Smug-Cowbell — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

41.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$110

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-25

last 05-06 14:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 45% $-11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	4	$7	7	7	+0	open	—	04-25 18:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	1	$6	11	0	+11	Down	$-6	05-05 11:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	1	$6	8	0	+8	open	—	04-25 19:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	4	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 15:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	2	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	05-04 13:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	3	$5	5	3	+2	Down	$-1	05-06 13:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	4	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	05-04 13:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	3	$4	4	2	+1	Up	+$0	05-05 09:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	3	$4	4	2	+2	Down	$-0	05-05 10:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	3	$4	6	2	+3	Up	$-3	05-06 14:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	3	$4	5	2	+3	Up	$-0	05-05 10:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	3	$4	4	2	+2	Up	$-0	05-05 10:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	3	$3	4	2	+2	Down	$-1	05-05 10:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	2	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	05-04 13:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 10:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	2	$3	3	3	+0	Down	+$1	05-05 15:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	3	$3	3	2	+2	Down	$-1	05-05 10:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	05-04 20:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	05-05 14:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-04 14:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	05-05 09:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	05-05 14:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-04 19:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-25 18:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	04-25 01:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	04-25 18:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	05-04 13:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	$-0	05-06 13:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	2	$2	3	3	+0	open	—	05-04 13:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	1	$1	20	0	+20	open	—	04-25 18:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 14:09:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	15¢	$0	0xcfc4b8…
05-06 14:06:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x6ba347…
05-06 14:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xdeafa1…
05-06 14:02:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xa51d26…
05-06 13:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	73¢	$2	0x89b01d…
05-06 13:56:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xa3f769…
05-06 13:55:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xcd475d…
05-06 13:54:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	36¢	$1	0x523035…
05-06 13:50:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x79deea…
05-05 15:08:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0x2c5d3b…
05-05 15:06:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x9cb7d8…
05-05 15:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	SELL	3	73¢	$2	0x80b801…
05-05 15:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xa3bdf4…
05-05 15:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0xc46b3a…
05-05 15:01:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xb28173…
05-05 14:57:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0xc11bb6…
05-05 14:55:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xcfa94d…
05-05 14:53:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x2f1684…
05-05 14:52:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xbca53d…
05-05 11:16:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	11	57¢	$6	0x300b4d…
05-05 10:58:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x093416…
05-05 10:56:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x8343c7…
05-05 10:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xda3052…
05-05 10:48:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x04920e…
05-05 10:46:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x766226…
05-05 10:45:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xe99fbe…
05-05 10:42:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x40ea9b…
05-05 10:38:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x23a1d7…
05-05 10:36:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xca80ef…
05-05 10:35:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x376d16…
05-05 10:34:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x087582…
05-05 10:33:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x7e02c4…
05-05 10:33:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xbfa032…
05-05 10:14:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	30¢	$1	0x96e8d4…
05-05 10:11:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xe4ab4b…
05-05 10:11:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x2d332f…
05-05 10:06:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0x08703a…
05-05 10:05:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xc123f0…
05-05 09:59:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xfe41fa…
05-05 09:56:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xdb7f95…
05-05 09:54:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0xb1c428…
05-05 09:51:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x374d4a…
05-05 09:51:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xd74f03…
05-04 20:18:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x2d1bc1…
05-04 20:09:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0x85cdfe…
05-04 20:08:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x320aaa…
05-04 19:08:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xc3e60c…
05-04 19:07:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x714ee5…
05-04 14:11:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xf491dd…
05-04 14:06:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x79d04e…
05-04 14:04:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x14f6f8…
05-04 14:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x5dbd74…
05-04 13:57:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	89¢	$4	0xeae9a7…
05-04 13:57:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xf43b1d…
05-04 13:51:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x953e60…
05-04 13:50:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	3	17¢	$1	0xb0cfb4…
05-04 13:46:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x5f6032…
05-04 13:43:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x4274ab…
05-04 13:43:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xd36b78…
05-04 13:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	86¢	$1	0x376d58…
05-04 13:42:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xb0ac9d…
05-04 13:22:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	SELL	3	53¢	$2	0x3618ff…
05-04 13:21:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x730232…
05-04 13:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xfdc786…
04-25 19:41:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0x35e29e…
04-25 19:35:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x44952a…
04-25 18:41:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xf6b592…
04-25 18:35:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x8473c1…
04-25 18:34:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xeec002…
04-25 18:32:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xa024e6…
04-25 18:25:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x0b1391…
04-25 18:21:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x6d9b05…
04-25 18:19:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	SELL	4	75¢	$3	0xa7863a…
04-25 18:18:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x144631…
04-25 18:17:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	SELL	3	47¢	$1	0x2b7684…
04-25 18:16:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x6fb940…
04-25 18:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xf04f34…
04-25 18:02:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xe71b2a…
04-25 17:46:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xc6c99d…
04-25 09:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x616a98…
04-25 01:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x9e47f8…