Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$27

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

45.7%

Resolved

Trades

1,874

lifetime

Volume

$13.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-12 18:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

56% 25% $-15

Politics

37% 40% $-12

Tech

3% — —

Crypto

2% — —

Sports

1% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	18	$922	700	800	-100	open	—	01-19 00:37
us bank failure by march 31 294	18	$574	382	482	-100	open	—	01-12 19:58
will israel strike iraq by january 31	7	$395	220	220	+0	open	—	01-15 01:35
pete hegseth out as secretary of defense by march 31	9	$359	200	200	+0	open	—	01-04 21:24
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	5	$320	200	200	+0	open	—	02-08 08:00
iran strike on qatar by january 31 2026 222	5	$316	200	200	+0	open	—	01-15 16:52
israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	11	$251	220	220	+0	open	—	01-31 16:03
us strike on somalia by january 31	20	$218	720	500	+220	open	—	01-10 08:08
Insurrection Act invoked by January 31?	22	$182	791	791	+0	open	—	01-24 17:52
US strike on Mexico by January 31?	5	$181	100	100	+0	open	—	01-09 23:54
will israel strike greater beirut by january 31	13	$181	200	197	+3	open	—	01-13 06:39
will israel strike greater beirut by march 31	16	$171	240	220	+20	open	—	02-27 08:08
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	18	$155	420	440	-20	open	—	02-04 09:19
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	12	$154	180	182	-2	open	—	02-02 23:22
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	9	$141	80	80	+0	open	—	01-05 02:26
will magnus carlsen win the 20252026 speed chess championship	11	$137	100	100	-0	open	—	01-15 15:07
israel x iran ceasefire broken by june 30 2026 438 193	8	$121	114	114	+0	open	—	02-03 07:27
Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration before 2027?	19	$119	137	137	+0	open	—	03-01 14:25
ice shooter charged by march 31	17	$116	381	381	+0	open	—	02-23 18:06
will a contestant numbered 151 175 win beast games season 2	11	$110	400	400	+0	open	—	02-16 01:21
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	8	$107	400	400	+0	open	—	02-09 04:30
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	3	$106	120	20	+100	open	—	02-18 23:38
will gpt 6 be released by march 31 2026	20	$104	425	435	-10	open	—	01-24 05:29
trump invokes war powers against venezuela by january 9 737	5	$103	200	200	+0	open	—	01-06 04:15
israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by march 31 117 352	2	$96	100	100	+0	open	—	01-13 15:36
ukraine signs peace deal with russia by january 31	3	$95	50	50	+0	open	—	01-16 10:51
will another country recognize somaliland by march 31	9	$79	300	220	+80	open	—	02-09 17:00
gpt ads by march 31 269 364 978	6	$79	100	240	-140	open	—	01-14 10:49
si above 95 jan 2026	2	$77	50	150	-100	open	—	01-15 01:59
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	2	$74	100	0	+100	open	—	01-03 14:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 18:25:06	israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x47baa8…
08-12 15:13:16	Dreamcash FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0xf81961…
08-12 14:05:04	will the next claude sonnet model be released by december 31 2026 20260701203831156	No	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x497997…
08-12 12:46:39	WHOOP IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x20985a…
08-10 13:59:57	Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x2ffdb1…
08-10 06:02:36	will ethereal launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x4d07f7…
08-08 16:47:12	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0x5303b4…
08-07 15:37:04	will the next claude sonnet model be released by december 31 2026 20260701203831156	No	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x7dbe39…
08-06 10:13:11	Will Nansen launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0xbe9980…
08-05 20:22:35	will openai launch a new consumer hardware product by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xf5091b…
08-04 09:54:59	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	110	9¢	$10	0xff3961…
08-04 09:52:39	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	90	9¢	$8	0x6f08ed…
08-04 05:47:38	will ethereal launch a token by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	26	10¢	$3	0xcf23cf…
08-04 01:34:02	will papertrade launch a token by june 30 2027	No	BUY	30	12¢	$4	0x82b835…
08-03 16:34:47	fcc revokes a major network broadcast license by december 31 2026 20260717235625543	Yes	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0x58e2e6…
08-03 15:27:11	will the highest score achieved by an anthropic claude model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 55 or higher 20260723190836286	No	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x3078fc…
08-03 08:45:32	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	No	SELL	20	32¢	$6	0x20b448…
08-03 03:30:35	will the ethereum volatility index hit 65 by august 31	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x2fa8a4…
08-03 02:17:15	will the next claude opus model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 45 or higher 20260723184439895	No	BUY	13	10¢	$1	0xafae40…
08-03 02:11:42	will the next claude opus model debut with a humanitys last exam score of 45 or higher 20260723184439895	No	BUY	7	10¢	$1	0x6ba89f…
08-02 22:13:35	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	No	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0xa4946f…
08-02 16:49:27	will wti dip to 80 in august 2026	No	SELL	50	11¢	$6	0xda62be…
08-02 16:24:14	will wti dip to 80 in august 2026	No	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0xf399bb…
04-24 15:23:44	Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2026?	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0xb95dea…
04-20 07:24:44	Will Mark Dixon win the 2026 Watford mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	11	13¢	$1	0xb84006…
04-20 00:45:24	Will Mark Dixon win the 2026 Watford mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0x0a49dd…
04-20 00:45:22	Will Mark Dixon win the 2026 Watford mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0xb196f8…
04-20 00:45:20	Will Mark Dixon win the 2026 Watford mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0xddc3b0…
04-20 00:45:20	Will Mark Dixon win the 2026 Watford mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0xb0342c…
04-20 00:45:18	Will Mark Dixon win the 2026 Watford mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0xf76b4f…
04-20 00:43:16	Will Mark Dixon win the 2026 Watford mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	4	13¢	$1	0x09df81…
04-07 14:37:23	Will Doug Jones win the 2026 Alabama Governor Democratic primary election?	No	SELL	50	14¢	$7	0x49f482…
03-31 20:28:57	Will Trump act to ban mail-in voting or voting machines by June 30?	No	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x826b9e…
03-26 21:29:07	nothing ever happens elon edition	No	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0xcbb8eb…
03-25 15:50:21	Cerebras IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	18	23¢	$4	0xb26260…
03-25 15:32:29	Cerebras IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	2	23¢	$1	0x9b7619…
03-25 04:12:59	will unity bloc unidad win the most gubernatorial elections in bolivia in 2026	Yes	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x731745…
03-25 04:11:01	will popular alliance ap win the most gubernatorial elections in bolivia in 2026	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0xeaa476…
03-23 06:44:23	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x6b3e05…
03-21 08:45:15	Will Robert De Zerbi be appointed as manager of Tottenham?	Yes	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0xc2a2cc…
03-20 17:07:03	will mario enrique severich win the 2026 cochabamba gubernatorial election 857	Yes	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0xdeb6b8…
03-19 22:33:33	will russia enter serhiivka by march 31	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x96d83e…
03-19 08:48:25	cap on gambling loss deductions repealed by march 31	Yes	SELL	18	10¢	$2	0xb52a4c…
03-19 08:48:17	cap on gambling loss deductions repealed by march 31	Yes	SELL	2	10¢	$0	0xd0ce1a…
03-19 08:48:05	cap on gambling loss deductions repealed by march 31	Yes	SELL	30	10¢	$3	0xf606c6…
03-17 10:07:25	will the sp 500 index gain at least 3 on any day in q1	Yes	BUY	4	12¢	$0	0x20b13c…
03-17 10:06:41	will the sp 500 index gain at least 3 on any day in q1	Yes	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0xd0ec6e…
03-17 10:06:29	will the sp 500 index gain at least 3 on any day in q1	Yes	BUY	6	12¢	$1	0xce240d…
03-16 16:33:35	greg bovino firedresigns by march 31	Yes	SELL	50	17¢	$8	0xaf476a…
03-16 15:58:07	susie wiles out as white house chief of staff by march 31	Yes	SELL	100	14¢	$14	0x379606…
03-15 18:30:09	Don Lemon charges dropped?	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0xae7fa4…
03-15 07:33:45	Will Reilly Neill be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Montana?	No	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0xf36e6e…
03-14 11:10:43	will israel launch a major ground offensive in gaza by march 31	Yes	SELL	17	23¢	$4	0xb40153…
03-12 10:14:13	will elon musks net worth be at least 710b on march 31	Yes	SELL	20	36¢	$7	0xd2566f…
03-11 00:35:55	will kevin wilson be the republican nominee for ms 02	No	SELL	11	33¢	$4	0xd42e19…
03-10 23:48:41	will google have the 2 ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x889933…
03-10 23:31:17	will google have the 2 ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	BUY	2	10¢	$0	0xf364d2…
03-10 21:56:43	will google have the 2 ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	BUY	12	10¢	$1	0xb4fea7…
03-10 16:59:33	will unity bloc unidad win the most gubernatorial elections in bolivia in 2026	Yes	BUY	14	10¢	$1	0x1208ba…
03-09 11:29:57	will the slovenian democratic party sds win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 344	No	SELL	19	16¢	$3	0x40e3ef…
03-09 11:27:55	will the slovenian democratic party sds win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 344	No	SELL	10	13¢	$1	0x4a675c…
03-09 11:11:45	will kevin wilson be the republican nominee for ms 02	No	SELL	9	33¢	$3	0x9b8605…
03-09 05:30:35	will the sp 500 index gain at least 4 on any day in q1	Yes	SELL	30	10¢	$3	0xb2698f…
03-08 17:11:03	will partido socialista obrero espaol psoe win the 2026 castilla y len regional election 415	Yes	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x964749…
03-08 14:35:19	will partido popular pp win the 2026 castilla y len regional election 258	No	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0x35743e…
03-08 06:13:11	Will Mauricio Pochettino be appointed as manager of Tottenham?	Yes	BUY	12	37¢	$4	0xa98298…
03-08 04:54:33	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	Yes	SELL	2	36¢	$1	0x88fcee…
03-08 04:53:05	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	Yes	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x248d15…
03-07 20:26:07	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	36¢	$0	0xe1a67c…
03-07 15:13:51	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	Yes	SELL	6	36¢	$2	0x2b7aed…
03-06 19:04:43	Will Mauricio Pochettino be appointed as manager of Tottenham?	Yes	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0xb52889…
03-06 14:30:57	will the 10 year treasury yield hit 4pt4 by march 31	Yes	SELL	50	18¢	$9	0x542514…
03-06 02:27:15	peoples bank of china rate cut by march 31	Yes	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0xf5693d…
03-05 12:16:21	Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0xb769ec…
03-05 06:45:17	will elon musks net worth be less than 640b on march 31	Yes	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0x342f08…
03-04 21:33:45	penguin listed on binance by march 31	Yes	SELL	17	17¢	$3	0x3bec2a…
03-04 21:31:03	penguin listed on binance by march 31	Yes	SELL	3	17¢	$0	0xc6e1fa…
03-04 20:34:11	will jhon ariel rioja win the 2026 cochabamba gubernatorial election 386	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x99a625…
03-03 19:48:27	Will Jace Yarbrough be the Republican Nominee for TX-32?	No	SELL	3	16¢	$1	0x53357e…
03-03 19:35:59	Will Jace Yarbrough be the Republican Nominee for TX-32?	No	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0x01867e…
03-03 19:10:45	Will Ashley Hinson be the Republican nominee for Senate in Iowa?	No	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x5fd219…
03-03 12:55:59	will yasmeen bankole be the democratic nominee for il 08	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xa8f6ce…
03-03 12:54:11	will yasmeen bankole be the democratic nominee for il 08	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xc2bf08…
03-03 07:56:27	nothing ever happens microstrategy	No	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0x773ed3…
03-03 05:59:33	will germany join the board of peace	Yes	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0xe3505a…
03-03 01:27:31	Will Charles Herbster win the 2026 Nebraska Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0x702e62…
03-02 19:31:37	will yasmeen bankole be the democratic nominee for il 08	Yes	BUY	7	10¢	$1	0x33bc0f…
03-02 14:57:05	Will Travis Terrell be the Democratic Nominee for IA-01?	Yes	BUY	50	9¢	$4	0xc7acc5…
03-02 12:36:17	will jessica steinmann be the republican nominee for tx 08	No	SELL	1	12¢	$0	0x3152d5…
03-02 09:25:39	will gagan kumar thapa be the next prime minister of nepal	Yes	BUY	0	23¢	$0	0x00625f…
03-02 08:04:31	will gagan kumar thapa be the next prime minister of nepal	Yes	BUY	8	23¢	$2	0xeedc3d…
03-02 07:55:17	will gagan kumar thapa be the next prime minister of nepal	Yes	BUY	2	23¢	$0	0xc74cea…
03-02 07:29:53	will gagan kumar thapa be the next prime minister of nepal	Yes	BUY	8	23¢	$2	0xe29afd…
03-02 07:16:15	will yasmeen bankole be the democratic nominee for il 08	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xbde29e…
03-02 07:12:01	will gagan kumar thapa be the next prime minister of nepal	Yes	BUY	3	23¢	$1	0x105d1b…
03-02 07:08:45	will yasmeen bankole be the democratic nominee for il 08	Yes	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x66a975…
03-02 06:20:49	will yasmeen bankole be the democratic nominee for il 08	Yes	BUY	17	10¢	$2	0x404727…
03-02 01:07:15	will trump issue a gold card by march 31	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xb17ee3…
03-01 23:15:09	will cliff johnson be the democratic nominee for ms 01	No	BUY	24	10¢	$2	0x8241a1…
03-01 22:04:49	will mark teixeira be the republican nominee for tx 21	No	SELL	3	10¢	$0	0x1837a6…