Unwilling-Politics — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$13

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.3%

Resolved

Trades

307

lifetime

Volume

$584

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-11

last 08-09 21:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 50% $-13

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	6	$24	31	31	+0	Down	+$8	05-09 12:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	6	$22	23	23	+0	Up	+$4	05-09 12:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	3	$19	21	21	+0	Down	+$1	05-09 11:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	3	$18	25	25	+0	Up	+$6	05-09 11:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	4	$18	20	20	+0	Down	+$6	05-09 10:58
btc updown 5m 1774941600	2	$17	17	16	+1	open	—	03-31 07:25
btc updown 5m 1774943700	7	$17	728	0	+728	open	—	03-31 08:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	6	$17	21	21	+0	Up	+$1	05-09 12:19
btc updown 5m 1776093300	6	$16	27	25	+2	open	—	04-13 15:19
btc updown 5m 1776091500	7	$12	26	23	+3	open	—	04-13 14:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	6	$11	13	13	+0	Up	+$1	05-09 12:14
btc updown 5m 1774942200	3	$11	22	16	+7	open	—	03-31 07:33
btc updown 5m 1774943400	4	$11	21	19	+1	open	—	03-31 07:54
btc updown 5m 1776091800	4	$11	17	10	+8	open	—	04-13 14:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	4	$10	11	11	+0	Down	+$2	05-09 11:09
btc updown 5m 1786325400	2	$10	10	10	+0	open	—	08-09 18:36
btc updown 5m 1786310100	4	$9	10	10	+0	open	—	08-09 21:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	4	$9	10	10	+0	Down	+$1	05-09 10:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	2	$8	11	11	+0	Up	+$2	05-09 10:36
btc updown 5m 1776093900	6	$8	25	5	+20	open	—	04-13 15:28
btc updown 5m 1773211500	4	$8	1,267	0	+1,267	open	—	03-11 06:51
btc updown 5m 1773254100	7	$8	504	0	+504	open	—	03-11 18:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	4	$7	14	6	+8	Down	$-3	05-09 10:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	6	$7	8	8	+0	open	—	04-25 23:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	4	$7	8	8	+0	Up	+$1	05-08 15:59
btc updown 5m 1773209700	4	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	03-11 06:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	2	$7	9	9	+0	Down	+$1	05-09 11:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	3	$7	9	9	+0	Down	+$3	05-08 15:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	4	$7	18	18	+0	Up	$-3	05-09 11:55
btc updown 5m 1786310700	3	$7	7	7	+0	open	—	08-09 21:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-09 21:56:03	btc updown 5m 1786312500	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xcf488e…
08-09 21:56:03	btc updown 5m 1786312500	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x97d611…
08-09 21:56:03	btc updown 5m 1786312500	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x096ee0…
08-09 21:50:34	btc updown 5m 1786312200	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x8404c8…
08-09 21:50:34	btc updown 5m 1786312200	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x17dcaa…
08-09 21:50:34	btc updown 5m 1786312200	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x0eeabc…
08-09 21:50:33	btc updown 5m 1786312200	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xc35505…
08-09 21:50:33	btc updown 5m 1786312200	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x616df8…
08-09 21:47:37	btc updown 5m 1786311900	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xf7f351…
08-09 21:47:37	btc updown 5m 1786311900	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x9c678f…
08-09 21:43:33	btc updown 5m 1786311600	Up	SELL	4	55¢	$2	0x8d30d9…
08-09 21:41:27	btc updown 5m 1786311600	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xa7c05b…
08-09 21:41:12	btc updown 5m 1786311600	Down	SELL	3	61¢	$2	0x759f30…
08-09 21:39:49	btc updown 5m 1786311600	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x9cd930…
08-09 21:36:01	btc updown 5m 1786311300	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xddc5af…
08-09 21:34:36	btc updown 5m 1786311000	Up	SELL	3	53¢	$2	0xbb8c09…
08-09 21:33:52	btc updown 5m 1786311000	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x2a800c…
08-09 21:33:33	btc updown 5m 1786311000	Down	SELL	4	57¢	$2	0x503868…
08-09 21:30:34	btc updown 5m 1786311000	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xfbebde…
08-09 21:28:51	btc updown 5m 1786310700	Down	SELL	7	62¢	$5	0x5db20f…
08-09 21:27:13	btc updown 5m 1786310700	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xb69d21…
08-09 21:25:15	btc updown 5m 1786310700	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x3329cb…
08-09 21:24:31	btc updown 5m 1786310400	Down	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x56241c…
08-09 21:23:46	btc updown 5m 1786310400	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x8e62ab…
08-09 21:23:27	btc updown 5m 1786310400	Down	SELL	4	59¢	$2	0x747bce…
08-09 21:22:12	btc updown 5m 1786310400	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xfe3d32…
08-09 21:19:00	btc updown 5m 1786310100	Down	SELL	7	69¢	$5	0xf1b56b…
08-09 21:17:39	btc updown 5m 1786310100	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x0f51e8…
08-09 21:16:55	btc updown 5m 1786310100	Up	SELL	2	83¢	$2	0x52475d…
08-09 21:16:12	btc updown 5m 1786310100	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x4a3a54…
08-09 21:14:34	btc updown 5m 1786309800	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x2bfb1a…
08-09 21:14:33	btc updown 5m 1786309800	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x3d95f8…
08-09 21:14:28	btc updown 5m 1786309800	Up	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0x68858f…
08-09 21:11:31	btc updown 5m 1786309800	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x03037a…
08-09 18:36:34	btc updown 5m 1786325400	Up	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0xbbeee3…
08-09 18:34:22	btc updown 5m 1786325400	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x0253c8…
05-09 12:41:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x4e6dfa…
05-09 12:35:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x754fde…
05-09 12:33:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xe803ad…
05-09 12:32:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xb5ca0c…
05-09 12:31:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	SELL	9	8¢	$1	0x506201…
05-09 12:30:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	0	24¢	$0	0x481db8…
05-09 12:30:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	9	24¢	$2	0x340dcb…
05-09 12:29:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x05447e…
05-09 12:28:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x6ad57b…
05-09 12:26:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	4	48¢	$2	0xd074e7…
05-09 12:26:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xd87916…
05-09 12:25:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	14	62¢	$9	0x6ede63…
05-09 12:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x7bb392…
05-09 12:24:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x1c9e16…
05-09 12:23:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	SELL	4	8¢	$0	0xe92118…
05-09 12:22:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xb9f999…
05-09 12:19:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	SELL	3	86¢	$2	0x9ba561…
05-09 12:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xfb57fd…
05-09 12:18:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	SELL	10	39¢	$4	0x9eac3f…
05-09 12:16:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0xcf7232…
05-09 12:16:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	SELL	9	33¢	$3	0xcf25e7…
05-09 12:16:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0xb68362…
05-09 12:14:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	62¢	$2	0x5551fd…
05-09 12:14:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x597b98…
05-09 12:13:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x054528…
05-09 12:13:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x120223…
05-09 12:11:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0xa8780a…
05-09 12:11:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x5440e3…
05-09 12:09:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0xe48591…
05-09 12:08:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x0bbfb4…
05-09 12:08:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	8	36¢	$3	0xa8aeea…
05-09 12:07:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	28¢	$2	0x21513d…
05-09 12:06:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	SELL	19	67¢	$13	0x4c45fb…
05-09 12:05:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xe2995d…
05-09 12:02:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0xf78462…
05-09 12:02:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x6f3d66…
05-09 11:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	21	47¢	$10	0x02d930…
05-09 11:55:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xe96a40…
05-09 11:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	16	45¢	$7	0x3be4e0…
05-09 11:55:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	SELL	12	1¢	$0	0x99abba…
05-09 11:52:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0xd7dc46…
05-09 11:51:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	SELL	6	26¢	$2	0xcf5e50…
05-09 11:50:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0xc15bf7…
05-09 11:48:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	SELL	9	47¢	$4	0x1e2b53…
05-09 11:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x8d53ac…
05-09 11:39:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	SELL	4	38¢	$1	0x571eb2…
05-09 11:36:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x6e2b9e…
05-09 11:23:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	SELL	25	49¢	$12	0xb2662c…
05-09 11:21:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0x2dd784…
05-09 11:20:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x47781c…
05-09 11:18:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	12	32¢	$4	0xeb58fc…
05-09 11:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	33	1¢	$0	0x8a6fda…
05-09 11:13:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x19c4c8…
05-09 11:13:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xccd02f…
05-09 11:12:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xda0335…
05-09 11:12:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	7	5¢	$0	0xb2a5e2…
05-09 11:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x34b11c…
05-09 11:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	4	64¢	$3	0xb87be5…
05-09 11:08:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x949440…
05-09 11:05:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	SELL	7	47¢	$3	0x6890cd…
05-09 11:05:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xe4a4cb…
05-09 11:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	SELL	12	9¢	$1	0xa79bce…
05-09 11:03:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xde249f…
05-09 11:03:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	SELL	17	14¢	$2	0x572b4e…