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	3	$353	586	196	+389	Up	$-192	05-07 11:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	2	$289	469	469	+0	Down	+$6	05-07 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	1	$288	400	0	+400	Down	$-288	05-05 06:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	2	$288	145	145	+0	Up	+$0	05-07 16:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	2	$285	145	145	+0	Down	+$3	05-07 16:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	2	$271	136	136	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 06:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	1	$196	610	0	+610	Down	$-196	05-05 03:50
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?	3	$196	6,769	0	+6,769	open	—	04-30 18:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	3	$163	273	244	+29	Up	+$2	05-05 03:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	4	$157	119	119	+0	Down	+$77	05-07 15:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	2	$156	80	80	+0	Down	+$2	05-07 11:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	1	$138	304	0	+304	Down	$-138	05-07 16:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	1	$131	271	0	+271	Up	$-131	05-05 06:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	1	$128	182	0	+182	Up	+$54	05-07 15:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	2	$118	62	62	+0	open	—	04-30 12:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-08 07:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	22	53¢	$12	0xd4dc05…
05-08 07:19:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	13	96¢	$12	0x25240f…
05-08 07:15:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	13	62¢	$8	0x5ef0e4…
05-08 07:15:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x6abb19…
05-08 07:10:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	55¢	$5	0x64929f…
05-07 17:30:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1,227	66¢	$807	0xd55fc1…
05-07 17:30:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1,316	60¢	$796	0xb9502f…
05-07 17:30:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	553	68¢	$379	0x43b992…
05-07 17:30:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2,036	100¢	$2,034	0x74af12…
05-07 17:27:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2,036	99¢	$2,016	0x58a6ca…
05-07 17:23:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2,017	99¢	$1,997	0x7616b5…
05-07 17:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	880	52¢	$460	0xfde3c6…
05-07 17:10:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1,606	54¢	$871	0x9b01d6…
05-07 17:10:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1,280	57¢	$732	0x1bc922…
05-07 17:10:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	28	52¢	$15	0xf2ed00…
05-07 17:10:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1,432	50¢	$717	0x8a857f…
05-07 17:10:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1,026	46¢	$473	0x43f79a…
05-07 17:10:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1,279	43¢	$547	0x354f7f…
05-07 17:04:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	SELL	993	91¢	$905	0x40bff1…
05-07 17:04:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	SELL	779	83¢	$644	0x1efdb0…
05-07 17:03:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1,235	97¢	$1,202	0xb4f7bb…
05-07 17:03:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	809	99¢	$798	0x63efb6…
05-07 17:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	202	100¢	$202	0xbd01a2…
05-07 16:55:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1,364	52¢	$708	0xf2b50d…
05-07 16:55:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	793	41¢	$322	0xef8762…
05-07 16:55:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1,575	47¢	$740	0x0ca178…
05-07 16:55:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	146	46¢	$67	0xb78e36…
05-07 16:55:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1,851	37¢	$692	0xa09c85…
05-07 16:55:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1,114	43¢	$482	0x432e5c…
05-07 16:55:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	943	34¢	$317	0x2dbe8d…
05-07 16:54:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	325	3¢	$10	0x76e1d0…
05-07 16:53:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	SELL	231	92¢	$213	0x99ee96…
05-07 16:51:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	231	85¢	$196	0x336bc8…
05-07 16:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	500	2¢	$10	0x838541…
05-07 16:48:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	SELL	1,359	88¢	$1,193	0x5936f6…
05-07 16:48:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	SELL	199	86¢	$171	0x2e2ec3…
05-07 16:47:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1,162	68¢	$796	0xe1562a…
05-07 16:47:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	396	73¢	$290	0x3d0870…
05-07 16:35:42	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	1,763	79¢	$1,393	0x799ed8…
05-07 16:30:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	304	45¢	$138	0xd58f56…
05-07 16:30:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	145	99¢	$144	0x20cf5c…
05-07 16:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	145	99¢	$144	0xcf661f…
05-07 16:19:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	SELL	145	99¢	$144	0x6b0560…
05-07 16:18:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	145	97¢	$141	0xf6533a…
05-07 16:14:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	469	31¢	$147	0x364881…
05-07 16:11:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	469	30¢	$142	0x741104…
05-07 16:06:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	77	26¢	$20	0xcae8a1…
05-07 16:05:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	146	99¢	$145	0x57633c…
05-07 16:04:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	146	89¢	$130	0x13993e…
05-07 16:03:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	SELL	68	73¢	$50	0x279323…
05-07 16:03:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	64	76¢	$49	0x9327d9…
05-07 16:02:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x07abe3…
05-07 15:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x7a6faa…
05-07 15:54:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	264	17¢	$45	0xd2b895…
05-07 15:53:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	192	26¢	$50	0xb4c140…
05-07 15:53:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x587bbd…
05-07 15:47:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	182	70¢	$128	0xce83c5…
05-07 15:46:26	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	150	80¢	$120	0x7575a8…
05-07 15:44:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	59	19¢	$11	0xa5c07e…
05-07 15:44:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	358	33¢	$119	0x556fd6…
05-07 15:42:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	291	45¢	$130	0x040816…
05-07 15:42:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	280	38¢	$108	0xc2f12f…
05-07 15:41:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0x5a0597…
05-07 15:41:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x253418…
05-07 15:40:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	SELL	116	99¢	$115	0x9ee291…
05-07 15:38:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	SELL	3	72¢	$2	0x49607b…
05-07 15:38:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	116	33¢	$38	0x5ea0ef…
05-07 15:36:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0x6f08c6…
05-07 15:33:20	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	50	80¢	$40	0x278eb2…
05-07 15:27:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xb5ede0…
05-07 15:26:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	14	86¢	$12	0x961947…
05-07 15:25:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	14	75¢	$11	0x9a131e…
05-07 15:24:49	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	13	80¢	$10	0x83dad8…
05-07 13:24:13	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	1,976	85¢	$1,672	0xb9dc48…
05-07 13:16:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	57	35¢	$20	0x0f79e4…
05-07 13:15:09	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	9,309	18¢	$1,693	0x8661f6…
05-07 11:30:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	152	50¢	$76	0x79b661…
05-07 11:28:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	80	98¢	$79	0xae77cb…
05-07 11:27:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	80	96¢	$77	0x5f846e…
05-07 11:22:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	389	44¢	$172	0x4e87f8…
05-07 11:21:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	SELL	196	41¢	$80	0x0aaaca…
05-07 11:20:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0x81602e…
05-07 11:12:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	110	10¢	$11	0x7c1f6e…
05-07 11:08:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	20	82¢	$17	0xb6719d…
05-07 09:15:03	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	SELL	15	10¢	$2	0xec9126…
05-07 07:57:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	258	28¢	$72	0xa24fc1…
05-06 19:03:21	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	9,309	29¢	$2,673	0xaf518e…
05-06 05:35:08	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	15	12¢	$2	0xfcc9cd…
05-05 06:51:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	271	48¢	$131	0x303ba8…
05-05 06:51:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	SELL	136	100¢	$136	0xb40fae…
05-05 06:48:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	136	99¢	$135	0x9b7173…
05-05 06:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	400	72¢	$288	0x0681d3…
05-05 06:41:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	SELL	320	99¢	$317	0xf99262…
05-05 06:37:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	320	65¢	$208	0x54b535…
05-05 06:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	SELL	265	99¢	$262	0x478666…
05-05 06:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	34	93¢	$31	0xd44de4…
05-05 06:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	127	61¢	$77	0xc505fa…
05-05 06:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	104	93¢	$97	0x5a5158…
05-05 06:30:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	268	99¢	$266	0x546b24…
05-05 06:29:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	268	98¢	$263	0xa08a0f…