Merry-Quiver — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.8%

Resolved

190

Trades

698

lifetime

Volume

$1.28K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 05-28 11:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 54% +$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 250 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	6	$102	109	3	+106	Up	+$7	05-08 10:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	7	$81	72	46	+26	Up	+$6	05-08 13:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	2	$72	81	0	+81	open	—	05-18 08:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	4	$60	75	0	+75	Up	+$8	05-08 12:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	1	$60	63	0	+63	open	—	05-28 11:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	3	$35	48	0	+48	Down	$-35	05-08 21:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	6	$32	42	5	+36	Down	+$7	05-08 11:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	5	$26	31	26	+5	Up	+$2	05-08 11:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	4	$25	35	15	+20	Up	+$1	05-08 11:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	12	$16	29	29	+0	Down	+$4	05-09 06:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	3	$15	16	0	+16	Down	+$1	05-08 13:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	2	$12	16	0	+16	open	—	05-19 10:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	10	$11	17	17	+0	Down	+$2	05-09 04:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	2	$11	18	0	+18	Down	+$7	05-08 10:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	2	$11	12	0	+12	Up	+$1	05-08 10:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	10	$10	12	12	+0	Up	+$0	05-13 03:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	6	$10	6	6	+0	Down	$-0	05-13 08:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	6	$10	8	8	+0	Up	+$2	05-13 05:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	05-19 11:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	10	$10	10	10	+0	Down	$-0	05-12 09:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	6	$10	6	6	+0	Up	+$0	05-13 08:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	8	$9	17	17	+0	Down	+$1	05-09 05:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	8	$9	12	12	+0	Down	+$1	05-12 09:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	8	$9	12	12	+0	Down	$-1	05-13 09:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	8	$9	13	13	+0	Down	+$1	05-09 03:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	7	$9	8	6	+2	Down	+$1	05-13 09:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	6	$8	7	7	+0	Down	+$2	05-12 09:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	8	$8	25	25	+0	Up	$-0	05-12 09:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	8	$8	8	8	+0	Down	$-0	05-09 03:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	4	$8	12	12	+0	Up	+$3	05-13 07:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-28 11:49:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x780f2e…
05-28 11:27:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x92b16b…
05-28 11:23:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x60cd3b…
05-28 11:19:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	63	95¢	$60	0xe558b7…
05-19 11:54:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x7c2911…
05-19 11:04:14	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 19, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x6d968f…
05-19 11:03:00	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 19, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x267eb9…
05-19 10:19:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	14	76¢	$11	0xafbf5a…
05-19 10:19:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xfe519c…
05-18 08:54:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x29082c…
05-18 08:52:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	30	73¢	$22	0x497824…
05-13 11:09:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x683cef…
05-13 11:06:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	77¢	$2	0x0729fa…
05-13 11:03:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	SELL	6	6¢	$0	0xac65a6…
05-13 11:03:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x8b89da…
05-13 11:03:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	SELL	2	15¢	$0	0x30f1a7…
05-13 11:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xfcb126…
05-13 10:59:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0xd1bf14…
05-13 10:58:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x927059…
05-13 10:58:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x4ef8d7…
05-13 10:57:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xa61b50…
05-13 10:23:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xcaa54b…
05-13 10:23:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0x82c161…
05-13 10:21:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xec69a9…
05-13 10:19:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x6f3e6a…
05-13 10:18:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xa6907b…
05-13 10:18:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	SELL	3	12¢	$0	0x6c405a…
05-13 10:16:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x8f73d7…
05-13 10:12:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0x24763f…
05-13 10:11:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x862043…
05-13 10:09:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	SELL	22	1¢	$0	0xa55303…
05-13 10:08:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	102	1¢	$1	0xa6d4ea…
05-13 10:08:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	SELL	4	2¢	$0	0xdb0d49…
05-13 10:06:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	34¢	$1	0x3c19e3…
05-13 10:02:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x03c4c2…
05-13 10:01:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xdb1164…
05-13 09:59:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0x50cb58…
05-13 09:56:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0xa2e211…
05-13 09:46:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xf299a6…
05-13 09:41:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	4	31¢	$1	0x523a12…
05-13 09:41:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	32¢	$1	0x8885b3…
05-13 09:39:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	SELL	33	1¢	$0	0xf87e46…
05-13 09:38:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x26ac11…
05-13 09:28:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	11	4¢	$0	0x28f10f…
05-13 09:27:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x54857f…
05-13 09:19:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0xff5c33…
05-13 09:18:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	70¢	$1	0xf8929a…
05-13 09:17:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x9b17c6…
05-13 09:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x460ae9…
05-13 09:17:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0xc257d0…
05-13 09:17:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xddf38c…
05-13 09:16:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x3d5288…
05-13 09:12:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0x83a7ed…
05-13 09:11:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x719382…
05-13 09:08:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	SELL	3	15¢	$0	0xd3ece2…
05-13 09:08:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xd4f88e…
05-13 09:08:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0xf6764c…
05-13 09:07:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0xcc222b…
05-13 09:07:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0xa0acd9…
05-13 09:07:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x19d168…
05-13 09:06:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0x8dd03f…
05-13 09:06:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x204cc4…
05-13 09:03:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x1b313e…
05-13 09:01:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x2f76d6…
05-13 09:01:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	SELL	3	22¢	$1	0xcae9fa…
05-13 09:01:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x8d469c…
05-13 08:54:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xb77c3c…
05-13 08:53:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x95cbd0…
05-13 08:52:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x0fdec4…
05-13 08:51:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xb2bafe…
05-13 08:47:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x87c47d…
05-13 08:47:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x87602c…
05-13 08:47:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0xbe278d…
05-13 08:46:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x021036…
05-13 08:46:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0xc65f0f…
05-13 08:46:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x99afc1…
05-13 08:42:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xe52624…
05-13 08:41:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xdbe47e…
05-13 08:39:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xb7cb1a…
05-13 08:39:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xb1fd77…
05-13 08:38:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	76¢	$2	0x99e89f…
05-13 08:37:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x90f4d1…
05-13 08:37:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	71¢	$1	0x8fee9f…
05-13 08:36:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0xb56b99…
05-13 08:32:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x1ff64b…
05-13 08:31:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x10deb1…
05-13 08:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0xa8e0e7…
05-13 08:28:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x3d905d…
05-13 08:28:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	82¢	$2	0x7daeb2…
05-13 08:27:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xedb813…
05-13 08:27:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x0fb091…
05-13 08:27:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0x3149d1…
05-13 08:24:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	84¢	$2	0xa9e0e8…
05-13 08:21:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xb525a0…
05-13 08:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x4976f9…
05-13 08:16:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xec9aaa…
05-13 08:14:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x783047…
05-13 08:13:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x805bfd…
05-13 08:13:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	18¢	$0	0x34b478…
05-13 08:11:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x1528e4…