Pessimistic-Submitter — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.98K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$52

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 06-04 13:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

61% 0% $-2

Other

35% — —

Politics

3% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$83	83	+83	open	—	03-30 13:44
will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on march 20	1	$82	82	+82	open	—	03-20 12:41
highest temperature in london on april 4 2026 10c	1	$82	82	+82	open	—	04-03 11:04
ethereum above 2100 on march 17	1	$82	82	+82	open	—	03-17 12:38
will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on april 12	1	$82	82	+82	open	—	04-11 09:31
will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on march 25	1	$82	82	+82	open	—	03-25 12:15
bitcoin above 100k on january 21	1	$82	82	+82	open	—	01-20 12:46
will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on march 10	1	$81	81	+81	open	—	03-10 12:38
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	1	$81	81	+81	open	—	04-25 12:26
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 180 199	1	$81	81	+81	open	—	04-20 11:39
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	1	$81	81	+81	open	—	04-30 13:23
will ethereum dip to 1300 march 2 8	1	$81	81	+81	open	—	03-07 06:21
will the price of bitcoin be between 80000 82000 on april 17	1	$81	81	+81	open	—	04-17 11:50
will bitcoin dip to 82k december 29 january 4	1	$80	80	+80	open	—	01-03 09:39
ethereum above 2400 on march 16	1	$80	80	+80	open	—	03-15 03:11
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 25?	1	$78	78	+78	open	—	05-24 11:44
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 26?	1	$78	78	+78	open	—	05-26 10:54
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 100000 on january 14	1	$74	74	+74	open	—	01-13 11:22
Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	1	$67	67	+67	No	+$0	05-07 12:27
will wti reach 110 by june 1 2026	1	$66	66	+66	open	—	06-04 13:28
elon musk of tweets january 24 january 26 240plus	1	$64	65	+65	open	—	01-24 12:09
bitcoin above 64k on april 14	1	$56	56	+56	open	—	04-13 11:53
elon musk of tweets february 12 february 14 240plus	1	$52	53	+53	open	—	02-12 10:23
will melania opening weekend box office be between 4m and 4pt5m	1	$44	44	+44	open	—	02-01 12:58
ethereum above 2600 on february 1	1	$29	29	+29	open	—	02-01 12:42
will procreate pocket be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on february 13	1	$28	28	+28	open	—	02-12 10:26
elon musk of tweets february 12 february 14 115 139	1	$28	28	+28	open	—	02-14 09:33
ethereum above 2000 on april 13	1	$25	25	+25	open	—	04-13 12:02
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 21?	1	$18	18	+18	open	—	05-21 10:54
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 22?	1	$18	18	+18	open	—	05-22 13:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-04 13:28:04	will wti reach 110 by june 1 2026	No	BUY	66	100¢	$66	0x330aa3…
05-26 10:54:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0xa5f6d9…
05-24 11:44:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 25?	No	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0xb0b434…
05-22 13:28:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xe866c5…
05-21 10:54:40	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 21?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x40e637…
05-21 10:46:51	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on May 23?	No	BUY	880	0¢	$2	0xd219ff…
05-07 12:27:27	Iran closes its airspace by May 7?	No	BUY	67	100¢	$67	0x8f9917…
05-07 12:19:16	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	667	0¢	$2	0x79c940…
04-30 13:23:52	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0xf07082…
04-25 12:26:12	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	No	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0x3e585f…
04-20 11:39:50	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 180 199	No	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0x778884…
04-17 11:50:50	will the price of bitcoin be between 80000 82000 on april 17	No	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0x6ef843…
04-13 12:02:43	ethereum above 2000 on april 13	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xaeeb18…
04-13 11:55:51	highest temperature in miami on april 13 2026 74 75f	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x5cc23c…
04-13 11:53:55	bitcoin above 64k on april 14	Yes	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0xb4693c…
04-11 09:31:33	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on april 12	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0x0d6d79…
04-03 11:04:19	highest temperature in london on april 4 2026 10c	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0x0ff9df…
03-30 13:44:13	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	83	100¢	$83	0xaee957…
03-25 12:15:07	will the price of ethereum be between 2400 2500 on march 25	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0xb4c26b…
03-20 12:41:55	will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on march 20	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0xd9dd9f…
03-17 12:38:29	ethereum above 2100 on march 17	Yes	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0xfe026f…
03-15 03:11:57	ethereum above 2400 on march 16	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x7f323e…
03-10 12:38:59	will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on march 10	No	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0x6197ec…
03-07 06:21:57	will ethereum dip to 1300 march 2 8	No	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0xfe1897…
02-14 09:33:47	elon musk of tweets february 12 february 14 115 139	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x84a400…
02-12 10:26:59	will procreate pocket be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on february 13	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x458602…
02-12 10:23:05	elon musk of tweets february 12 february 14 240plus	No	BUY	53	99¢	$52	0x3f5d9f…
02-01 12:58:58	will melania opening weekend box office be between 4m and 4pt5m	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0xbc2543…
02-01 12:42:56	ethereum above 3100 on february 2	Yes	BUY	300	0¢	$1	0x3c6261…
02-01 12:42:24	ethereum above 2600 on february 1	No	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0x4cc988…
02-01 12:38:40	lol kcb fnc 2026 02 02	Fnatic	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x1eb945…
01-24 12:20:22	bitcoin above 96k on january 25	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x990c71…
01-24 12:10:02	elon musk of tweets january 22 january 24 215 239	Yes	BUY	345	1¢	$2	0x37b83b…
01-24 12:09:12	elon musk of tweets january 24 january 26 240plus	No	BUY	65	99¢	$64	0x5b4aac…
01-20 12:46:48	bitcoin above 100k on january 21	No	BUY	82	100¢	$82	0x86cfc7…
01-13 11:28:39	will the price of bitcoin be less than 82000 on january 14	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd86120…
01-13 11:22:41	will the price of bitcoin be greater than 100000 on january 14	No	BUY	74	100¢	$74	0x4b2a30…
01-03 09:39:33	will bitcoin dip to 82k december 29 january 4	No	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x1aac1d…