Faint-Caravan — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$802

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

234

lifetime

Volume

$75.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$321

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-27

last 05-15 19:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

63% — —

Other

32% 0% $-802

Crypto

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	16	$11.2K	8,559	8,966	-407	open	—	04-26 16:00
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	3	$6.9K	4,775	2,397	+2,378	open	—	02-28 07:06
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	4	$5.5K	5,439	584	+4,855	open	—	04-29 14:40
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	7	$4.7K	5,559	5,559	+0	open	—	05-15 19:37
Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	41	$4.6K	2,602	2,602	+0	open	—	04-13 16:15
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	8	$4.4K	281,130	281,130	+0	open	—	02-28 06:51
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$3.3K	3,088	3,088	+0	open	—	04-12 07:25
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	3	$2.9K	2,095	2,095	+0	open	—	03-01 18:19
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	1	$2.8K	4,058	0	+4,058	open	—	04-07 20:13
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	14	$2.7K	3,426	3,426	+0	open	—	03-27 17:37
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	4	$2.6K	1,869	1,869	+0	open	—	03-01 18:19
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	1	$2.6K	2,715	0	+2,715	open	—	04-13 16:18
houthi strike on israel by april 15 2026	3	$2.3K	3,879	1,106	+2,773	open	—	04-02 16:48
houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	5	$1.8K	4,202	4,202	+0	open	—	03-31 02:30
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	3	$1.7K	1,133	1,433	-300	open	—	03-17 06:44
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	4	$1.6K	2,405	2,405	+0	open	—	03-03 14:08
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5	1	$1.2K	0	1,245	-1,245	Under	$-1	05-10 21:04
will israel strike lebanon on march 3 2026	2	$985	556	556	+0	open	—	03-02 05:30
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$937	901	901	+0	open	—	03-25 18:02
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	2	$911	1,285	1,285	+0	open	—	04-02 03:19
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score	2	$712	951	878	+72	No	$-600	05-10 20:54
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	2	$633	637	637	+0	open	—	03-01 11:25
will israel strike lebanon on march 9 2026	17	$631	1,250	1,250	+0	open	—	03-03 10:25
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	2	$592	625	625	+0	open	—	03-17 06:45
btc updown 5m 1774077900	1	$590	615	0	+615	open	—	03-21 07:29
btc updown 5m 1773866100	6	$569	920	909	+10	open	—	03-18 20:39
James Comey arrested by April 29?	4	$494	1,362	1,362	+0	open	—	04-29 18:15
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	4	$390	660	660	+0	open	—	03-05 00:37
will qatar strike iran by march 31	2	$383	304	304	+0	open	—	03-04 12:22
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	1	$373	539	0	+539	open	—	03-08 08:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 19:37:31	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	No	SELL	5,559	0¢	$11	0xbdb5a6…
05-15 16:51:37	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	No	BUY	3,113	86¢	$2,680	0x7bea59…
05-15 16:19:20	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	No	BUY	1,909	81¢	$1,546	0xb070c6…
05-15 16:17:11	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	No	BUY	13	81¢	$11	0xb56c89…
05-15 16:16:44	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	No	BUY	160	81¢	$129	0xaeb0f6…
05-15 16:16:44	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	No	BUY	74	81¢	$60	0x793ecf…
05-15 16:16:44	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?	No	BUY	290	81¢	$235	0x359803…
05-15 16:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	32	33¢	$10	0xa39e0b…
05-15 16:08:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	86	32¢	$28	0xf49d16…
05-15 16:08:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	118	42¢	$50	0xf65d74…
05-10 21:04:30	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	1,245	100¢	$1,243	0xda7224…
05-10 20:54:49	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	878	6¢	$56	0xc8ba08…
05-10 14:09:57	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	951	69¢	$656	0x5c0337…
05-05 18:48:26	Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	408	49¢	$200	0x6e212b…
05-02 06:19:38	Solana Up or Down - May 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	142	35¢	$50	0x4ad1dd…
05-02 06:13:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0x25440f…
05-01 10:44:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0x44ba15…
05-01 08:26:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	83	30¢	$25	0x382a7a…
05-01 07:51:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	SELL	208	24¢	$51	0xfd2542…
05-01 07:50:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	208	24¢	$50	0xf2310a…
04-30 13:38:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0xc4d595…
04-30 13:38:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	SELL	38	29¢	$11	0xca6e7e…
04-30 13:38:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	38	16¢	$6	0x243f10…
04-30 13:37:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	SELL	6	94¢	$5	0x7b3bd9…
04-30 13:36:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0xa9e97a…
04-30 13:33:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0x811b9e…
04-30 13:32:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	89¢	$4	0x0fc9eb…
04-29 18:15:42	James Comey arrested by April 29?	No	SELL	1,362	0¢	$4	0xf2b7e0…
04-29 14:44:40	James Comey arrested by April 29?	No	BUY	258	36¢	$93	0xe1fc7a…
04-29 14:44:36	James Comey arrested by April 29?	No	BUY	860	36¢	$309	0x675ec5…
04-29 14:43:10	James Comey arrested by April 29?	No	BUY	244	36¢	$88	0xfc5511…
04-29 14:40:56	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	500	98¢	$490	0x5947cc…
04-26 16:07:38	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5,355	92¢	$4,926	0xfc8d56…
04-26 16:00:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	4,966	99¢	$4,926	0x299863…
04-18 15:19:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	1,357	72¢	$977	0xb91874…
04-16 18:16:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	3,609	75¢	$2,713	0xf4a864…
04-16 07:32:28	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	84	57¢	$48	0x5e68e2…
04-16 07:30:34	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	84	58¢	$49	0x50c3f6…
04-13 16:18:07	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	No	BUY	2,715	94¢	$2,552	0x9f4107…
04-13 16:15:29	Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	2,602	98¢	$2,550	0x8488fe…
04-12 15:04:55	Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	511	79¢	$404	0x715677…
04-12 14:57:05	Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	15	79¢	$12	0x78c4df…
04-12 14:53:09	Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	235	79¢	$185	0x645fb0…
04-12 14:52:47	Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	9	79¢	$7	0x7059b6…
04-12 14:52:39	Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xe4d8e6…
04-12 14:52:39	Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x3e1a90…
04-12 14:52:39	Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x206b28…
04-12 14:52:37	Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xc9b307…
04-12 14:52:37	Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	45	79¢	$35	0x7d5d5b…
04-12 14:52:37	Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x0289f8…
04-12 14:50:33	Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	144	79¢	$114	0xf1a1ea…
04-12 14:50:33	Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	100	79¢	$79	0x72e59a…
04-12 14:47:57	Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	73	79¢	$58	0x9ab8bd…
04-12 14:47:19	Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	90	79¢	$71	0x89360a…
04-12 14:46:29	Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	58	79¢	$46	0xd1e211…
04-12 14:46:09	Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x42d21e…
04-12 14:46:07	Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x615756…
04-12 14:45:39	Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xa5591e…
04-12 14:45:29	Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	34	79¢	$27	0x05aad1…
04-12 14:44:05	Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	31	79¢	$25	0xc69ba1…
04-12 14:44:05	Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	31	79¢	$25	0xaf552d…
04-12 14:43:51	Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0xc14c02…
04-12 14:43:37	Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xcb073b…
04-12 14:43:37	Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x4e3427…
04-12 14:43:35	Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	9	79¢	$7	0xc72227…
04-12 14:43:35	Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x88ea17…
04-12 14:43:35	Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x0bd979…
04-12 14:40:13	Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x568b97…
04-12 14:39:47	Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0xce4650…
04-12 14:39:11	Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	29	79¢	$23	0x725352…
04-12 14:38:33	Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	31	79¢	$24	0xd26d91…
04-12 14:38:03	Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	100	79¢	$79	0x491561…
04-12 14:36:43	Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0xc7d089…
04-12 14:36:17	Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	15	79¢	$12	0x551e9f…
04-12 14:36:11	Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	128	79¢	$101	0x8ffdd8…
04-12 14:36:05	Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	247	79¢	$195	0xf3de26…
04-12 14:36:05	Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x75440b…
04-12 14:36:05	Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x38913f…
04-12 14:36:05	Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	40	79¢	$32	0x37b1df…
04-12 14:36:05	Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	469	79¢	$370	0x01e822…
04-12 07:25:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	4,000	20¢	$788	0x5b25ac…
04-12 07:25:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	3,088	41¢	$1,263	0xa0f91a…
04-08 07:34:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	3,088	67¢	$2,054	0x015826…
04-08 07:34:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	2,000	50¢	$1,000	0xb8ae24…
04-08 07:34:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	33	50¢	$17	0x146e4e…
04-08 07:33:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xb7fff7…
04-08 07:32:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xe97271…
04-08 07:32:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	198	50¢	$99	0xf96d22…
04-08 07:30:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0xf3ccc0…
04-08 07:29:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xa9abb5…
04-08 07:29:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x150a30…
04-08 07:26:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x06f2d2…
04-08 07:26:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x80657d…
04-08 07:24:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	25	50¢	$13	0x897cba…
04-08 07:23:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	1,179	50¢	$590	0x1c3f45…
04-07 20:13:15	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	Yes	BUY	4,058	68¢	$2,773	0x308616…
04-02 16:48:03	houthi strike on israel by april 15 2026	Yes	BUY	2,773	62¢	$1,711	0x8649b7…
04-02 03:19:53	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	SELL	1,285	32¢	$411	0x4a88cd…
04-01 20:44:09	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	1,285	39¢	$500	0x5bb849…
04-01 13:36:21	houthi strike on israel by april 15 2026	Yes	SELL	1,106	28¢	$310	0x0fa331…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	33	$709.6K	11,909	05-31 10:07
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	31	$337.5K	24,496	05-27 03:07
Pertinent-Vengeance 0x0275…b936	31	$958	544	05-25 12:50
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	30	$259.2K	20,309	04-30 16:25
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	30	$61.1K	712	06-01 05:53
Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a	29	$734.8K	6,572	05-24 18:25
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	29	$101.5K	558	05-27 19:06
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	28	$16.0M	22,429	05-31 21:55