Monumental-Cassava — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$20

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$705

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-13

last 05-05 08:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

33% 0% $-20

Crypto

33% — —

Tech

30% — —

Politics

3% — —

Sports

1% 0% $-0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?	2	$71	45	44	+0	open	—	04-23 14:04
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	3	$63	80	37	+43	open	—	04-21 08:33
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?	2	$56	36	35	+1	open	—	04-24 05:15
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$54	37	36	+0	open	—	04-24 06:27
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	2	$44	25	25	+0	open	—	04-20 13:52
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	2	$41	155	149	+5	open	—	04-22 05:35
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	3	$40	60	44	+16	open	—	04-23 10:42
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	2	$38	32	31	+1	open	—	04-21 11:55
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$35	29	29	+0	open	—	04-24 03:52
will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on april 23	2	$29	51	49	+2	open	—	04-23 14:01
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	1	$25	35	0	+35	open	—	04-24 04:59
will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on april 23	2	$22	14	14	+0	open	—	04-23 14:14
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	2	$21	25	25	+0	open	—	05-05 08:31
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in April?	1	$20	32	0	+32	open	—	04-03 06:45
Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the May meeting?	1	$20	25	0	+25	No	$-20	04-24 06:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$18	14	14	+0	open	—	04-28 12:38
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$10	7	7	+0	open	—	04-03 06:35
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$10	7	7	+0	open	—	04-03 06:34
will ethereum reach 2600 in march 2026	1	$10	16	0	+16	open	—	03-18 10:26
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	1	$10	16	0	+16	open	—	03-13 12:10
will anthropic have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	1	$10	13	0	+13	open	—	03-16 08:05
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$10	23	23	+0	No	$-0	04-03 06:36
btc updown 5m 1773398700	3	$8	8	2	+6	open	—	03-13 10:50
btc updown 5m 1773399900	1	$8	8	0	+8	open	—	03-13 11:09
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?	2	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	04-24 05:22
will larry page be 2nd richest person on march 31	1	$6	7	0	+7	open	—	03-13 11:20
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	2	$5	140	140	+0	open	—	03-27 12:17
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	2	$4	5	5	+0	open	—	04-03 06:36
btc updown 4h 1776931200	1	$3	86	0	+86	open	—	04-23 10:45
btc updown 5m 1773398400	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-13 10:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 08:31:18	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	25¢	$6	0x605848…
04-28 12:38:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	14	63¢	$9	0xb67814…
04-27 12:10:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	14	63¢	$9	0x6764aa…
04-24 06:32:26	Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the May meeting?	Yes	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x503797…
04-24 06:27:18	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	36	81¢	$29	0x63e7ab…
04-24 05:22:02	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?	No	SELL	3	91¢	$3	0x63cec6…
04-24 05:21:34	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	61¢	$15	0xe127e9…
04-24 05:15:30	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?	No	SELL	35	90¢	$31	0xe89694…
04-24 04:59:12	Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	Yes	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0xa7b0aa…
04-24 03:55:52	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	37	68¢	$25	0x9f368b…
04-24 03:52:22	Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	29	51¢	$15	0x9fc9a2…
04-23 14:20:22	Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0xfafd59…
04-23 14:14:52	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on april 23	Yes	SELL	14	83¢	$12	0x4e2b88…
04-23 14:04:30	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	44	82¢	$36	0xafa14e…
04-23 14:01:12	will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on april 23	Yes	SELL	49	15¢	$7	0x68bf71…
04-23 11:28:36	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on april 23	Yes	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x71b3b3…
04-23 10:45:32	btc updown 4h 1776931200	Up	BUY	86	3¢	$3	0x5072d1…
04-23 10:42:02	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	44	31¢	$14	0x92531d…
04-23 08:37:08	will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on april 23	Yes	BUY	51	43¢	$22	0x557294…
04-22 08:11:20	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?	No	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x35c59d…
04-22 08:10:32	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?	No	BUY	36	70¢	$25	0x6cd95d…
04-22 05:35:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	No	SELL	149	14¢	$21	0x850d74…
04-21 12:03:02	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	No	BUY	155	13¢	$20	0x435221…
04-21 11:55:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	SELL	31	90¢	$28	0x1a9850…
04-21 08:50:16	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	68¢	$11	0xe78c17…
04-21 08:49:42	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	44	34¢	$15	0xd78432…
04-21 08:33:56	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	42	45¢	$19	0x4d6635…
04-21 08:31:54	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	SELL	37	55¢	$20	0x409b40…
04-20 13:54:44	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	BUY	38	64¢	$24	0x125554…
04-20 13:52:38	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	SELL	25	95¢	$24	0x6867f4…
04-20 06:31:12	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	78¢	$35	0x0d2d92…
04-16 18:45:04	highest temperature in seoul on april 17 2026 18corhigher	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xeceba5…
04-03 13:51:31	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x7d9d6d…
04-03 06:45:53	Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in April?	No	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x4af499…
04-03 06:41:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xf5a2e0…
04-03 06:36:19	Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x966a7e…
04-03 06:36:11	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	23	21¢	$5	0x0c03d7…
04-03 06:35:05	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	7	73¢	$5	0x482ba5…
04-03 06:34:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	7	88¢	$6	0xc57b85…
03-27 12:21:27	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xd49af7…
03-27 12:17:07	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	Yes	SELL	140	0¢	$0	0xf0b760…
03-23 15:51:07	btc updown 5m 1774281000	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x5d1469…
03-18 10:26:59	will ethereum reach 2600 in march 2026	No	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x362a40…
03-16 08:05:33	will anthropic have the 2 ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x33b1d7…
03-16 08:05:07	will anthropic have the top ai model at the end of march 2026	Yes	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xf7e90e…
03-13 12:13:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x268fe1…
03-13 12:10:13	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	No	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xd574f2…
03-13 11:20:01	will larry page be 2nd richest person on march 31	Yes	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0xb85a39…
03-13 11:18:43	Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0xf8e2db…
03-13 11:12:09	btc updown 5m 1773400200	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xe8ddd3…
03-13 11:09:31	btc updown 5m 1773399900	Down	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xda3d1d…
03-13 11:02:35	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	Yes	BUY	140	4¢	$5	0x04d6dd…
03-13 11:00:27	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x457e56…
03-13 10:50:25	btc updown 5m 1773398700	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x579371…
03-13 10:48:23	btc updown 5m 1773398700	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x312e77…
03-13 10:47:07	btc updown 5m 1773398700	Down	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x3fec1b…
03-13 10:45:35	btc updown 5m 1773398400	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x6782ee…
03-13 10:43:11	btc updown 5m 1773398400	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x4e2638…