Outrageous-Climb — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$51

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.6%

Resolved

137

Trades

2,264

lifetime

Volume

$38.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-25

last 06-07 08:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 84% +$27

Other

4% 100% +$14

Politics

1% — —

Sports

1% 100% +$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

51 active days in 12wk • peak 111 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
xrp updown 5m 1774701300	2	$350	355	0	+355	open	—	03-28 12:39
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	4	$282	169	169	+0	open	—	04-13 04:39
xrp updown 5m 1774713600	2	$250	279	0	+279	open	—	03-28 16:04
xrp updown 5m 1774701600	1	$200	202	0	+202	open	—	03-28 12:44
xrp updown 5m 1774701000	1	$200	202	0	+202	open	—	03-28 12:34
xrp updown 5m 1774713300	2	$160	165	0	+165	open	—	03-28 15:59
eth updown 5m 1774700100	2	$150	156	0	+156	open	—	03-28 12:19
eth updown 5m 1774797900	1	$145	148	0	+148	open	—	03-29 15:28
xrp updown 5m 1774712100	1	$140	145	0	+145	open	—	03-28 15:39
xrp updown 5m 1774701900	1	$140	144	0	+144	open	—	03-28 12:49
btc updown 5m 1772132100	1	$137	148	0	+148	open	—	02-26 18:59
btc updown 5m 1775059500	2	$135	139	0	+139	open	—	04-01 16:09
btc updown 5m 1774457700	1	$130	132	0	+132	open	—	03-25 16:59
xrp updown 5m 1774797600	1	$125	129	0	+129	open	—	03-29 15:24
dota2 ts8 navi 2026 04 21	6	$122	149	0	+149	open	—	04-21 08:49
eth updown 15m 1774459800	1	$120	125	0	+125	open	—	03-25 17:42
XRP Up or Down - May 8, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	2	$120	124	0	+124	Down	+$4	05-08 07:09
btc updown 5m 1774875600	6	$120	148	0	+148	open	—	03-30 13:04
sol updown 5m 1774443900	1	$120	122	0	+122	open	—	03-25 13:09
sol updown 5m 1774964700	1	$115	116	0	+116	open	—	03-31 13:47
btc updown 5m 1774464600	1	$110	113	0	+113	open	—	03-25 18:54
XRP Up or Down - May 8, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	1	$107	108	0	+108	Up	+$1	05-08 06:44
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	3	$103	59	59	+0	open	—	03-25 13:45
eth updown 5m 1774464300	1	$100	101	0	+101	open	—	03-25 18:49
btc updown 5m 1774461000	1	$100	102	0	+102	open	—	03-25 17:54
will the next official us iran meeting be in oman	2	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	02-07 15:53
btc updown 5m 1772622900	5	$92	73	47	+26	open	—	03-04 11:21
btc updown 5m 1775038200	4	$88	89	35	+54	open	—	04-01 10:15
btc updown 5m 1774874400	6	$87	116	0	+116	open	—	03-30 12:44
sol updown 5m 1774445700	5	$86	68	37	+31	open	—	03-25 13:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 08:59:36	btc updown 5m 1780822500	Down	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0xe14a7b…
06-07 08:54:36	btc updown 5m 1780822200	Up	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0x348ba5…
06-07 08:54:22	sol updown 5m 1780822200	Up	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0xd0af74…
06-07 08:54:18	eth updown 5m 1780822200	Up	BUY	18	95¢	$17	0xc9cd3a…
06-07 08:47:00	btc updown 5m 1780821900	Up	BUY	18	97¢	$17	0xc2d2ad…
06-07 08:43:45	sol updown 5m 1780821600	Up	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0xf26e67…
06-07 08:41:45	btc updown 5m 1780821600	Down	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x46bed3…
06-07 08:37:34	eth updown 5m 1780821300	Up	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xc5f2a6…
05-29 16:44:22	XRP Up or Down - May 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xeb1fd0…
05-29 16:23:59	Solana Up or Down - May 29, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	19	89¢	$17	0xde6e31…
05-29 16:23:57	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	19	87¢	$17	0x26d03e…
05-29 16:23:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	21	82¢	$17	0x028d78…
05-29 16:18:23	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x461bdd…
05-29 16:17:36	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	23	90¢	$21	0x2316cc…
05-29 16:17:34	Solana Up or Down - May 29, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0x0ed61f…
05-29 16:14:34	XRP Up or Down - May 29, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	90¢	$14	0x429b7e…
05-28 08:25:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0x977444…
05-28 08:25:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x9be346…
05-28 08:18:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0xf18c8c…
05-26 20:13:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x6b3e35…
05-20 11:20:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1,700	1¢	$17	0x1a42a6…
05-20 11:20:00	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x17059f…
05-20 11:19:53	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x1934ad…
05-20 11:14:36	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	26	74¢	$19	0xa9b71e…
05-20 11:13:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	21	82¢	$17	0x727d31…
05-20 11:09:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	18	93¢	$17	0x5cabee…
05-20 11:09:19	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	21	92¢	$19	0xbb13a6…
05-20 11:09:14	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	18	92¢	$17	0x1b8897…
05-20 11:04:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x30a2cc…
05-20 11:03:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	19	88¢	$17	0x5165cb…
05-20 11:03:29	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	19	90¢	$17	0x7bd8ae…
05-20 11:03:08	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0xd07eae…
05-20 10:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	34	73¢	$25	0xb8f2de…
05-20 10:58:49	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	18	92¢	$17	0x3d5c6f…
05-19 18:23:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x78bec8…
05-19 18:19:55	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	18	78¢	$14	0xcdaeb0…
05-19 18:19:32	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	21	80¢	$17	0x4176be…
05-19 18:14:56	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x88e66d…
05-19 18:07:07	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	18	96¢	$17	0x9a6496…
05-19 18:07:00	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	18	93¢	$17	0xec9ed9…
05-19 18:06:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	21	89¢	$19	0x70983c…
05-19 18:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	21	85¢	$18	0x55db00…
05-19 18:03:02	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	21	84¢	$18	0x25095b…
05-19 18:02:25	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x27de91…
05-19 18:02:16	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x3788f5…
05-19 17:58:39	Solana Up or Down - May 19, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	21	80¢	$17	0x48c707…
05-19 15:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0x84227a…
05-18 18:02:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x555635…
05-18 17:59:59	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x7f924e…
05-18 17:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0x354f73…
05-18 16:09:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xc72ada…
05-18 16:09:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x49f6e3…
05-18 16:09:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	18	94¢	$17	0x7ddcc3…
05-18 16:04:01	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x520262…
05-18 16:03:50	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	22	88¢	$19	0xced43b…
05-18 16:03:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	28	61¢	$17	0x407f05…
05-17 18:53:38	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0x87694d…
05-17 18:49:40	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	18	95¢	$17	0xbbde68…
05-17 18:49:19	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0x35a86f…
05-17 15:32:21	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	19	88¢	$17	0xf3777c…
05-17 15:29:47	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	23	79¢	$18	0x6966f7…
05-17 15:23:54	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	28	75¢	$21	0xe49940…
05-17 15:21:28	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x181cd1…
05-17 15:14:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x79ca86…
05-15 10:49:47	Paris: Katie Volynets vs Yulia Starodubtseva	Katie Volynets	BUY	39	56¢	$22	0xba8445…
05-15 10:46:34	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	SELL	38	58¢	$22	0x0dad53…
05-15 10:43:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xa71baf…
05-15 10:41:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0xb6ef7e…
05-14 12:09:55	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	35	42¢	$15	0xae72c0…
05-14 12:08:22	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0x6c2b8a…
05-14 12:07:51	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	No	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0x4f1fc4…
05-14 12:06:48	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	2	35¢	$1	0xca5136…
05-14 12:04:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xeba8ad…
05-14 12:03:21	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	21	90¢	$19	0xb313cb…
05-14 11:59:09	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0xe1eb3c…
05-14 11:59:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	19	91¢	$17	0x85d57f…
05-14 11:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	18	94¢	$17	0xc5038c…
05-14 11:54:43	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0xf87248…
05-14 11:54:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Up	BUY	19	92¢	$17	0x3470d1…
05-14 11:49:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0xd51cf6…
05-13 19:38:34	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0xa3e6de…
05-13 19:32:11	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	18	93¢	$17	0xc8beb5…
05-13 19:27:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	18	94¢	$17	0x996ed3…
05-13 19:07:55	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	19	88¢	$17	0xc64375…
05-13 19:02:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	21	82¢	$17	0x955287…
05-13 18:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	29	59¢	$17	0x97b2e1…
05-13 18:53:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	19	88¢	$17	0xfd7008…
05-13 12:09:17	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	15	88¢	$13	0x57cfa3…
05-13 12:07:41	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	23	79¢	$18	0x733993…
05-13 12:03:31	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xc7a855…
05-13 12:02:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0x77b9ad…
05-13 11:52:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0xd2c954…
05-13 11:44:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	22	77¢	$17	0x4c03ec…
05-13 11:44:17	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	19	89¢	$17	0x34682b…
05-13 11:39:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	21	72¢	$15	0xfe6be6…
05-13 11:32:23	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x492345…
05-13 11:28:08	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	18	93¢	$17	0xf619cd…
05-13 11:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	18	82¢	$15	0x73ae5b…
05-13 11:17:01	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x4e8248…
05-13 11:14:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xcd6782…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a	698	$559.8K	124,543	06-07 08:59
(anonymous) 0x6cf4…e1fa	693	$1.29K	3,061	06-07 09:00
(anonymous) 0xd216…eead	681	$2.01K	3,691	06-07 09:00
(anonymous) 0x09ae…55bc	661	$16.8K	2,292	04-30 15:45
(anonymous) 0x8852…c569	655	$60.0K	16,488	06-07 08:57
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	585	$199.5K	17,039	05-29 16:40
(anonymous) 0x732f…f081	534	$276.9K	18,193	03-31 15:34
Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de	515	$602	1,724	05-29 16:45