Aggravating-Ceremony — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$570

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-08

last 05-23 21:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 100% +$6

Other

4% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-23 21:11:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x3faebc…
05-23 20:11:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x238ddd…
05-23 19:26:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xb95645…
05-23 19:11:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x473e36…
05-23 18:26:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x9c33e3…
05-23 17:56:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9dc1ba…
05-23 17:56:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x29ea70…
05-23 16:41:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0a4bbb…
05-07 10:26:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x5cff65…
05-07 09:26:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xde39ae…
05-07 09:26:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa75a19…
05-07 05:57:18	Will the Green Party win at least 500 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xd675e9…
05-07 05:11:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x7c4e04…
05-07 04:56:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x669123…
05-07 04:56:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x5d5e71…
05-07 04:41:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xf092b5…
05-07 03:56:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x273b1a…
05-05 17:41:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xdf074e…
05-05 16:56:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x5b962f…
05-05 15:57:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x3fc733…
05-05 14:41:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x5344c1…
05-05 14:41:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x7e6f3e…
05-05 14:26:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xa8f603…
05-05 13:57:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x60880b…
05-05 13:56:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xff72bf…
05-05 13:41:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xe8b7b9…
05-02 16:26:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xdb0fd6…
05-02 16:11:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xfa3a89…
05-02 15:57:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa1bc07…
05-02 14:26:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xb426b8…
05-02 12:26:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x54c967…
05-02 11:26:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x7ccbfd…
04-05 19:26:23	eth updown 15m 1775416500	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0aa201…
04-05 17:11:23	eth updown 15m 1775408400	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x2414f5…
04-05 16:56:39	eth updown 15m 1775407500	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6f2fb4…
04-05 15:57:11	eth updown 15m 1775403900	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x1d06c0…
04-05 15:41:33	btc updown 15m 1775403000	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xe50ea2…
04-05 15:41:29	eth updown 15m 1775403000	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x81d11a…
04-05 15:26:25	eth updown 15m 1775402100	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xd9f671…
04-05 14:26:25	eth updown 15m 1775398500	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xfb089b…
02-26 22:42:04	sol updown 15m 1772145000	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0198a6…
02-26 22:27:40	sol updown 15m 1772144100	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc61a9f…
02-26 21:42:04	btc updown 15m 1772141400	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x38025c…
02-26 21:27:28	eth updown 15m 1772140500	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x27a9b7…
02-26 21:11:50	btc updown 15m 1772139600	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xfd679d…
02-26 20:42:04	sol updown 15m 1772137800	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xac7046…
02-26 20:27:04	eth updown 15m 1772136900	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xf5704b…
02-08 20:12:41	eth updown 15m 1770580800	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x48070e…
02-08 19:59:41	cwbb tenn sc 2026 02 08	South Carolina Gamecocks	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x181d78…
02-08 19:42:21	sol updown 15m 1770579000	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xc8b809…
02-08 18:59:17	sol updown 15m 1770576300	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7e5b7b…
02-08 18:41:49	xrp updown 15m 1770575400	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x710dd3…
02-08 18:26:57	sol updown 15m 1770574500	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xd850f4…
02-08 18:12:03	sol updown 15m 1770573600	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x5922e6…
02-08 17:41:49	eth updown 15m 1770571800	Up	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x8b7d8b…
02-08 17:11:49	xrp updown 15m 1770570000	Up	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc9f942…
02-08 16:41:53	sol updown 15m 1770568200	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xee6baa…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xd44e…b15e	38	$14.9K	4,426	05-23 21:08
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	37	$4.63K	906	05-23 21:11
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	36	$57.1K	2,861	05-23 21:12
Familiar-Mini 0xddb0…f95a	36	$8.26K	319	05-23 21:12
(anonymous) 0xdaa9…e31d	36	$521	88	05-07 10:11
Upbeat-Necktie 0x48ea…3e30	35	$12.8K	2,388	05-23 21:11
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	35	$7.04K	2,313	05-23 21:11
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	35	$6.77K	624	05-23 21:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	1	$10	11	+11	Down	+$1	05-05 13:57
eth updown 15m 1772140500	1	$10	10	+10	open	—	02-26 21:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	1	$10	10	+10	Down	+$0	05-07 09:26
eth updown 15m 1775403900	1	$10	10	+10	open	—	04-05 15:57
eth updown 15m 1770571800	1	$10	11	+11	open	—	02-08 17:41
sol updown 15m 1770574500	1	$10	11	+11	open	—	02-08 18:26
eth updown 15m 1772136900	1	$10	11	+11	open	—	02-26 20:27
cwbb tenn sc 2026 02 08	1	$10	11	+11	open	—	02-08 19:59
xrp updown 15m 1770570000	1	$10	10	+10	open	—	02-08 17:11
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 1PM ET	1	$10	10	+10	open	—	05-23 17:56
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	1	$10	10	+10	open	—	05-23 17:56
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11AM ET	1	$10	10	+10	Up	+$0	05-05 15:57
sol updown 15m 1770573600	1	$10	10	+10	open	—	02-08 18:12
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	1	$10	10	+10	open	—	05-23 16:41
eth updown 15m 1775416500	1	$10	10	+10	open	—	04-05 19:26
sol updown 15m 1770568200	1	$10	10	+10	open	—	02-08 16:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	1	$10	11	+11	Down	+$1	05-05 13:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	1	$10	10	+10	open	—	05-23 19:26
sol updown 15m 1772144100	1	$10	10	+10	open	—	02-26 22:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	1	$10	10	+10	open	—	05-02 12:26
sol updown 15m 1772145000	1	$10	10	+10	open	—	02-26 22:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	1	$10	10	+10	Down	+$0	05-07 03:56
sol updown 15m 1770576300	1	$10	10	+10	open	—	02-08 18:59
eth updown 15m 1775407500	1	$10	10	+10	open	—	04-05 16:56
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	1	$10	10	+10	open	—	05-02 11:26
xrp updown 15m 1770575400	1	$10	10	+10	open	—	02-08 18:41
btc updown 15m 1772139600	1	$10	10	+10	open	—	02-26 21:11
eth updown 15m 1770580800	1	$10	10	+10	open	—	02-08 20:12
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 11AM ET	1	$10	10	+10	open	—	05-02 15:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	1	$10	10	+10	Down	+$0	05-05 13:56