Positive-Crush — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$23.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$263

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-24

last 04-22 01:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

68% 0% $-3

Sports

18% — —

Crypto

10% — —

Politics

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	6	$2.2K	1,087	1,087	+0	No	$-1	03-28 22:20
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	6	$2.0K	992	992	+0	No	$-1	04-02 01:18
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	4	$1.4K	689	689	+0	open	—	04-11 19:59
Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$1.2K	582	582	+0	open	—	04-18 19:49
will trump visit china by march 31	2	$926	464	464	+0	open	—	03-26 19:18
will ethereum dip to 400 in march 2026	2	$874	437	437	+0	open	—	03-27 22:16
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$782	391	391	+0	open	—	04-01 14:03
will davis thompson win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$750	376	376	+0	open	—	03-27 10:40
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$742	371	371	+0	open	—	04-20 04:32
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	2	$740	371	371	+0	open	—	04-05 08:28
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	2	$714	358	358	+0	open	—	03-22 08:17
will taylor pendrith win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$702	352	352	+0	open	—	03-23 04:54
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	2	$702	352	352	+0	open	—	03-21 05:07
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$698	350	350	+0	open	—	04-03 02:42
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$690	345	345	+0	open	—	04-17 01:32
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$686	344	344	+0	No	$-0	04-06 18:49
will denny mccarthy win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$646	323	323	+0	open	—	03-30 06:35
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$640	321	321	+0	No	$-0	04-20 19:01
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$612	306	306	+0	open	—	03-17 17:08
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	2	$596	299	299	+0	open	—	04-16 14:20
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	2	$594	297	297	+0	open	—	03-24 05:19
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$586	293	293	+0	open	—	04-08 01:23
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$584	293	293	+0	open	—	04-22 01:50
Will Getafe win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$580	290	290	+0	open	—	02-27 14:21
will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	2	$566	283	283	+0	open	—	03-02 11:10
Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?	2	$558	280	280	+0	open	—	03-24 10:38
will bubba watson win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$526	263	263	+0	open	—	04-08 20:01
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	2	$494	248	248	+0	open	—	04-07 05:55
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1	$69	69	0	+69	open	—	04-05 20:32
will the price of ethereum be less than 1600 on march 9	1	$56	56	0	+56	open	—	03-08 21:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-22 01:50:16	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	293	100¢	$292	0xde3941…
04-21 22:09:26	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	293	100¢	$292	0x4baa28…
04-20 19:01:08	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	321	100¢	$320	0x6b94e3…
04-20 08:40:40	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	321	100¢	$320	0xd34de5…
04-20 04:32:06	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	371	100¢	$371	0xfac76c…
04-19 23:36:20	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	371	100¢	$371	0x2d7dbd…
04-18 19:49:14	Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	338	100¢	$337	0xe196c8…
04-18 16:47:40	Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	338	100¢	$337	0x482741…
04-17 01:32:58	Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	345	100¢	$345	0xf0fb5b…
04-16 23:28:06	Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	345	100¢	$345	0x5cd996…
04-16 14:20:28	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	299	100¢	$298	0x46e6bd…
04-15 23:46:08	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	299	100¢	$298	0xe69fa2…
04-11 19:59:21	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	310	100¢	$309	0x5f15dc…
04-10 14:37:33	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	310	100¢	$309	0xb1cebd…
04-08 20:01:29	will bubba watson win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	263	100¢	$263	0xbf7c28…
04-08 16:17:57	will bubba watson win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	263	100¢	$263	0x757d44…
04-08 01:23:23	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	293	100¢	$293	0x644ec1…
04-07 21:18:13	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	293	100¢	$293	0xad443c…
04-07 05:55:23	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	248	100¢	$247	0x57e29a…
04-07 00:37:59	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	248	100¢	$247	0xde0887…
04-06 18:49:33	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	344	100¢	$343	0x9cf54c…
04-06 16:09:23	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	344	100¢	$343	0x9ea349…
04-05 20:32:31	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	69	100¢	$69	0xaf58ff…
04-05 08:28:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	No	SELL	371	100¢	$370	0x499ce4…
04-04 23:33:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	No	BUY	371	100¢	$370	0x8dee05…
04-03 02:42:39	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	350	100¢	$349	0xd60917…
04-02 23:59:59	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	350	100¢	$349	0x6f72e7…
04-02 01:18:43	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	290	100¢	$289	0x6c745e…
04-01 22:42:35	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	290	100¢	$289	0x12cee6…
04-01 22:42:19	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	371	99¢	$370	0xd2009f…
04-01 18:01:27	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	371	100¢	$370	0x206635…
04-01 14:03:27	Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	391	100¢	$391	0x13ea39…
04-01 10:00:31	Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	391	100¢	$391	0x5481af…
03-31 22:19:43	nba cha bkn 2026 03 31	Nets	BUY	42	8¢	$3	0x4f6a56…
03-31 00:10:23	nba cle uta 2026 03 30	Jazz	BUY	42	8¢	$3	0x2c7a4f…
03-30 06:35:34	will denny mccarthy win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	323	100¢	$323	0xd806bf…
03-30 02:35:06	will denny mccarthy win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	323	100¢	$323	0x217288…
03-29 21:08:06	nba orl tor 2026 03 29	Magic	BUY	32	46¢	$15	0xb7be1b…
03-29 21:07:36	nba bos cha 2026 03 29	Celtics	BUY	35	45¢	$16	0x56b0d3…
03-29 21:07:08	nba sac bkn 2026 03 29	Kings	BUY	40	47¢	$19	0xa97f3a…
03-28 22:20:56	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	316	100¢	$315	0xaa41c9…
03-28 11:59:15	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	316	100¢	$315	0x506334…
03-27 22:17:37	nba lac ind 2026 03 27	Pacers	BUY	49	24¢	$12	0xb6f5b2…
03-27 22:17:05	nba bkn lal 2026 03 27	Nets	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x5d9bca…
03-27 22:16:47	will ethereum dip to 400 in march 2026	No	SELL	437	100¢	$437	0x7f3a72…
03-27 15:47:51	will ethereum dip to 400 in march 2026	No	BUY	437	100¢	$437	0xe229c1…
03-27 10:40:39	will davis thompson win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	376	100¢	$375	0xc148c3…
03-27 05:34:15	will davis thompson win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	376	100¢	$375	0xbf0d96…
03-26 19:18:13	will trump visit china by march 31	No	SELL	464	100¢	$463	0x0ad97b…
03-26 14:03:29	will trump visit china by march 31	No	BUY	464	100¢	$463	0xf4979e…
03-26 08:44:05	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	384	100¢	$382	0xa5dafa…
03-26 03:25:59	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	384	100¢	$382	0x8e29e2…
03-25 22:15:45	nba chi phi 2026 03 25	76ers	BUY	55	70¢	$38	0x2d2c40…
03-25 09:09:47	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	330	100¢	$329	0xc20954…
03-25 03:56:23	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	330	100¢	$329	0x16edca…
03-24 22:50:09	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	387	100¢	$386	0x80be83…
03-24 15:54:15	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	387	100¢	$386	0xfabdb3…
03-24 10:38:49	Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	280	100¢	$279	0x2a33e6…
03-24 05:19:41	Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	280	100¢	$279	0x4be54f…
03-24 05:19:25	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	SELL	297	100¢	$297	0xef558e…
03-24 00:16:53	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	297	100¢	$297	0x4126b3…
03-23 18:45:39	nba lal det 2026 03 23	Pistons	BUY	34	48¢	$16	0x2d9dde…
03-23 18:45:11	nba gsw dal 2026 03 23	Warriors	BUY	33	54¢	$18	0xfbdbb8…
03-23 04:54:03	will taylor pendrith win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	352	100¢	$351	0xc82583…
03-22 23:46:25	will taylor pendrith win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	352	100¢	$351	0x34caf2…
03-22 23:45:59	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	380	100¢	$378	0xdaa055…
03-22 13:29:55	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	380	100¢	$378	0x67e1b9…
03-22 08:17:17	Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	358	100¢	$357	0x5ef15e…
03-22 03:13:35	Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	358	100¢	$357	0x130f2c…
03-21 21:16:09	nba mia hou 2026 03 21	Rockets	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x369eaa…
03-21 21:15:37	nba ind sas 2026 03 21	Spurs	BUY	25	94¢	$24	0xad1732…
03-21 05:07:49	Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	352	100¢	$351	0xfc2d76…
03-20 09:32:09	Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	352	100¢	$351	0x36f4d2…
03-17 17:08:31	Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	306	100¢	$306	0x260132…
03-15 09:50:35	Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	306	100¢	$306	0x58bf75…
03-10 17:40:49	nba was mia 2026 03 10	Heat	BUY	25	90¢	$22	0xee728f…
03-10 17:40:19	nba chi gsw 2026 03 10	Bulls	BUY	54	32¢	$17	0xebe625…
03-08 21:17:53	will the price of ethereum be less than 1600 on march 9	No	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0x72f2b4…
03-05 16:46:31	nba nop sac 2026 03 05	Pelicans	BUY	49	67¢	$33	0x481676…
03-05 16:46:07	nba uta was 2026 03 05	Wizards	BUY	49	60¢	$29	0x4aed43…
03-05 16:45:35	nba gsw hou 2026 03 05	Warriors	BUY	35	24¢	$8	0x9ce464…
03-03 19:23:29	nba nyk tor 2026 03 03	Knicks	BUY	54	57¢	$31	0x00c168…
03-02 11:10:37	will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	SELL	283	100¢	$283	0xf39183…
03-01 11:29:29	will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	283	100¢	$283	0x4de97d…
03-01 11:29:15	Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	244	100¢	$243	0x70bfbd…
02-27 14:22:15	Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	244	100¢	$243	0x900681…
02-27 14:21:59	Will Getafe win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	290	100¢	$290	0x47768e…
02-24 19:19:36	Will Getafe win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	290	100¢	$290	0xa75a12…