Ugly-Pencil — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$15.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$425

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-13

last 05-20 09:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

79% 50% $-2

Politics

20% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will sentimental value win best original screenplay at the 98th academy awards	4	$3.3K	1,685	1,685	+0	open	—	03-15 16:19
Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 6.00% and 6.50%?	6	$3.2K	1,742	1,742	+0	open	—	03-15 12:04
Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	3	$3.2K	1,726	1,726	+0	No	$-3	03-15 14:14
will deepseek have the best ai model for coding on march 31	7	$3.1K	2,817	2,817	+0	open	—	03-15 11:49
will phan vn giang be the next president of vietnam	4	$2.6K	1,333	1,333	+0	open	—	03-15 23:00
mls lag skc 2026 03 14 spread home 1pt5	2	$105	169	0	+169	open	—	03-14 03:14
nhl car tb 2026 03 14 total 5pt5	2	$101	171	0	+171	open	—	03-14 03:48
kor dae1 san 2026 03 14 total 3pt5	1	$63	226	0	+226	open	—	03-14 06:24
elc swe ips 2026 03 14 swe	2	$29	31	0	+31	open	—	03-14 06:47
Haras El Hodood SC vs. El Mokawloon El Arab SC: O/U 4.5	1	$20	21	0	+21	Under	+$1	05-13 04:12
fl1 ang ogc 2026 03 14 spread home 1pt5	1	$14	15	0	+15	open	—	03-14 09:42
SS Lazio vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 4.5	1	$13	14	0	+14	open	—	04-27 15:43
scop hib liv 2026 03 14 liv	1	$12	13	0	+13	open	—	03-14 09:23
Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 1.5	1	$11	12	0	+12	open	—	05-20 09:36
nba mem det 2026 03 13	1	$9	10	0	+10	open	—	03-13 14:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-20 09:36:50	Isaiah Hartenstein: Rebounds O/U 1.5	Yes	BUY	12	95¢	$11	0xbf35df…
05-13 04:12:56	Haras El Hodood SC vs. El Mokawloon El Arab SC: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x7ddf12…
04-27 15:43:26	SS Lazio vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	14	92¢	$13	0x6c6d23…
03-15 23:00:31	will phan vn giang be the next president of vietnam	No	SELL	698	96¢	$673	0xcdfe2e…
03-15 23:00:29	will phan vn giang be the next president of vietnam	No	SELL	635	96¢	$612	0xf11a86…
03-15 22:50:25	will phan vn giang be the next president of vietnam	No	BUY	1,090	97¢	$1,053	0x5dbfc4…
03-15 22:50:25	will phan vn giang be the next president of vietnam	No	BUY	243	97¢	$235	0x1c77c3…
03-15 16:19:13	will sentimental value win best original screenplay at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	1,685	97¢	$1,638	0x65201b…
03-15 16:12:15	will sentimental value win best original screenplay at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	1,303	97¢	$1,268	0xfd6efd…
03-15 16:12:15	will sentimental value win best original screenplay at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	68	97¢	$66	0x9b7c66…
03-15 16:12:15	will sentimental value win best original screenplay at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	314	97¢	$306	0x931eb1…
03-15 14:14:11	Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	No	SELL	1,726	92¢	$1,586	0x880e6e…
03-15 14:05:09	Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	No	BUY	459	92¢	$423	0xa3cbbf…
03-15 14:05:09	Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	No	BUY	1,267	92¢	$1,167	0x11f3e7…
03-15 12:04:59	Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 6.00% and 6.50%?	Yes	SELL	479	92¢	$439	0xd45161…
03-15 12:04:59	Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 6.00% and 6.50%?	Yes	SELL	283	92¢	$260	0x26bc5b…
03-15 12:04:59	Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 6.00% and 6.50%?	Yes	SELL	89	92¢	$82	0x109a28…
03-15 12:04:59	Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 6.00% and 6.50%?	Yes	SELL	891	92¢	$817	0x034978…
03-15 11:57:53	Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 6.00% and 6.50%?	Yes	BUY	1,520	92¢	$1,400	0x9952b3…
03-15 11:57:53	Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 6.00% and 6.50%?	Yes	BUY	222	92¢	$204	0x67ba11…
03-15 11:49:03	will deepseek have the best ai model for coding on march 31	Yes	SELL	602	2¢	$13	0x0c273f…
03-15 11:49:01	will deepseek have the best ai model for coding on march 31	Yes	SELL	640	2¢	$14	0x75e247…
03-15 11:43:13	will deepseek have the best ai model for coding on march 31	Yes	BUY	1,242	2¢	$25	0xb1043c…
03-15 10:31:53	will deepseek have the best ai model for coding on march 31	No	SELL	1,575	98¢	$1,540	0x275585…
03-15 10:24:09	will deepseek have the best ai model for coding on march 31	No	BUY	1,091	98¢	$1,069	0xefa75b…
03-15 10:24:09	will deepseek have the best ai model for coding on march 31	No	BUY	90	98¢	$88	0xd7d25f…
03-15 10:24:09	will deepseek have the best ai model for coding on march 31	No	BUY	394	98¢	$386	0x139c2b…
03-14 09:42:17	fl1 ang ogc 2026 03 14 spread home 1pt5	OGC Nice	BUY	15	91¢	$14	0xcf28f9…
03-14 09:23:01	scop hib liv 2026 03 14 liv	No	BUY	13	91¢	$12	0xdf02f1…
03-14 06:47:41	elc swe ips 2026 03 14 swe	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x9b6f5d…
03-14 06:24:55	kor dae1 san 2026 03 14 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	226	28¢	$63	0x728bac…
03-14 04:07:15	elc swe ips 2026 03 14 swe	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x24dba7…
03-14 03:48:47	nhl car tb 2026 03 14 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	103	59¢	$61	0x4cb16d…
03-14 03:48:47	nhl car tb 2026 03 14 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	68	59¢	$40	0x3927e8…
03-14 03:14:29	mls lag skc 2026 03 14 spread home 1pt5	Sporting Kansas City	BUY	165	62¢	$102	0xc6237c…
03-14 03:14:29	mls lag skc 2026 03 14 spread home 1pt5	Sporting Kansas City	BUY	4	62¢	$2	0x61d3a4…
03-13 14:39:11	nba mem det 2026 03 13	Pistons	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xc9e66b…