Sizzling-Swordfight — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$55

Unrealized P&L

-$331

Hit rate

39.6%

Resolved

Trades

235

lifetime

Volume

$48.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$205

Open exposure

$669

1 position

First seen

2026-01-04

last 06-27 17:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

58% — —

Crypto

16% — —

Sports

13% 62% +$55

Politics

12% — —

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	Yes		+2,675	$1,000	25¢	$669	$-331	06-23 09:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
over 40m committed to the ranger public sale 819 688	4	$6.2K	6,705	4,685	+2,020	open	—	01-10 07:35
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	3	$4.1K	2,086	2,086	+0	open	—	01-28 12:11
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	4	$2.6K	2,216	2,216	+0	open	—	03-13 14:01
will bitcoin dip to 85k in january 2026	2	$2.3K	1,679	1,679	+0	open	—	01-20 03:09
Over $20M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	2	$2.1K	1,155	1,155	+0	open	—	02-06 07:57
Over $30M committed to the Hurupay public sale?	2	$2.1K	1,111	1,111	+0	open	—	02-06 07:57
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	2	$1.7K	1,455	1,455	+0	open	—	04-04 14:00
Fabric FDV above $200M one day after launch?	1	$1.4K	0	1,426	-1,426	open	—	02-27 11:37
Sentient FDV above $1B one day after launch?	6	$1.3K	1,603	1,603	+0	open	—	01-20 03:09
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs	1	$1.1K	1,155	0	+1,155	open	—	04-29 03:58
Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	6	$1.0K	796	796	+0	open	—	04-04 13:58
over 80m committed to the ranger public sale 675 826 682 419	2	$1.0K	958	958	+0	open	—	01-10 07:28
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	1	$1.0K	2,675	0	+2,675	open	—	06-23 09:17
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	1	$1000	1,778	0	+1,778	open	—	01-29 04:48
will bitcoin reach 95k in january 2026	1	$1000	1,754	0	+1,754	open	—	01-10 07:33
highest temperature in hong kong on march 19 2026 26c	2	$1000	1,020	0	+1,020	open	—	03-19 04:22
Raptors vs. Cavaliers	1	$1000	1,042	0	+1,042	open	—	05-04 01:39
highest temperature in shanghai on march 22 2026 19c	1	$1000	1,044	0	+1,044	open	—	03-22 04:48
highest temperature in hong kong on march 18 2026 24c	1	$1000	1,010	0	+1,010	open	—	03-18 03:42
Fabric FDV above $400M one day after launch?	8	$848	786	1,369	-583	open	—	02-28 04:39
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	2	$656	698	698	+0	open	—	04-02 02:15
highest temperature in shanghai on april 1 2026 18c	7	$633	396	391	+5	open	—	04-01 04:07
will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	2	$612	355	355	+0	open	—	03-19 13:19
netanyahu out by march 31 854	2	$605	12,831	12,831	+0	open	—	03-20 08:10
Rockets vs. Lakers	2	$581	806	806	+0	open	—	04-30 04:12
Spread: Lakers (-2.5)	1	$500	877	0	+877	open	—	04-28 18:27
cs2 furia fal2 2026 06 21	1	$500	833	0	+833	open	—	06-21 13:16
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	2	$500	769	769	+0	open	—	01-15 05:29
Fabric FDV above $300M one day after launch?	1	$500	0	509	-509	open	—	02-28 02:50
highest temperature in shanghai on march 30 2026 21c	2	$390	209	209	+0	open	—	03-30 02:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-27 17:01:41	fifwc col prt 2026 06 27 spread away 1pt5	Colombia	SELL	0	75¢	$0	0xa388e5…
06-27 17:01:32	fifwc col prt 2026 06 27 spread away 1pt5	Colombia	SELL	39	75¢	$29	0xaa21b7…
06-27 17:01:01	fifwc col prt 2026 06 27 spread away 1pt5	Colombia	BUY	39	76¢	$30	0x9b4bd2…
06-25 16:48:38	fifwc tun nld 2026 06 25 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	43	70¢	$30	0xfbf8f9…
06-23 09:17:55	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	Yes	BUY	2,675	37¢	$1,000	0xfeb025…
06-22 14:14:22	fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 spread home 2pt5	France	BUY	89	56¢	$50	0x9ab2a4…
06-21 17:05:28	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 spread home 4pt5	Saudi Arabia	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0xfbe57c…
06-21 13:16:56	cs2 furia fal2 2026 06 21	Team Falcons	BUY	833	60¢	$500	0xd983ef…
06-16 15:50:37	fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 spread away 2pt5	Iraq	BUY	46	65¢	$30	0x6daffb…
06-15 17:43:16	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 spread home 1pt5	Cabo Verde	BUY	281	89¢	$250	0x67549c…
06-15 17:37:51	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	41	74¢	$30	0xa00119…
06-04 03:04:22	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03	Spurs	BUY	51	59¢	$30	0xe265a3…
06-04 03:02:25	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03 total 220pt5	Under	SELL	179	91¢	$162	0x04896c…
06-03 14:47:12	Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5	Under	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0x643d97…
05-19 02:28:39	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	45	67¢	$30	0xd2ecae…
05-19 02:24:06	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	45	67¢	$30	0x411244…
05-18 14:53:17	Spread: Thunder (-6.5)	Thunder	SELL	59	50¢	$29	0x243f41…
05-18 14:52:05	Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5	Under	BUY	57	53¢	$30	0xf7e0c8…
05-18 14:51:08	Spread: Thunder (-6.5)	Thunder	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0xfb0542…
05-18 14:51:08	Spread: Thunder (-5.5)	Thunder	BUY	56	54¢	$30	0xa7e516…
05-17 15:18:16	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	172	64¢	$110	0x79bf21…
05-17 15:12:29	Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 201.5	Over	BUY	48	63¢	$30	0x77b1ec…
05-17 15:12:19	Spread: Pistons (-2.5)	Pistons	BUY	52	58¢	$30	0x3c589c…
05-17 11:14:49	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO5) - PGL Astana Playoffs	Team Falcons	BUY	114	44¢	$50	0xf12d97…
05-12 01:45:11	Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)	Cavaliers	BUY	223	90¢	$200	0xc49115…
05-12 01:44:52	Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)	Pistons	SELL	60	11¢	$7	0x473228…
05-11 16:08:48	Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 214.5	Over	BUY	61	49¢	$30	0x950fa6…
05-11 16:08:25	Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 213.5	Under	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x22d83e…
05-11 16:08:18	Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)	Pistons	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x0b1d96…
05-07 03:11:15	Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5	Over	SELL	54	8¢	$4	0xb39943…
05-07 02:49:28	Spread: Spurs (-10.5)	Timberwolves	SELL	58	11¢	$6	0x6a31d4…
05-07 01:04:14	Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5	Over	BUY	54	56¢	$30	0x6b7a22…
05-06 16:17:34	Spread: Spurs (-10.5)	Timberwolves	BUY	58	52¢	$30	0x55facd…
05-06 16:16:59	Spread: Knicks (-7.5)	76ers	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0xc682de…
05-06 02:49:48	Spread: Thunder (-16.5)	Thunder	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0x519493…
05-06 02:49:28	Spread: Thunder (-16.5)	Lakers	SELL	36	40¢	$14	0xbbaac9…
05-06 01:24:12	Spread: Thunder (-16.5)	Lakers	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x55e819…
05-06 01:23:58	Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 213.5	Over	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0xad4d0e…
05-06 01:23:48	Spread: Pistons (-3.5)	Pistons	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0x7142b4…
05-04 15:32:42	Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5	Under	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0xa6b50a…
05-04 15:32:26	Spread: Spurs (-14.5)	Timberwolves	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0x4d946a…
05-04 15:31:56	76ers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	56	71¢	$40	0x2ff146…
05-04 15:31:52	Spread: Knicks (-7.5)	Knicks	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x6fea73…
05-04 02:14:32	Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 211.5	Over	BUY	52	39¢	$20	0x73228d…
05-04 02:06:00	Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 211.5	Under	SELL	26	67¢	$17	0x25b817…
05-04 01:40:00	Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 211.5	Under	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x02649b…
05-04 01:39:36	Raptors vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	1,042	96¢	$1,000	0x927cfa…
05-04 01:21:24	Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)	Cavaliers	BUY	38	53¢	$20	0x60abf4…
05-02 16:52:28	Spread: Celtics (-7.5)	Celtics	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0xe669ae…
05-01 16:52:30	Spread: Rockets (-4.5)	Lakers	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x7e2a18…
05-01 16:52:24	Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)	Cavaliers	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0xeed734…
05-01 16:51:48	Pistons vs. Magic	Pistons	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0xec3bad…
04-30 04:12:50	Rockets vs. Lakers	Lakers	SELL	806	10¢	$81	0x67f8d4…
04-29 03:58:46	Trail Blazers vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	1,155	95¢	$1,100	0xe68302…
04-28 18:27:48	Spread: Lakers (-2.5)	Lakers	BUY	877	57¢	$500	0x935c29…
04-28 18:25:44	Rockets vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	806	62¢	$500	0x38c0b7…
04-22 05:09:26	nba hou lal 2026 04 21	Rockets	SELL	365	7¢	$26	0x908dd0…
04-22 03:44:20	nba hou lal 2026 04 21	Rockets	BUY	370	54¢	$200	0x3789c4…
04-18 04:19:16	nba gsw phx 2026 04 17	Warriors	SELL	61	5¢	$3	0x1be763…
04-18 03:01:02	nba gsw phx 2026 04 17	Warriors	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0x829519…
04-18 03:00:48	nba gsw phx 2026 04 17	Suns	SELL	132	66¢	$87	0x0825e9…
04-17 12:52:50	nba gsw phx 2026 04 17	Suns	BUY	134	59¢	$79	0x9b48db…
04-05 07:20:41	highest temperature in shanghai on april 5 2026 25c	Yes	SELL	76	21¢	$16	0x8ebe9d…
04-05 05:04:23	highest temperature in shanghai on april 5 2026 25c	Yes	BUY	79	25¢	$20	0xdc5d7b…
04-05 03:47:49	highest temperature in shanghai on april 5 2026 23c	No	BUY	60	84¢	$50	0x6dd21b…
04-04 14:00:55	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1,455	46¢	$669	0x06f097…
04-04 13:58:33	Will Kon Knueppel win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?	Yes	SELL	796	68¢	$545	0xffc49f…
04-03 08:58:15	highest temperature in shanghai on april 3 2026 16c	No	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0xacf678…
04-03 08:58:15	highest temperature in shanghai on april 3 2026 16c	No	BUY	25	48¢	$12	0x8e2efe…
04-03 08:31:03	highest temperature in shanghai on april 3 2026 16c	No	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0xee651c…
04-02 02:38:15	highest temperature in shanghai on april 2 2026 24c	Yes	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0xcccf45…
04-02 02:38:15	highest temperature in shanghai on april 2 2026 24c	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x65cb23…
04-02 02:38:13	highest temperature in shanghai on april 2 2026 24c	Yes	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x779167…
04-02 02:15:23	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	Yes	SELL	698	51¢	$356	0x72e8d6…
04-01 07:53:01	highest temperature in chongqing on april 1 2026 22c	No	SELL	17	64¢	$11	0x8e8830…
04-01 07:44:49	highest temperature in chongqing on april 1 2026 22c	No	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x10bd14…
04-01 06:42:27	highest temperature in chongqing on april 1 2026 23c	No	BUY	78	76¢	$59	0x7a967b…
04-01 06:42:19	highest temperature in chongqing on april 1 2026 22c	No	BUY	109	46¢	$50	0xcfc4bd…
04-01 04:07:45	highest temperature in shanghai on april 1 2026 18c	Yes	SELL	0	20¢	$0	0x821fb1…
04-01 04:07:29	highest temperature in shanghai on april 1 2026 18c	Yes	SELL	34	20¢	$7	0xb3bf1b…
04-01 04:00:49	highest temperature in shanghai on april 1 2026 19c	No	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0xeb619e…
04-01 03:58:57	highest temperature in shanghai on april 1 2026 18c	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x2b8223…
04-01 03:57:21	highest temperature in shanghai on april 1 2026 18c	No	SELL	357	90¢	$321	0x75ad05…
04-01 03:23:53	highest temperature in shanghai on april 1 2026 18c	No	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0x680d20…
04-01 03:23:41	highest temperature in shanghai on april 1 2026 18c	No	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0x2ca59e…
04-01 02:57:27	highest temperature in shanghai on april 1 2026 19c	No	BUY	49	61¢	$30	0xda8ca3…
04-01 02:53:23	highest temperature in shanghai on april 1 2026 18c	No	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x3010cd…
03-30 11:45:24	highest temperature in istanbul on march 30 2026 12c	No	BUY	37	82¢	$30	0x74837c…
03-30 06:05:12	highest temperature in hong kong on march 30 2026 27c	No	SELL	221	0¢	$0	0x84fd4c…
03-30 02:54:28	highest temperature in shanghai on march 30 2026 21c	No	SELL	209	91¢	$190	0xdc6c5c…
03-30 02:49:54	highest temperature in shanghai on march 30 2026 20c	No	SELL	129	74¢	$95	0x451fbd…
03-30 02:48:38	highest temperature in shanghai on march 30 2026 18c	No	BUY	257	78¢	$200	0x920815…
03-30 02:46:40	highest temperature in hong kong on march 30 2026 27c	No	BUY	221	91¢	$200	0xa71f2a…
03-30 02:19:04	highest temperature in shanghai on march 30 2026 21c	No	BUY	209	96¢	$200	0xc41776…
03-30 02:19:00	highest temperature in shanghai on march 30 2026 20c	No	BUY	129	77¢	$100	0x70f5d6…
03-30 01:49:04	highest temperature in hong kong on march 29 2026 25c	No	SELL	102	0¢	$0	0x80dead…
03-29 05:34:18	highest temperature in hong kong on march 29 2026 25c	No	SELL	55	54¢	$30	0xffbd43…
03-29 05:34:08	highest temperature in hong kong on march 29 2026 25c	No	SELL	52	67¢	$35	0xafdc25…
03-29 05:19:02	highest temperature in hong kong on march 29 2026 28c	Yes	SELL	150	1¢	$1	0x09e44f…
03-29 05:02:06	highest temperature in shanghai on march 29 2026 20c	No	SELL	67	86¢	$58	0x2e04c1…