Nocturnal-Holiday — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$255

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

92.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$4.64K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$93

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-22

last 05-13 15:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 55% +$255

Other

6% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1771753800	1	$768	1,447	0	+1,447	open	—	02-22 09:53
btc updown 5m 1771750200	2	$615	428	423	+6	open	—	02-22 08:53
btc updown 5m 1771750500	1	$338	498	0	+498	open	—	02-22 08:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	2	$286	272	272	+0	Down	+$236	05-13 10:34
btc updown 5m 1771748100	2	$259	390	386	+4	open	—	02-22 08:18
btc updown 5m 1771740900	2	$222	166	164	+2	open	—	02-22 06:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	2	$208	124	124	+0	Down	+$8	05-13 14:48
btc updown 5m 1771749600	1	$203	278	0	+278	open	—	02-22 08:43
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 220 239	1	$200	909	0	+909	open	—	04-10 05:48
btc updown 5m 1771740300	2	$180	133	132	+2	open	—	02-22 06:11
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	2	$171	102	102	+0	open	—	05-13 14:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	2	$161	95	95	+0	Down	+$21	05-13 12:38
btc updown 5m 1771746900	1	$146	317	0	+317	open	—	02-22 07:57
will scottie scheffler win the 2026 masters tournament	1	$100	500	0	+500	open	—	04-10 05:37
btc updown 5m 1775799300	1	$100	270	0	+270	open	—	04-10 05:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	2	$83	59	59	+0	Down	+$33	05-13 15:05
btc updown 5m 1771747500	1	$83	149	0	+149	open	—	02-22 08:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	2	$64	40	40	+0	Down	+$14	05-13 12:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	2	$64	39	39	+0	Up	+$14	05-13 12:15
btc updown 5m 1771744800	2	$63	48	47	+1	open	—	02-22 07:24
btc updown 5m 1771745100	3	$62	178	53	+125	open	—	02-22 07:29
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	1	$58	97	0	+97	open	—	05-13 15:32
btc updown 5m 1771746000	1	$30	91	0	+91	open	—	02-22 07:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	1	$25	104	0	+104	Up	$-25	05-13 11:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	1	$25	42	0	+42	Up	$-25	05-13 12:25
eth updown 5m 1771746300	1	$20	72	0	+72	open	—	02-22 07:48
btc updown 5m 1771743600	1	$20	48	0	+48	open	—	02-22 07:01
btc updown 5m 1771745400	1	$20	96	0	+96	open	—	02-22 07:31
btc updown 5m 1771745700	1	$20	53	0	+53	open	—	02-22 07:37
btc updown 5m 1771743300	1	$15	39	0	+39	open	—	02-22 06:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 15:32:26	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	97	60¢	$58	0x425101…
05-13 15:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	59	99¢	$58	0xf8f4f6…
05-13 15:04:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	59	43¢	$25	0x689454…
05-13 14:48:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	SELL	124	87¢	$108	0x3cc088…
05-13 14:47:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	124	81¢	$100	0x87ec90…
05-13 14:30:06	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	102	99¢	$101	0xe84971…
05-13 14:29:43	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	102	69¢	$70	0x1b4096…
05-13 12:38:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	SELL	95	96¢	$91	0x68a69d…
05-13 12:37:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	95	74¢	$70	0xf0f0f7…
05-13 12:25:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0x475aad…
05-13 12:20:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	SELL	40	99¢	$39	0x043565…
05-13 12:19:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Down	BUY	40	63¢	$25	0xcf1c14…
05-13 12:15:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	39	99¢	$39	0x9c9739…
05-13 12:14:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0x751f01…
05-13 11:56:48	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	Yes	BUY	556	1¢	$5	0x777a3f…
05-13 11:39:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	104	24¢	$25	0x3b2d87…
05-13 10:34:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	SELL	272	96¢	$261	0xf9c003…
05-13 10:33:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	272	9¢	$25	0xe0f2fe…
05-13 10:28:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x41246b…
05-13 10:28:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x371f8e…
05-13 10:25:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xe836e8…
05-10 19:09:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	559	1¢	$6	0x402aca…
04-10 05:48:17	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 220 239	Yes	BUY	909	22¢	$200	0xf6a474…
04-10 05:39:41	btc updown 5m 1775799300	Down	BUY	270	37¢	$100	0xf7551b…
04-10 05:37:15	will scottie scheffler win the 2026 masters tournament	Yes	BUY	500	20¢	$100	0xe21673…
04-10 05:29:05	btc updown 5m 1775798700	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xa00a0e…
02-22 09:53:38	btc updown 5m 1771753800	Down	BUY	1,447	53¢	$768	0xfce0d7…
02-22 08:58:24	btc updown 5m 1771750500	Up	BUY	498	68¢	$338	0x2eb357…
02-22 08:53:56	btc updown 5m 1771750200	Down	SELL	423	80¢	$340	0xd38fdf…
02-22 08:52:44	btc updown 5m 1771750200	Down	BUY	428	64¢	$275	0x0d500b…
02-22 08:43:40	btc updown 5m 1771749600	Down	BUY	278	73¢	$203	0x9be245…
02-22 08:18:12	btc updown 5m 1771748100	Down	SELL	386	41¢	$159	0x610301…
02-22 08:16:32	btc updown 5m 1771748100	Down	BUY	390	26¢	$100	0xfbd189…
02-22 08:05:50	btc updown 5m 1771747500	Down	BUY	149	56¢	$83	0xd1e55a…
02-22 07:57:50	btc updown 5m 1771746900	Up	BUY	317	46¢	$146	0x127174…
02-22 07:48:36	eth updown 5m 1771746300	Up	BUY	72	28¢	$20	0x89276e…
02-22 07:40:26	btc updown 5m 1771746000	Down	BUY	91	33¢	$30	0xa393c7…
02-22 07:37:26	btc updown 5m 1771745700	Up	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0xe806b2…
02-22 07:31:38	btc updown 5m 1771745400	Down	BUY	96	21¢	$20	0xe1c381…
02-22 07:29:54	btc updown 5m 1771745100	Down	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0xd70dd3…
02-22 07:28:44	btc updown 5m 1771745100	Up	SELL	53	60¢	$32	0xc4b0bc…
02-22 07:27:46	btc updown 5m 1771745100	Up	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0xaad147…
02-22 07:24:50	btc updown 5m 1771744800	Up	SELL	47	90¢	$43	0x7e176b…
02-22 07:23:56	btc updown 5m 1771744800	Up	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0x5e2cc4…
02-22 07:01:48	btc updown 5m 1771743600	Up	BUY	48	41¢	$20	0x7bb864…
02-22 06:56:28	btc updown 5m 1771743300	Up	BUY	39	39¢	$15	0x213333…
02-22 06:20:28	btc updown 5m 1771740900	Up	SELL	164	99¢	$162	0x6059fc…
02-22 06:16:06	btc updown 5m 1771740900	Up	BUY	166	36¢	$60	0x33e4f1…
02-22 06:11:06	btc updown 5m 1771740300	Up	SELL	132	99¢	$130	0xa87925…
02-22 06:07:06	btc updown 5m 1771740300	Up	BUY	133	37¢	$50	0x031889…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Energetic-Hosiery 0x6fdc…953f	25	$4.20K	289	05-13 15:04
Incompatible-Coincidence 0x8f15…0d75	25	$3.51K	722	05-13 15:04
Dry-Solvency 0x5d3c…c298	24	$1.14K	107	05-13 15:04
Near-Strike 0x679c…afff	23	$2.76K	799	05-13 15:05
(anonymous) 0x1db3…ada1	21	$538	64	05-13 14:47
(anonymous) 0x6a97…666e	20	$1.80K	214	05-13 12:37
(anonymous) 0x485a…3e92	19	$2.34K	260	04-10 05:37
Animated-Health 0x4d8b…a00d	19	$1.52K	194	05-13 15:00