Marvelous-Might — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$52

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

40.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$140

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-05

last 05-30 14:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

72% 21% $-63

Other

28% 50% +$11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	2	$22	12	12	+0	Up	+$2	05-06 00:04
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 11?	2	$12	7	7	+0	Up	+$2	05-11 21:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	1	$10	10,000	0	+10,000	Down	$-10	05-05 22:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	1	$10	21	0	+21	Down	$-10	05-07 23:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	1	$10	71	0	+71	Down	$-10	05-05 23:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	1	$10	20	0	+20	Down	$-10	05-06 10:41
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 8?	1	$10	20	0	+20	Up	+$10	05-07 22:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	1	$10	20	0	+20	Down	$-10	05-05 23:26
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 12?	2	$10	10	10	+0	Down	$-0	05-11 23:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	2	$9	7	7	+0	Down	+$1	05-07 23:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	1	$7	14	0	+14	Up	$-7	05-05 22:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	$-5	05-12 12:40
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 20?	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	05-20 02:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	2	$2	6	0	+6	Down	$-2	05-13 14:00
Ebola case in the US by June 30?	1	$1	0	4	-4	open	—	05-30 14:11
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 13?	1	$1	5	0	+5	Down	$-1	05-13 14:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	Up	$-1	05-06 01:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	Up	$-1	05-11 23:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Up	+$1	05-11 23:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	05-15 20:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	1	$1	4	0	+4	open	—	05-20 03:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	1	$1	5	0	+5	Up	$-1	05-12 21:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-30 14:11:02	Ebola case in the US by June 30?	Yes	SELL	4	34¢	$1	0x32ed3b…
05-20 03:13:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x3265a2…
05-20 02:35:38	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 20?	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x8de5d8…
05-15 20:52:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xc3a10d…
05-13 14:13:20	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x127a17…
05-13 14:00:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xb98b2a…
05-13 14:00:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x481853…
05-12 21:08:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0x0ea2ea…
05-12 12:40:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x5807ab…
05-11 23:37:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xce840a…
05-11 23:17:28	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x5fa8a3…
05-11 23:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x2339ed…
05-11 22:24:49	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x7aafe7…
05-11 21:28:02	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x10f489…
05-11 13:31:58	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xace215…
05-07 23:56:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	7	75¢	$5	0x168094…
05-07 23:55:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	61¢	$4	0x6bca1c…
05-07 23:50:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x5455c6…
05-07 22:25:00	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 8?	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x106be9…
05-06 10:41:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x74c15e…
05-06 01:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x9e804b…
05-06 00:04:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xc15f2a…
05-06 00:03:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xa06e57…
05-05 23:59:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x415052…
05-05 23:26:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xbd06a9…
05-05 22:35:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0x9eea89…
05-05 22:25:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	14	47¢	$7	0xc94994…