Eminent-Discourse — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

50.2%

Resolved

Trades

515

lifetime

Volume

$1.32K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-31

last 05-11 18:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

68% 36% +$0

Politics

21% — —

Other

7% — —

Sports

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 229 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	6	$44	10,000	0	+10,000	open	—	04-09 05:47
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 8, 2026?	2	$43	24	24	+0	open	—	04-09 06:56
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	2	$39	24	24	+0	open	—	04-19 04:39
btc updown 5m 1775072400	4	$39	30	28	+2	open	—	04-01 19:44
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	2	$34	714	714	+0	open	—	04-09 14:00
btc updown 5m 1775107500	7	$32	37	33	+5	open	—	04-02 05:29
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 9, 2026?	2	$30	29	29	+0	open	—	04-10 10:08
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?	3	$23	5,000	3,333	+1,667	open	—	04-09 08:30
btc updown 5m 1775130300	12	$23	30	22	+8	open	—	04-02 11:49
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	3	$20	28	20	+8	open	—	04-28 04:54
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	1	$20	6,667	0	+6,667	open	—	04-08 13:47
btc updown 5m 1775072100	2	$19	16	16	+1	open	—	04-01 19:37
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	11	$18	19	13	+6	Down	$-4	05-11 18:44
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	2	$18	16	16	+0	open	—	04-17 18:05
btc updown 5m 1775109000	7	$18	68	33	+35	open	—	04-02 05:54
euroleague efes partizan 2026 04 08	2	$17	12	12	+0	open	—	04-08 19:26
btc updown 5m 1775109600	5	$16	27	4	+23	open	—	04-02 06:04
btc updown 5m 1775148000	4	$16	10	10	+0	open	—	04-02 16:44
btc updown 5m 1775073000	4	$15	56	10	+46	open	—	04-01 19:52
btc updown 5m 1775102100	3	$15	17	8	+9	open	—	04-02 03:58
btc updown 5m 1775102400	3	$15	24	17	+7	open	—	04-02 04:03
btc updown 5m 1776449400	4	$15	15	14	+1	open	—	04-17 18:14
euroleague barcelon panathin 2026 04 07	4	$15	20	0	+20	open	—	04-07 18:44
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 10, 2026?	2	$14	110	110	+0	open	—	04-12 08:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	4	$13	18	18	+0	open	—	05-02 05:52
btc updown 5m 1775127000	9	$13	17	13	+4	open	—	04-02 10:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	4	$13	12	12	+0	Up	+$1	05-11 06:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	4	$12	55	55	+0	open	—	05-02 06:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	8	$12	9	9	+0	Down	$-0	05-11 18:33
btc updown 5m 1775329800	5	$11	113	7	+106	open	—	04-04 19:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-11 18:44:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x6693b4…
05-11 18:43:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	4	65¢	$3	0x474b20…
05-11 18:43:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xdee916…
05-11 18:42:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x4c412e…
05-11 18:42:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0xa12e7b…
05-11 18:41:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xba94cd…
05-11 18:41:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	59¢	$1	0xaa2bb0…
05-11 18:40:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x9e5b39…
05-11 18:40:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x191a4b…
05-11 18:40:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x799ae7…
05-11 18:40:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xb286b6…
05-11 18:37:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x1b8c34…
05-11 18:36:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	SELL	4	49¢	$2	0xd891cb…
05-11 18:35:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	SELL	6	44¢	$2	0xf23589…
05-11 18:35:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x2c68cc…
05-11 18:35:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x133751…
05-11 18:35:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x195b0d…
05-11 18:34:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x1d9f3c…
05-11 18:33:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	SELL	6	95¢	$5	0x74b4f2…
05-11 18:31:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xbc8980…
05-11 18:31:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x2816f3…
05-11 18:31:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xf06dd4…
05-11 18:31:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x9a4089…
05-11 18:31:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x07f236…
05-11 18:31:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	3	13¢	$0	0xac4960…
05-11 18:31:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xcb0051…
05-11 18:26:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	19¢	$1	0xa8d4be…
05-11 18:25:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x89d62a…
05-11 18:21:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	14¢	$0	0x092177…
05-11 18:20:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xd26e0e…
05-11 18:17:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	SELL	9	11¢	$1	0x512039…
05-11 18:17:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x9b0c48…
05-11 13:14:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0x891966…
05-11 13:11:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x3eb269…
05-11 06:22:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	SELL	4	94¢	$4	0xe2bdb9…
05-11 06:21:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x88023a…
05-11 06:20:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	SELL	8	39¢	$3	0x454774…
05-11 06:20:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x5fd056…
05-10 18:04:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x59ea30…
05-10 18:04:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xa951fb…
05-10 18:03:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	3	59¢	$2	0xece4e1…
05-10 18:02:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x85538c…
05-10 18:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	4	28¢	$1	0x22a8a5…
05-10 18:00:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x945779…
05-10 17:59:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x0e2b8f…
05-10 17:57:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x3562fd…
05-10 17:56:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	34¢	$1	0x1fc244…
05-10 17:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x62869b…
05-02 06:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xa7187b…
05-02 06:21:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x5d9d84…
05-02 06:19:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	SELL	50	7¢	$3	0x3ef59b…
05-02 06:19:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xbf819e…
05-02 06:18:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	SELL	5	94¢	$4	0xe660f0…
05-02 06:15:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xe2b672…
05-02 06:12:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	0	42¢	$0	0xe59679…
05-02 06:12:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x267273…
05-02 06:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0x427afe…
05-02 06:12:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x242cd9…
05-02 06:09:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xcb493b…
05-02 06:07:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x630b50…
05-02 06:06:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x5ed48e…
05-02 06:01:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xb64497…
05-02 05:52:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	SELL	7	19¢	$1	0xd47f88…
05-02 05:51:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xa18c51…
05-02 05:50:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	SELL	11	46¢	$5	0xe2c866…
05-02 05:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x07ed93…
05-02 05:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xef71ed…
05-02 05:46:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0x3c3efc…
05-02 05:45:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x81871b…
05-02 04:28:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	4	56¢	$2	0x69810e…
05-02 04:28:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xee3a8b…
05-02 04:24:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x9e0e8e…
05-01 14:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0xe44726…
04-28 04:55:14	Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0xb323a4…
04-28 04:54:58	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	8	52¢	$4	0x998979…
04-28 04:52:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	SELL	8	37¢	$3	0x68691a…
04-28 04:52:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x3a4460…
04-28 04:51:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	SELL	5	31¢	$1	0x444155…
04-28 04:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xb924ba…
04-20 06:10:42	btc updown 5m 1776665400	Up	SELL	3	28¢	$1	0x88916e…
04-20 06:10:16	btc updown 5m 1776665400	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x363c56…
04-19 12:35:56	nba orl det 2026 04 19	Pistons	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x38a5f0…
04-19 12:35:16	nba por sas 2026 04 19	Spurs	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x44570f…
04-19 12:27:56	btc updown 5m 1776601500	Down	SELL	6	82¢	$5	0xfd3462…
04-19 12:25:30	btc updown 5m 1776601500	Down	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x4badaf…
04-19 12:20:24	btc updown 5m 1776601200	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x23351f…
04-19 12:04:52	btc updown 5m 1776600000	Down	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x6949fc…
04-19 12:04:20	btc updown 5m 1776600000	Down	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x0d422f…
04-19 12:01:54	btc updown 5m 1776600000	Up	SELL	4	34¢	$1	0x70d8c1…
04-19 12:01:00	btc updown 5m 1776600000	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xd68950…
04-19 12:00:00	btc updown 5m 1776599700	Down	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x54f95a…
04-19 11:59:06	btc updown 5m 1776599700	Down	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xbbad6d…
04-19 11:58:14	T20 Series South Africa vs. India, Women: South Africa vs India	India	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x06c970…
04-19 11:47:44	btc updown 5m 1776599100	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xf364b7…
04-19 08:47:00	btc updown 5m 1776588300	Up	SELL	3	46¢	$1	0xae3587…
04-19 08:46:48	btc updown 5m 1776588300	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xd37385…
04-19 08:45:34	btc updown 5m 1776588300	Down	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0x914517…
04-19 08:45:12	btc updown 5m 1776588300	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x801a86…
04-19 08:42:28	btc updown 5m 1776588000	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x56b12d…
04-19 08:41:16	btc updown 5m 1776588000	Down	SELL	3	48¢	$1	0x6ba46f…