Tight-Bamboo — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

45.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$90

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-08

last 06-24 17:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

87% 25% $-6

Tech

6% — —

Politics

3% — —

Sports

2% — —

Other

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes		+6	$1	0¢	$0	$-1	06-18 17:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6AM ET	7	$7	25	13	+13	Up	+$1	05-09 10:58
btc updown 4h 1780675200	3	$6	14	14	+0	open	—	06-05 19:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	2	$4	6	6	+0	Up	+$2	05-08 21:09
btc updown 4h 1781265600	4	$4	5	5	+0	open	—	06-12 15:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	4	$4	18	18	+0	Up	$-0	05-08 21:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8AM ET	3	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	05-09 13:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10AM ET	3	$3	7	1	+5	Down	$-1	05-09 15:04
bitcoin up or down june 16 2026 2pm et	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	06-16 19:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	2	$3	3	3	+0	Down	+$1	05-09 09:54
bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 4pm et	2	$3	5	5	+0	open	—	06-04 20:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12PM ET	2	$3	6	6	+0	Up	$-1	05-09 16:43
btc updown 4h 1781884800	2	$2	4	3	+1	open	—	06-19 17:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-30 17:51
btc updown 4h 1781625600	2	$2	3	3	+0	open	—	06-16 18:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5AM ET	2	$2	22	0	+22	Down	$-2	05-09 09:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	2	$2	3	2	+2	Up	$-0	05-08 21:41
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	1	$2	0	4	-4	open	—	06-19 15:11
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)	2	$1	2	2	+0	open	—	05-23 02:57
spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	1	$1	6	0	+6	open	—	06-09 20:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	1	$1	12	0	+12	Up	$-1	05-09 11:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	1	$1	10	0	+10	Down	$-1	05-09 12:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	1	$1	6	0	+6	open	—	06-18 17:46
bitcoin up or down june 20 2026 12pm et	1	$1	4	0	+4	open	—	06-20 16:25
btc updown 4h 1782144000	1	$1	7	0	+7	open	—	06-22 18:36
bitcoin above 64k on june 19 2026	1	$1	6	0	+6	open	—	06-18 17:34
btc updown 4h 1782316800	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	06-24 17:11
btc updown 4h 1782230400	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	06-23 18:10
will bitcoin dip to 61k on june 18	1	$1	8	0	+8	open	—	06-18 17:37
bitcoin up or down on june 25 2026	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	06-24 17:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	1	$1	4	0	+4	Down	$-1	05-08 21:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-24 17:11:17	btc updown 4h 1782316800	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xb94f27…
06-24 17:07:37	bitcoin up or down on june 25 2026	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x36c40e…
06-23 18:22:13	bitcoin up or down on june 24 2026	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x57bdf0…
06-23 18:10:40	btc updown 4h 1782230400	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xdc2c15…
06-22 19:05:47	bitcoin up or down on june 23 2026	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x5555b1…
06-22 18:36:34	btc updown 4h 1782144000	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x7b1b6a…
06-20 16:25:58	bitcoin up or down june 20 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xe7ccdc…
06-19 17:57:10	btc updown 4h 1781884800	Up	SELL	3	47¢	$1	0xb3c779…
06-19 17:30:58	btc updown 4h 1781884800	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xcd6a90…
06-19 15:11:47	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	Yes	SELL	4	42¢	$2	0x7c458c…
06-18 17:46:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x55e8fa…
06-18 17:39:16	fifwc cze rsa 2026 06 18 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x0a018d…
06-18 17:37:11	will bitcoin dip to 61k on june 18	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x032607…
06-18 17:34:40	bitcoin above 64k on june 19 2026	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xabfa09…
06-17 16:09:55	bitcoin up or down june 17 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xc6b74f…
06-16 19:05:50	bitcoin up or down june 16 2026 2pm et	Down	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x0ccc2a…
06-16 18:47:14	btc updown 4h 1781625600	Down	SELL	3	47¢	$1	0xd3cf92…
06-16 18:22:47	btc updown 4h 1781625600	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x550b3f…
06-16 18:21:49	bitcoin up or down june 16 2026 2pm et	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x7a587f…
06-13 11:31:10	btc updown 4h 1781337600	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xaf8fdb…
06-12 15:33:55	btc updown 4h 1781265600	Up	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x3ad024…
06-12 14:56:07	btc updown 4h 1781265600	Up	SELL	1	61¢	$1	0x92fc16…
06-12 14:35:37	btc updown 4h 1781265600	Up	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0xb938f3…
06-12 13:37:10	btc updown 4h 1781265600	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x3d7443…
06-12 13:35:16	bitcoin up or down on june 12 2026	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xd414ad…
06-09 20:20:57	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xc98c48…
06-09 20:07:31	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xfbae3f…
06-09 20:03:54	spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xb76038…
06-09 20:03:34	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xb43303…
06-09 20:03:25	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xec75a9…
06-09 20:03:25	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xcdb399…
06-05 19:47:19	btc updown 4h 1780675200	Up	SELL	14	33¢	$4	0x6dbc4c…
06-05 19:21:58	btc updown 4h 1780675200	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x1e762a…
06-05 18:46:04	btc updown 4h 1780675200	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xc8d1c0…
06-04 20:15:51	bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 4pm et	Up	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0x28a26a…
06-04 20:08:48	will bitcoin reach 80k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x8c816f…
06-04 20:07:40	bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 4pm et	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x041c6a…
06-04 19:33:27	will bitcoin reach 75k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x3bf3b1…
06-04 18:42:27	btc updown 4h 1780588800	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xb59cad…
05-30 17:51:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0xf7c199…
05-30 17:17:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xad1780…
05-23 02:57:56	Spread: Spurs (-2.5)	Spurs	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0xb04fb2…
05-22 20:07:30	Spread: Spurs (-2.5)	Spurs	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x4e2b31…
05-22 20:03:24	Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs	Chicago Cubs	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x1893c0…
05-18 20:34:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x1cb90e…
05-16 14:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x82ece8…
05-09 16:43:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12PM ET	Down	SELL	6	9¢	$1	0x14d9a4…
05-09 16:16:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x308b68…
05-09 15:04:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10AM ET	Down	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x5e3b6b…
05-09 14:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x747f54…
05-09 14:24:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x4aaef6…
05-09 13:24:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x7721f6…
05-09 13:17:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8AM ET	Up	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x5d0390…
05-09 12:49:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8AM ET	Up	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0xf8b25e…
05-09 12:33:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xe1648d…
05-09 12:10:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x76f3a4…
05-09 11:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x0fdd24…
05-09 10:58:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xf13239…
05-09 10:53:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x60567c…
05-09 10:49:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6AM ET	Down	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0x34d88f…
05-09 10:48:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6AM ET	Down	SELL	5	15¢	$1	0x909f4e…
05-09 10:47:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x49e4aa…
05-09 10:43:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6AM ET	Up	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xb35661…
05-09 10:34:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6AM ET	Up	SELL	1	59¢	$1	0xd8468a…
05-09 10:11:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xc329e3…
05-09 10:03:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x5d7736…
05-09 09:54:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	68¢	$2	0x6cf5e5…
05-09 09:52:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x44470f…
05-09 09:28:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x292bd6…
05-09 09:26:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xc3f893…
05-08 21:41:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0x6351db…
05-08 21:36:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x42f357…
05-08 21:35:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xd1117e…
05-08 21:29:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	9	3¢	$0	0x1065f5…
05-08 21:25:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	9	18¢	$2	0x3181c3…
05-08 21:24:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x57448a…
05-08 21:20:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x9de56a…
05-08 21:09:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	6	53¢	$3	0xcdc20f…
05-08 21:08:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x763d8f…
05-08 20:53:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x942892…