Watchful-Swordfish — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$73

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

28.8%

Resolved

Trades

2,038

lifetime

Volume

$13.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-12

last 07-01 23:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Sports

56% 30% $-73

Other

26% — —

Crypto

11% — —

Politics

7% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 175 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
spx up or down on march 25 2026	47	$353	1,257	600	+657	open	—	03-25 18:29
mlb lad col 2026 04 19 total 11pt5	14	$351	212	298	-86	open	—	04-19 21:57
spx up or down on march 13 2026	36	$330	633	308	+325	open	—	03-13 19:20
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies	70	$292	2,605	537	+2,068	open	—	04-19 22:13
mlb oak tor 2026 03 27	24	$286	570	484	+86	open	—	03-28 02:08
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	12	$284	450	450	+0	open	—	04-03 20:11
mlb cle lad 2026 04 01	53	$277	2,316	0	+2,316	open	—	04-02 02:43
Chicago White Sox vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	2	$274	200	196	+4	open	—	04-23 23:44
spx up or down on march 10 2026	22	$247	350	225	+125	open	—	03-10 19:48
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giants	48	$237	973	0	+973	open	—	04-22 04:13
mlb ari lad 2026 03 28	17	$224	252	110	+142	open	—	03-29 03:34
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies	11	$220	575	0	+575	open	—	04-19 02:41
spx up or down on march 19 2026	47	$220	1,360	432	+927	open	—	03-19 19:57
mlb tex lad 2026 04 12	55	$219	914	33	+881	open	—	04-12 22:47
mlb ari lad 2026 03 27	11	$210	190	117	+73	open	—	03-28 05:02
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins	4	$197	140	138	+2	open	—	04-22 02:06
mlb tex phi 2026 03 28	18	$195	483	237	+246	open	—	03-28 23:03
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	5	$189	100	100	+0	open	—	03-31 01:59
Chicago White Sox vs. Athletics	11	$189	190	188	+2	open	—	04-19 01:14
spx up or down on april 21 2026	16	$188	250	210	+40	open	—	04-21 17:05
eth updown 15m 1769902200	31	$164	130	110	+20	open	—	01-31 23:43
will trump say nato during address to the nation 235	8	$163	150	150	+0	open	—	04-02 01:26
Kansas City Royals vs. New York Yankees	33	$162	850	148	+702	open	—	04-18 01:35
Chicago Cubs vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	9	$162	359	0	+359	open	—	04-25 04:52
mlb bos cin 2026 03 28	2	$158	100	100	+0	open	—	03-29 00:25
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giants	3	$158	100	99	+1	open	—	04-23 21:23
btc updown 5m 1771869900	25	$150	165	155	+10	open	—	02-23 18:11
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	2	$149	100	99	+1	open	—	04-19 20:36
btc updown 5m 1777058700	30	$148	420	25	+395	open	—	04-24 19:29
Chicago Cubs vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	2	$147	100	99	+1	open	—	04-26 01:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 23:50:07	fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 btts	Yes	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0xf783f7…
07-01 22:17:05	spx up or down on july 2 2026	Down	SELL	14	46¢	$7	0x70e332…
07-01 22:15:43	spx up or down on july 2 2026	Down	SELL	10	46¢	$5	0xc3bb97…
07-01 21:55:29	fifwc bel sen 2026 07 01 team to advance	Belgium	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x7f1c58…
07-01 21:04:10	spx up or down on july 2 2026	Down	BUY	9	36¢	$3	0x38c309…
07-01 19:56:02	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	15	3¢	$0	0x20c924…
07-01 19:54:37	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0x92bc9e…
07-01 19:53:44	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x6c867e…
07-01 19:51:40	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	4	7¢	$0	0x364a34…
07-01 19:51:37	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xef0367…
07-01 19:49:52	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	32	7¢	$2	0x95c170…
07-01 19:49:10	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x58c66e…
07-01 19:48:28	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	25	9¢	$2	0x1e04da…
07-01 19:47:02	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	25	10¢	$2	0xe52baa…
07-01 19:46:38	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	25	10¢	$2	0x26fff5…
07-01 19:39:04	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x8e6219…
07-01 19:38:10	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	25	30¢	$8	0x656fb5…
07-01 19:24:40	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	SELL	25	70¢	$18	0xf9592b…
07-01 19:22:38	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	SELL	20	65¢	$13	0x17d72b…
07-01 18:59:29	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0xad95e7…
07-01 18:59:20	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0xb8f684…
07-01 18:59:04	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x496db1…
07-01 18:52:50	spx up or down on july 1 2026	Up	BUY	100	43¢	$43	0xc8fb10…
07-01 16:08:01	spx up or down on july 2 2026	Down	BUY	15	35¢	$5	0x38c8e9…
06-30 18:55:37	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 goals erling haaland gte2	Yes	BUY	0	3¢	$0	0xb0b937…
06-30 18:55:25	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 goals erling haaland gte2	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0x250af9…
06-30 18:55:05	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 goals erling haaland gte2	Yes	BUY	17	3¢	$0	0xdc0a2b…
06-30 18:51:53	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 goals erling haaland gte2	Yes	BUY	15	4¢	$1	0x099ef9…
06-30 18:51:32	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 goals erling haaland gte2	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x36714d…
06-30 18:49:44	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 goals erling haaland gte2	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x66df54…
06-30 18:48:29	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 team to advance	Norway	SELL	30	93¢	$28	0xfa2225…
06-30 18:35:50	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 team to advance	Norway	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0xe812b0…
06-30 18:09:14	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 goals erling haaland gte1	Yes	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x399ee4…
06-30 16:02:44	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 team to advance	Norway	BUY	40	64¢	$26	0x0d3613…
06-30 16:02:26	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x4d7c1c…
06-30 16:01:31	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 goals erling haaland gte3	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$3	0xbc8024…
06-30 16:01:20	fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 goals erling haaland gte2	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x9c8b60…
06-29 23:22:41	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Germany	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x4b9db8…
06-29 22:31:37	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 penalty shootout	No	BUY	13	57¢	$8	0xd5d2eb…
06-29 22:31:35	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 penalty shootout	No	BUY	12	57¢	$7	0xe50425…
06-29 22:29:44	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Germany	BUY	50	72¢	$36	0x5e7fc3…
06-29 20:47:50	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 penalty shootout	No	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x73305f…
06-29 20:33:58	fifwc ger par 2026 06 29 team to advance	Germany	BUY	25	85¢	$21	0x75989c…
06-29 18:11:35	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 team to advance	Brazil	BUY	20	42¢	$8	0xadda25…
06-29 18:00:17	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 team to advance	Brazil	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x5dff21…
06-21 04:42:05	mlb bal lad 2026 06 20	Los Angeles Dodgers	SELL	50	22¢	$11	0x1c7c5b…
06-21 04:19:46	mlb bal lad 2026 06 20	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0xc603e3…
06-21 04:16:04	mlb bal lad 2026 06 20	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	25	10¢	$2	0x8d930d…
06-21 03:57:59	mlb bal lad 2026 06 20	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x41bf45…
06-21 03:53:17	mlb bal lad 2026 06 20	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	4	15¢	$1	0x1652eb…
06-21 03:45:14	mlb bal lad 2026 06 20	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0xbc6fbd…
06-21 03:41:02	mlb bal lad 2026 06 20	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0xf6680a…
06-21 03:41:02	mlb bal lad 2026 06 20	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0xbb48fb…
06-21 03:23:43	mlb bal lad 2026 06 20	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	50	23¢	$12	0xe0e6e4…
06-16 22:03:37	fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 spread away 1pt5	Norway	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x40b225…
06-02 17:03:54	SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?	No	SELL	420	9¢	$36	0xafe881…
05-12 04:29:05	San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x06e969…
05-10 20:34:03	Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	30	20¢	$6	0xbf6ca5…
05-10 20:26:23	Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	70	55¢	$38	0x6e1ff9…
05-10 19:25:43	Athletics vs. Baltimore Orioles	Athletics	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xb67adb…
05-10 19:25:22	Athletics vs. Baltimore Orioles	Athletics	BUY	25	18¢	$4	0xfeba50…
05-10 19:18:27	Athletics vs. Baltimore Orioles	Athletics	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0xf5e8fd…
05-10 19:14:33	Athletics vs. Baltimore Orioles	Athletics	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xbf7f22…
05-10 00:42:20	Colorado Rockies vs. Philadelphia Phillies	Colorado Rockies	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0xed16fb…
05-10 00:42:13	Chicago Cubs vs. Texas Rangers	Chicago Cubs	BUY	48	11¢	$5	0x010f79…
05-10 00:42:04	Chicago Cubs vs. Texas Rangers	Chicago Cubs	BUY	25	11¢	$3	0x9fb6fd…
05-10 00:41:57	Chicago Cubs vs. Texas Rangers	Chicago Cubs	BUY	17	11¢	$2	0xbf2102…
05-10 00:41:54	Chicago Cubs vs. Texas Rangers	Chicago Cubs	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x3fcfb9…
05-10 00:41:48	Chicago Cubs vs. Texas Rangers	Chicago Cubs	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0xdcc4f2…
05-10 00:41:47	Colorado Rockies vs. Philadelphia Phillies	Colorado Rockies	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xd752b9…
05-10 00:41:34	Chicago Cubs vs. Texas Rangers	Chicago Cubs	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0x1bb491…
05-09 18:27:01	Chicago Cubs vs. Texas Rangers	Chicago Cubs	BUY	50	56¢	$28	0xe1c2a3…
05-09 18:26:47	Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	25	53¢	$13	0x7d2346…
05-09 18:26:31	Colorado Rockies vs. Philadelphia Phillies	Colorado Rockies	BUY	50	37¢	$18	0xa5eba7…
05-09 18:24:53	Athletics vs. Baltimore Orioles	Athletics	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0x57ddcf…
05-08 17:59:00	Colorado Rockies vs. Philadelphia Phillies	Colorado Rockies	BUY	50	34¢	$17	0x0191c2…
05-08 13:25:47	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	197	5¢	$9	0x852b3a…
05-08 13:16:02	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0xbead1c…
05-08 13:16:00	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0x597254…
05-07 21:45:58	Athletics vs. Philadelphia Phillies	Athletics	BUY	50	46¢	$23	0x0f5fbe…
05-06 02:21:04	Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Houston Astros	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x15fae6…
05-01 19:04:52	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?	Down	SELL	100	40¢	$40	0x7a7a82…
05-01 19:03:56	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?	Down	BUY	38	2¢	$1	0x7e9391…
05-01 19:02:40	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?	Down	BUY	17	2¢	$0	0xc54d6b…
05-01 19:01:34	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?	Down	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0xa6e406…
05-01 19:01:30	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?	Down	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0x25704a…
05-01 19:01:28	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?	Down	BUY	35	4¢	$1	0x0db521…
05-01 18:59:20	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?	Down	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xff1859…
05-01 18:54:30	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?	Down	BUY	17	4¢	$1	0x0b8218…
05-01 18:53:16	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?	Down	BUY	19	4¢	$1	0x5a774b…
05-01 18:50:36	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?	Down	BUY	47	6¢	$3	0xc92003…
05-01 18:50:36	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?	Down	BUY	24	6¢	$1	0xb83403…
05-01 18:50:36	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?	Down	BUY	83	4¢	$3	0x8cab78…
05-01 18:50:34	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?	Down	BUY	29	6¢	$2	0xeb56ee…
04-28 21:44:02	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	25	46¢	$12	0xedf666…
04-28 21:43:48	San Francisco Giants vs. Philadelphia Phillies	San Francisco Giants	BUY	25	41¢	$10	0x0502b6…
04-28 21:43:36	Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets	Washington Nationals	BUY	50	39¢	$20	0xcd5375…
04-28 21:43:16	Kansas City Royals vs. Athletics	Athletics	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0xf3e0a7…
04-28 16:28:18	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 28?	Up	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x64807f…
04-28 04:23:04	Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	8	21¢	$2	0x5d6929…