Attentive-Moonlight — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

63.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$29

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$16

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-09 11:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

62% 50% $-1

Politics

38% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No		+20	$11	76¢	$15	+$4	05-07 15:06
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes		-5	$-1	29¢	$-1	$-1	05-06 07:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-09 11:25:21	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on May 9?	Yes	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0xcbf090…
05-07 15:06:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x4a344a…
05-07 12:05:51	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on May 7?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xfda5bf…
05-06 15:17:43	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on May 6?	Yes	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x8f74b8…
05-06 08:40:02	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0xca9aa9…
05-06 08:09:54	Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	7	47¢	$3	0x3f4d72…
05-06 08:05:04	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on May 6?	Yes	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xf84d7d…
05-06 07:15:44	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0xc55487…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$11	20	0	+20	open	—	05-07 15:06
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on May 6?	2	$9	6	6	+0	Yes	+$3	05-06 15:17
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on May 6?	1	$3	7	0	+7	No	$-3	05-06 08:09
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 6?	1	$3	6	0	+6	No	$-3	05-06 08:40
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on May 7?	1	$2	5	0	+5	Yes	+$3	05-07 12:05
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	1	$1	0	5	-5	open	—	05-06 07:15
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on May 9?	1	$0	0	9	-9	open	—	05-09 11:25