Watchful-Swordfish — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$73

Unrealized P&L

+$19

Hit rate

28.8%

Resolved

Trades

1,982

lifetime

Volume

$13.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$17

1 position

First seen

2026-01-12

last 06-02 17:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Sports

57% 30% $-73

Other

24% — —

Crypto

12% — —

Politics

7% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

40 active days in 12wk • peak 175 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?	No		-420	$-36	4¢	$-17	+$19	06-02 17:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
spx up or down on march 25 2026	47	$353	1,257	600	+657	open	—	03-25 18:29
mlb lad col 2026 04 19 total 11pt5	14	$351	212	298	-86	open	—	04-19 21:57
spx up or down on march 13 2026	36	$330	633	308	+325	open	—	03-13 19:20
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies	70	$292	2,605	537	+2,068	open	—	04-19 22:13
mlb oak tor 2026 03 27	24	$286	570	484	+86	open	—	03-28 02:08
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	12	$284	450	450	+0	open	—	04-03 20:11
mlb cle lad 2026 04 01	53	$277	2,316	0	+2,316	open	—	04-02 02:43
Chicago White Sox vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	2	$274	200	196	+4	open	—	04-23 23:44
spx up or down on march 10 2026	22	$247	350	225	+125	open	—	03-10 19:48
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giants	48	$237	973	0	+973	open	—	04-22 04:13
mlb ari lad 2026 03 28	17	$224	252	110	+142	open	—	03-29 03:34
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies	11	$220	575	0	+575	open	—	04-19 02:41
spx up or down on march 19 2026	47	$220	1,360	432	+927	open	—	03-19 19:57
mlb tex lad 2026 04 12	55	$219	914	33	+881	open	—	04-12 22:47
mlb ari lad 2026 03 27	11	$210	190	117	+73	open	—	03-28 05:02
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins	4	$197	140	138	+2	open	—	04-22 02:06
mlb tex phi 2026 03 28	18	$195	483	237	+246	open	—	03-28 23:03
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	5	$189	100	100	+0	open	—	03-31 01:59
Chicago White Sox vs. Athletics	11	$189	190	188	+2	open	—	04-19 01:14
spx up or down on april 21 2026	16	$188	250	210	+40	open	—	04-21 17:05
eth updown 15m 1769902200	31	$164	130	110	+20	open	—	01-31 23:43
will trump say nato during address to the nation 235	8	$163	150	150	+0	open	—	04-02 01:26
Kansas City Royals vs. New York Yankees	33	$162	850	148	+702	open	—	04-18 01:35
Chicago Cubs vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	9	$162	359	0	+359	open	—	04-25 04:52
mlb bos cin 2026 03 28	2	$158	100	100	+0	open	—	03-29 00:25
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giants	3	$158	100	99	+1	open	—	04-23 21:23
btc updown 5m 1771869900	25	$150	165	155	+10	open	—	02-23 18:11
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	2	$149	100	99	+1	open	—	04-19 20:36
btc updown 5m 1777058700	30	$148	420	25	+395	open	—	04-24 19:29
Chicago Cubs vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	2	$147	100	99	+1	open	—	04-26 01:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-02 17:03:54	SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?	No	SELL	420	9¢	$36	0xafe881…
05-12 04:29:05	San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x06e969…
05-10 20:34:03	Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	30	20¢	$6	0xbf6ca5…
05-10 20:26:23	Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	70	55¢	$38	0x6e1ff9…
05-10 19:25:43	Athletics vs. Baltimore Orioles	Athletics	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xb67adb…
05-10 19:25:22	Athletics vs. Baltimore Orioles	Athletics	BUY	25	18¢	$4	0xfeba50…
05-10 19:18:27	Athletics vs. Baltimore Orioles	Athletics	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0xf5e8fd…
05-10 19:14:33	Athletics vs. Baltimore Orioles	Athletics	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xbf7f22…
05-10 00:42:20	Colorado Rockies vs. Philadelphia Phillies	Colorado Rockies	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0xed16fb…
05-10 00:42:13	Chicago Cubs vs. Texas Rangers	Chicago Cubs	BUY	48	11¢	$5	0x010f79…
05-10 00:42:04	Chicago Cubs vs. Texas Rangers	Chicago Cubs	BUY	25	11¢	$3	0x9fb6fd…
05-10 00:41:57	Chicago Cubs vs. Texas Rangers	Chicago Cubs	BUY	17	11¢	$2	0xbf2102…
05-10 00:41:54	Chicago Cubs vs. Texas Rangers	Chicago Cubs	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x3fcfb9…
05-10 00:41:48	Chicago Cubs vs. Texas Rangers	Chicago Cubs	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0xdcc4f2…
05-10 00:41:47	Colorado Rockies vs. Philadelphia Phillies	Colorado Rockies	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xd752b9…
05-10 00:41:34	Chicago Cubs vs. Texas Rangers	Chicago Cubs	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0x1bb491…
05-09 18:27:01	Chicago Cubs vs. Texas Rangers	Chicago Cubs	BUY	50	56¢	$28	0xe1c2a3…
05-09 18:26:47	Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	25	53¢	$13	0x7d2346…
05-09 18:26:31	Colorado Rockies vs. Philadelphia Phillies	Colorado Rockies	BUY	50	37¢	$18	0xa5eba7…
05-09 18:24:53	Athletics vs. Baltimore Orioles	Athletics	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0x57ddcf…
05-08 17:59:00	Colorado Rockies vs. Philadelphia Phillies	Colorado Rockies	BUY	50	34¢	$17	0x0191c2…
05-08 13:25:47	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	197	5¢	$9	0x852b3a…
05-08 13:16:02	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0xbead1c…
05-08 13:16:00	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0x597254…
05-07 21:45:58	Athletics vs. Philadelphia Phillies	Athletics	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0x0f5fbe…
05-06 02:21:04	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Houston Astros	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x15fae6…
05-01 19:04:52	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?	Down	SELL	100	40¢	$40	0x7a7a82…
05-01 19:03:56	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?	Down	BUY	38	2¢	$1	0x7e9391…
05-01 19:02:40	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?	Down	BUY	17	2¢	$0	0xc54d6b…
05-01 19:01:34	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?	Down	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0xa6e406…
05-01 19:01:30	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?	Down	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0x25704a…
05-01 19:01:28	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?	Down	BUY	35	4¢	$1	0x0db521…
05-01 18:59:20	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?	Down	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xff1859…
05-01 18:54:30	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?	Down	BUY	17	4¢	$1	0x0b8218…
05-01 18:53:16	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?	Down	BUY	19	4¢	$1	0x5a774b…
05-01 18:50:36	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?	Down	BUY	47	6¢	$3	0xc92003…
05-01 18:50:36	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?	Down	BUY	24	6¢	$1	0xb83403…
05-01 18:50:36	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?	Down	BUY	83	4¢	$3	0x8cab78…
05-01 18:50:34	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?	Down	BUY	29	6¢	$2	0xeb56ee…
04-28 21:44:02	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	25	46¢	$12	0xedf666…
04-28 21:43:48	San Francisco Giants vs. Philadelphia Phillies	San Francisco Giants	BUY	25	41¢	$10	0x0502b6…
04-28 21:43:36	Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets	Washington Nationals	BUY	50	39¢	$20	0xcd5375…
04-28 21:43:16	Kansas City Royals vs. Athletics	Athletics	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0xf3e0a7…
04-28 16:28:18	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 28?	Up	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x64807f…
04-28 04:23:04	Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	8	21¢	$2	0x5d6929…
04-28 04:22:36	Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	32	21¢	$7	0x7e7e41…
04-28 04:20:58	Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	33	27¢	$9	0xf0b72e…
04-26 01:36:02	Athletics vs. Texas Rangers	Athletics	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0x960aea…
04-26 01:20:42	Athletics vs. Texas Rangers	Athletics	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x36f019…
04-26 01:19:34	Athletics vs. Texas Rangers	Athletics	BUY	100	24¢	$24	0x63a7ad…
04-26 01:19:08	Chicago Cubs vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	SELL	99	93¢	$92	0x4555af…
04-25 19:26:02	Seattle Mariners vs. St. Louis Cardinals	Seattle Mariners	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x723c78…
04-25 19:25:12	Chicago Cubs vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0x0a8d6e…
04-25 19:25:10	Athletics vs. Texas Rangers	Athletics	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0xc54484…
04-25 04:52:46	Chicago Cubs vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x6b2a35…
04-25 04:51:28	Chicago Cubs vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x53f806…
04-25 04:30:26	Chicago Cubs vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	15	35¢	$5	0xf9a55e…
04-25 04:30:26	Chicago Cubs vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x5c558d…
04-25 04:30:22	Chicago Cubs vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x189fa6…
04-25 04:29:38	Chicago Cubs vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x4ffb1f…
04-25 04:27:16	Chicago Cubs vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	22	47¢	$10	0xdd7700…
04-25 04:26:52	Chicago Cubs vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0x5e78d8…
04-25 01:57:14	Chicago Cubs vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	100	59¢	$59	0xaf679c…
04-25 01:55:30	Colorado Rockies vs. New York Mets	Colorado Rockies	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x213118…
04-24 19:51:50	Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on April 24?	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x27379c…
04-24 19:51:08	Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on April 24?	Up	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x94c158…
04-24 19:34:26	SAVE Act becomes law by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xc563e4…
04-24 19:29:54	btc updown 5m 1777058700	Down	BUY	9	10¢	$1	0xec986b…
04-24 19:29:54	btc updown 5m 1777058700	Down	BUY	33	10¢	$3	0xcc7485…
04-24 19:29:54	btc updown 5m 1777058700	Down	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x7ddead…
04-24 19:29:54	btc updown 5m 1777058700	Down	BUY	17	10¢	$2	0x7b3122…
04-24 19:29:54	btc updown 5m 1777058700	Down	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x61a89b…
04-24 19:29:54	btc updown 5m 1777058700	Down	BUY	16	10¢	$2	0x506f3e…
04-24 19:29:38	btc updown 5m 1777058700	Down	BUY	4	20¢	$1	0xd4e8d5…
04-24 19:29:38	btc updown 5m 1777058700	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xa37f65…
04-24 19:29:36	btc updown 5m 1777058700	Down	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0xc064cb…
04-24 19:29:36	btc updown 5m 1777058700	Down	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x293c71…
04-24 19:29:36	btc updown 5m 1777058700	Down	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x2476ff…
04-24 19:29:36	btc updown 5m 1777058700	Down	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x09bec0…
04-24 19:29:32	btc updown 5m 1777058700	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x85e396…
04-24 19:29:32	btc updown 5m 1777058700	Down	BUY	25	30¢	$8	0x66c6ac…
04-24 19:29:32	btc updown 5m 1777058700	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x10899c…
04-24 19:28:46	btc updown 5m 1777058700	Down	BUY	25	35¢	$9	0xc322e6…
04-24 19:28:42	btc updown 5m 1777058700	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xc1b6ac…
04-24 19:28:42	btc updown 5m 1777058700	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x396879…
04-24 19:28:40	btc updown 5m 1777058700	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x913ed8…
04-24 19:28:40	btc updown 5m 1777058700	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x3f274e…
04-24 19:28:16	btc updown 5m 1777058700	Down	SELL	1	60¢	$0	0x507074…
04-24 19:28:16	btc updown 5m 1777058700	Down	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0x317533…
04-24 19:28:16	btc updown 5m 1777058700	Down	SELL	4	60¢	$3	0x0a8181…
04-24 19:27:46	btc updown 5m 1777058700	Down	BUY	25	30¢	$8	0x293d72…
04-24 19:27:34	btc updown 5m 1777058700	Down	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x8e6e1b…
04-24 19:27:34	btc updown 5m 1777058700	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x6b04ed…
04-24 19:27:34	btc updown 5m 1777058700	Down	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x06cad9…
04-24 19:27:20	btc updown 5m 1777058700	Down	BUY	24	60¢	$14	0xc0d7fe…
04-24 19:27:20	btc updown 5m 1777058700	Down	BUY	1	60¢	$1	0x47d437…
04-24 19:25:22	btc updown 5m 1777058700	Down	BUY	100	48¢	$48	0xf9f4df…
04-24 19:23:10	Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on April 24?	Up	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0xa5caab…
04-24 19:18:18	Dow Jones (DJIA) Up or Down on April 24?	Up	BUY	50	22¢	$11	0xc749b7…
04-24 19:17:18	Athletics vs. Texas Rangers	Athletics	BUY	50	44¢	$22	0x0d6611…