Astonishing-Cradle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.34K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$34

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-08

last 04-21 01:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Sports

50% — —

Other

38% 0% $-0

Crypto

5% — —

Politics

5% — —

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	6	$220	110	110	+0	open	—	04-01 16:08
Will Levante win the 2025–26 La Liga?	4	$174	87	87	+0	open	—	02-17 19:06
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	4	$170	85	85	+0	open	—	04-08 22:08
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$170	85	85	+0	open	—	04-21 01:28
Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?	3	$167	56	111	-55	open	—	03-12 09:15
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	6	$164	82	82	+0	open	—	04-05 05:24
Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals?	3	$150	102	48	+54	open	—	03-01 23:52
will the secret agent win best picture at the 98th academy awards 938	2	$122	61	61	+0	open	—	02-12 02:09
will f1 win best picture at the 98th academy awards 948	2	$120	60	60	+0	open	—	03-05 20:45
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	4	$114	57	57	+0	No	$-0	04-15 22:12
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	4	$106	53	53	+0	No	$-0	04-05 19:47
will xai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	2	$104	52	52	+0	open	—	02-28 03:49
Will Real Sociedad win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$102	51	51	+0	open	—	03-03 00:12
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	2	$94	47	47	+0	open	—	02-27 06:38
Will the Calgary Flames win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$94	47	47	+0	open	—	02-25 10:11
Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$90	45	45	+0	open	—	02-11 13:18
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$88	44	44	+0	open	—	02-10 18:09
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$70	35	35	+0	No	$-0	03-18 08:08
Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	2	$66	33	33	+0	open	—	03-15 08:17
will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	2	$64	32	32	+0	open	—	03-17 03:23
Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	2	$64	32	32	+0	No	$-0	04-04 17:09
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	2	$62	31	31	+0	open	—	04-12 20:15
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$62	31	31	+0	open	—	03-15 22:31
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$62	31	31	+0	open	—	03-23 10:49
will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	2	$58	29	29	+0	open	—	03-18 22:35
will aaron rai win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$54	27	27	+0	open	—	03-22 16:19
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	$-0	03-24 11:32
will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	2	$54	27	27	+0	open	—	03-31 00:25
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$54	27	27	+0	open	—	03-29 17:08
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	2	$50	25	25	+0	open	—	04-14 20:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-21 01:28:10	Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	85	100¢	$85	0x58de40…
04-20 07:51:30	Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0x5fae66…
04-15 22:12:24	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0xdcff4c…
04-15 10:16:32	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x22650e…
04-14 20:19:30	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xa22eb7…
04-14 17:34:14	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xa389dd…
04-13 18:23:53	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0x358ad8…
04-13 15:07:05	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x7dda4e…
04-12 20:15:19	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x9a10c6…
04-12 16:29:39	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x54af1c…
04-08 22:08:29	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xb37eb2…
04-08 15:50:51	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x075a6d…
04-08 15:50:31	Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0x74dff1…
04-08 14:46:29	Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x46d786…
04-06 15:58:59	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x264d60…
04-06 12:10:31	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xab8796…
04-05 19:47:49	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	26	100¢	$26	0xca63ad…
04-05 17:44:37	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xc53440…
04-05 05:24:13	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xea3b22…
04-05 02:22:43	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xb925f0…
04-04 17:09:21	Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0xf2d7ea…
04-04 14:49:55	Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x5eafbd…
04-03 01:07:29	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xfe825d…
04-02 22:20:47	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x8372fa…
04-01 16:08:29	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xb9d816…
04-01 12:18:29	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xa48c71…
03-31 08:49:53	will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xa94fc1…
03-31 00:25:19	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xb27670…
03-30 20:33:57	will openai have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 562	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xa0938f…
03-30 15:36:01	will ethereum dip to 1600 in march 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x788664…
03-30 00:45:34	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0xd4b55d…
03-29 20:59:44	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xfaa78d…
03-29 17:08:00	Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xe8e909…
03-29 13:22:46	Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x2c8ad2…
03-28 08:49:21	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xfab7f1…
03-28 04:50:31	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x0e8098…
03-26 19:22:37	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x5fb3f2…
03-26 13:13:09	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xebd13c…
03-24 11:32:51	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xc85420…
03-24 05:26:01	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x5238d9…
03-23 10:49:37	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x4e63c3…
03-23 08:11:17	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x14d9ef…
03-23 04:36:43	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0xba7367…
03-22 22:26:47	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xda59aa…
03-22 16:19:33	will aaron rai win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x69be04…
03-22 10:08:51	will aaron rai win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x71054d…
03-22 04:02:23	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x81db99…
03-21 21:31:31	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x41bb04…
03-18 22:35:57	will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x247ffc…
03-18 15:22:53	will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x7817dc…
03-18 08:08:25	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0xa8e31f…
03-18 00:58:55	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x117633…
03-17 03:23:43	will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	No	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0xb189cf…
03-16 20:09:03	will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x51f842…
03-15 22:31:03	Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x3d6a42…
03-15 08:18:05	Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x92130c…
03-15 08:17:47	Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0x78f28d…
03-15 01:09:39	Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x32e62a…
03-12 22:43:09	nba chi lal 2026 03 12	Bulls	BUY	38	18¢	$7	0xc65ac9…
03-12 22:42:39	nba mil mia 2026 03 12	Bucks	BUY	41	31¢	$13	0x68a858…
03-12 22:42:09	nba dal mem 2026 03 12	Grizzlies	BUY	55	34¢	$19	0x04e761…
03-12 09:15:59	Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	56	100¢	$56	0x6bc42d…
03-12 02:10:37	Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0x5056a6…
03-10 18:51:57	nba dal atl 2026 03 10	Mavericks	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x3b0b19…
03-09 00:07:15	nba ind por 2026 03 08	Trail Blazers	BUY	36	78¢	$28	0xc332a0…
03-07 16:54:19	nba phi atl 2026 03 07	Hawks	BUY	28	70¢	$20	0xabb7ca…
03-05 20:46:31	nba tor min 2026 03 05	Raptors	BUY	39	36¢	$14	0x3ea1de…
03-05 20:45:59	nba uta was 2026 03 05	Jazz	BUY	26	40¢	$10	0x421d12…
03-05 20:45:41	will f1 win best picture at the 98th academy awards 948	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0xa0c6ce…
03-05 02:53:57	will f1 win best picture at the 98th academy awards 948	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x11d171…
03-03 17:25:33	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	59	100¢	$59	0x07166d…
03-03 07:05:27	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	59	100¢	$59	0x157e42…
03-03 07:05:07	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0x0eb6bc…
03-03 00:12:59	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x727c61…
03-03 00:12:41	Will Real Sociedad win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0x9f2067…
03-02 06:32:49	Will Real Sociedad win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0xbd48ee…
03-01 23:52:09	Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	48	100¢	$48	0x00abfa…
03-01 17:13:39	Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0x2a090c…
02-28 03:49:25	will xai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	SELL	52	100¢	$52	0xaca55d…
02-27 20:40:35	will xai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0x2c69f3…
02-27 06:38:54	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	47	100¢	$47	0x382ea0…
02-26 15:39:00	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0xb5873c…
02-26 15:38:42	Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0x5de693…
02-25 10:12:02	Will the Washington Wizards win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0x378597…
02-25 10:11:30	Will the Calgary Flames win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	47	100¢	$47	0x6222b1…
02-24 21:52:40	Will the Calgary Flames win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0x080cdc…
02-17 19:06:23	Will Levante win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0xdf2f24…
02-15 21:13:51	Will Levante win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0x6d3ef5…
02-12 07:22:43	Will Levante win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0x299958…
02-12 02:09:25	Will Levante win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x24bc9e…
02-12 02:09:07	will the secret agent win best picture at the 98th academy awards 938	No	SELL	61	99¢	$61	0xbe1382…
02-11 13:19:11	will the secret agent win best picture at the 98th academy awards 938	No	BUY	61	100¢	$61	0x01c1fe…
02-11 13:18:51	Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0xe8d422…
02-10 18:09:55	Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	45	100¢	$45	0x64521c…
02-10 18:09:37	Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	44	100¢	$44	0xfe2408…
02-10 08:37:25	Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x57a822…
02-08 10:09:45	Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x3b5aee…
02-08 10:09:19	will pheu thai party pt win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x2eda9f…