Arctic-Bonsai — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$17.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$193

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-25

last 04-28 22:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

63% 0% $-1

Sports

25% — —

Crypto

12% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	6	$1.6K	778	778	+0	No	$-1	04-14 22:50
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$1.1K	528	528	+0	open	—	03-31 19:40
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	4	$1.0K	511	511	+0	open	—	04-02 03:44
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	4	$896	449	449	+0	open	—	04-17 09:23
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	4	$894	447	447	+0	open	—	03-30 17:17
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	4	$855	430	430	+0	open	—	04-01 05:40
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	4	$838	420	420	+0	open	—	04-24 12:44
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	2	$573	288	288	+0	open	—	03-23 20:07
will bitcoin reach 105k in march 2026	2	$560	281	281	+0	open	—	03-25 05:06
will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	2	$558	279	279	+0	open	—	03-26 19:37
will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	2	$544	272	272	+0	open	—	03-27 05:51
will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	2	$536	268	268	+0	open	—	03-19 18:01
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$528	265	265	+0	open	—	03-29 19:51
Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$506	253	253	+0	open	—	03-03 23:39
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	2	$502	252	252	+0	No	$-0	03-24 06:40
Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?	2	$496	249	249	+0	open	—	04-20 04:55
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	2	$472	237	237	+0	open	—	04-04 05:09
will tom kim win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$468	235	235	+0	open	—	03-24 17:21
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$452	227	227	+0	open	—	04-07 09:58
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$452	226	226	+0	open	—	04-16 07:53
Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$450	225	225	+0	No	$-0	04-05 07:06
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	2	$444	223	223	+0	open	—	04-02 18:57
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	3	$429	216	216	+0	open	—	04-11 21:12
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	2	$422	211	211	+0	open	—	03-29 05:51
will keegan bradley win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$394	198	198	+0	open	—	04-08 13:28
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$388	195	195	+0	No	$-0	04-01 22:11
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?	2	$370	185	185	+0	open	—	04-12 04:20
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$74	37	37	+0	open	—	04-20 09:05
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	1	$42	42	0	+42	open	—	04-28 22:34
will xrp reach 1pt9 march 2 8	1	$41	41	0	+41	open	—	03-07 12:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-28 22:34:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	No	BUY	42	100¢	$42	0x268180…
04-24 12:44:50	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	206	100¢	$206	0x3bfc7f…
04-24 10:57:04	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	206	100¢	$206	0x11648d…
04-20 09:05:18	Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0xbf83a0…
04-20 04:55:58	Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	249	99¢	$248	0x2382af…
04-20 01:46:02	Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	249	100¢	$248	0xfb5730…
04-17 09:23:36	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	239	100¢	$238	0xdb36b0…
04-17 04:23:58	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	239	100¢	$238	0x472c14…
04-16 07:53:20	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	226	100¢	$226	0xff0b42…
04-16 05:57:02	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	226	100¢	$226	0x493631…
04-14 22:50:38	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	248	100¢	$247	0xb0b055…
04-14 12:06:53	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	247	100¢	$247	0x80bcb7…
04-12 04:20:27	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?	No	SELL	185	100¢	$185	0x3928cb…
04-12 02:35:35	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?	No	BUY	185	100¢	$185	0xc46397…
04-11 21:12:23	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	216	99¢	$214	0xc895f4…
04-11 18:57:37	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	77	99¢	$76	0x2b9b60…
04-11 18:57:25	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	139	99¢	$138	0xcf2ff9…
04-08 13:28:53	will keegan bradley win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	198	100¢	$197	0xe94fbc…
04-08 10:42:01	will keegan bradley win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	198	100¢	$197	0xa32a00…
04-07 09:58:35	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	227	100¢	$226	0x8c2441…
04-07 08:21:01	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	227	100¢	$226	0x53d93f…
04-05 22:25:09	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	213	100¢	$213	0x8fb6c7…
04-05 16:59:47	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	213	100¢	$213	0xa442c2…
04-05 07:06:31	Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	225	100¢	$225	0x0c93f3…
04-05 03:00:43	Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	225	100¢	$225	0x22ce07…
04-04 05:09:21	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	237	100¢	$236	0xd32e41…
04-03 23:01:33	Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	237	100¢	$236	0x2dc808…
04-03 23:01:15	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	266	100¢	$265	0x70f263…
04-03 16:26:13	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	266	100¢	$265	0xf473b1…
04-02 18:57:17	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	223	100¢	$222	0xd544fe…
04-02 13:55:23	Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	223	100¢	$222	0x4a4be6…
04-02 03:44:35	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	239	100¢	$239	0x96a683…
04-01 22:11:17	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	239	100¢	$239	0x2e03e6…
04-01 22:11:01	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	195	100¢	$194	0x1c8325…
04-01 17:35:25	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	195	100¢	$194	0xf7d55d…
04-01 13:39:37	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	272	100¢	$271	0x84d46a…
04-01 09:45:13	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	272	100¢	$271	0x2a1eba…
04-01 05:40:53	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	189	100¢	$188	0x42a46d…
04-01 01:43:21	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	189	100¢	$188	0x105e65…
03-31 19:41:01	nba nyk hou 2026 03 31	Knicks	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x490d93…
03-31 19:40:41	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	240	100¢	$239	0x8fc3c5…
03-31 17:49:27	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	240	100¢	$239	0xfd06f3…
03-31 00:02:13	nba was lal 2026 03 30	Wizards	BUY	51	9¢	$5	0xcc96c7…
03-31 00:01:43	nba det okc 2026 03 30	Thunder	BUY	28	85¢	$24	0x1b405e…
03-30 17:17:21	Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	202	100¢	$202	0x228d6a…
03-30 13:24:44	Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	202	100¢	$202	0xea7e9a…
03-29 19:51:10	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	265	100¢	$264	0x901710…
03-29 15:53:54	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	265	100¢	$264	0xeab2c1…
03-29 12:05:28	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	265	100¢	$265	0x10a311…
03-29 08:17:24	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	265	100¢	$265	0x4833a8…
03-29 05:51:18	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	SELL	211	100¢	$211	0x78865e…
03-29 04:29:02	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	211	100¢	$211	0x88ec55…
03-28 22:30:30	Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	245	100¢	$245	0xa6e150…
03-28 18:40:57	Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	245	100¢	$245	0x4b595a…
03-28 14:13:41	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	288	100¢	$287	0x791ba9…
03-28 12:24:55	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	288	100¢	$287	0x1f8418…
03-27 20:32:55	nba hou mem 2026 03 27	Grizzlies	BUY	33	12¢	$4	0xf52ab3…
03-27 05:51:37	will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	No	SELL	272	100¢	$272	0xae3796…
03-27 00:45:17	will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	No	BUY	272	100¢	$272	0xe1d64c…
03-26 19:37:43	will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	No	SELL	279	100¢	$279	0x768aec…
03-26 14:25:33	will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	No	BUY	279	100¢	$279	0xcf13f2…
03-25 21:05:47	nba lal ind 2026 03 25	Lakers	BUY	51	80¢	$41	0x6d7e35…
03-25 21:05:27	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	241	99¢	$240	0x9a646e…
03-25 17:08:05	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	241	100¢	$240	0x967389…
03-25 05:06:11	will bitcoin reach 105k in march 2026	No	SELL	281	100¢	$280	0xc0d8df…
03-24 23:56:45	will bitcoin reach 105k in march 2026	No	BUY	281	100¢	$280	0x8eca7c…
03-24 17:21:39	will tom kim win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	235	100¢	$234	0x4dee30…
03-24 12:03:41	will tom kim win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	235	100¢	$234	0x833c9c…
03-24 06:40:23	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	252	100¢	$251	0xcba3d5…
03-24 01:25:39	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	252	100¢	$251	0x10ac07…
03-23 20:08:29	nba gsw dal 2026 03 23	Warriors	BUY	35	53¢	$19	0x60da7c…
03-23 20:07:59	nba mem atl 2026 03 23	Grizzlies	BUY	32	12¢	$4	0x44b223…
03-23 20:07:39	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	288	100¢	$286	0xcfd971…
03-23 12:40:09	Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x2d40ee…
03-23 07:25:55	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	288	100¢	$287	0xaf5ae9…
03-22 15:52:07	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	210	100¢	$210	0x4b82ec…
03-22 10:42:35	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	210	100¢	$210	0xb9ddff…
03-19 18:01:45	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	No	SELL	268	100¢	$268	0x8470b3…
03-18 04:26:43	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	No	BUY	268	100¢	$268	0xf09b04…
03-10 18:51:05	nba min lal 2026 03 10	Lakers	BUY	51	45¢	$23	0x011df3…
03-10 18:50:33	nba phx mil 2026 03 10	Bucks	BUY	39	48¢	$19	0xb45184…
03-07 12:55:01	will xrp reach 1pt9 march 2 8	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0x4fc1cb…
03-04 08:59:57	nba okc nyk 2026 03 04	Thunder	BUY	36	61¢	$22	0x17baca…
03-03 23:39:37	Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	253	100¢	$253	0xcf06ff…
03-02 17:21:59	Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	253	100¢	$253	0x737591…
02-25 00:28:42	nba min por 2026 02 24	Timberwolves	BUY	13	69¢	$9	0xd0d136…
02-25 00:28:14	nba phi ind 2026 02 24	Pacers	BUY	9	27¢	$2	0xe52729…
02-25 00:27:44	nba orl lal 2026 02 24	Magic	BUY	7	36¢	$2	0x0cfcc5…