Favorable-Combination — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$195

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 05-21 16:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

64% 0% $-5

Politics

33% 100% +$16

Other

4% 0% $-3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	4	$99	1,070	0	+1,070	open	—	05-04 10:14
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	4	$18	1,210	10	+1,200	open	—	05-21 16:40
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	2	$18	17	17	+0	Yes	+$16	05-09 05:57
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	5	$18	1,210	10	+1,200	open	—	05-21 15:56
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$10	13	0	+13	open	—	05-09 06:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	1	$5	100	0	+100	open	—	05-04 09:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	1	$5	13	0	+13	open	—	05-04 11:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	1	$5	19	0	+19	Down	$-5	05-09 18:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	05-04 11:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	1	$5	15	0	+15	open	—	05-04 11:11
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	3	$4	50	0	+50	open	—	05-16 04:35
Manchester City FC vs. Brentford FC: Both Teams to Score	1	$3	10	0	+10	No	$-3	05-09 17:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-21 16:40:45	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x09e721…
05-21 15:56:29	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xce776b…
05-17 15:36:14	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xfa75fc…
05-17 15:06:59	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$5	0xbae6bc…
05-17 15:06:20	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x027339…
05-16 18:25:35	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x8d2bc2…
05-16 18:24:50	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x498ede…
05-16 04:35:27	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x1d6071…
05-15 16:04:05	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x688955…
05-15 16:03:14	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0xfc9a5c…
05-11 15:47:01	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x7b054e…
05-09 18:34:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xa08fda…
05-09 17:26:23	Manchester City FC vs. Brentford FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x96274b…
05-09 06:06:11	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	71¢	$6	0x4a9ebc…
05-09 05:57:43	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x21d1ce…
05-04 22:34:00	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	7¢	$1	0xb50c5f…
05-04 11:22:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x39471a…
05-04 11:11:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x4086f3…
05-04 11:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xe8497a…
05-04 10:14:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	774	3¢	$24	0xca5d49…
05-04 10:12:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	116	22¢	$25	0xc06b40…
05-04 10:12:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	84	30¢	$25	0xdecbc4…
05-04 10:11:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	97	26¢	$25	0xa9893d…
05-04 09:48:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x8116a0…
05-01 07:57:32	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x888815…
04-30 17:34:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x0d8eba…