Concrete-Trapdoor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.0%

Resolved

Trades

847

lifetime

Volume

$2.33K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-08

last 05-14 06:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 57% $-5

Other

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 140 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down april 13 2026 1pm et	4	$41	0	80	-80	open	—	04-13 17:03
bitcoin up or down april 13 2026 8am et	4	$41	0	80	-80	open	—	04-13 11:47
bitcoin above 69600 on april 13 2026 8am et	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	04-13 11:30
bitcoin up or down april 13 2026 12pm et	2	$40	20	20	+0	open	—	04-13 18:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	10	$38	80	0	+80	open	—	04-25 08:18
bitcoin up or down april 13 2026 3pm et	3	$32	0	80	-80	open	—	04-13 19:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	3	$32	52	12	+40	open	—	04-30 16:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	8	$27	60	0	+60	open	—	04-25 07:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	6	$27	50	0	+50	open	—	04-25 08:29
bitcoin up or down april 13 2026 12am et	2	$22	0	40	-40	open	—	04-13 04:07
btc updown 5m 1776431700	1	$21	42	0	+42	open	—	04-16 17:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	1	$21	42	0	+42	open	—	04-27 15:46
btc updown 4h 1776067200	3	$20	0	40	-40	open	—	04-13 08:02
eth updown 4h 1776067200	5	$20	0	40	-40	open	—	04-13 08:02
btc updown 5m 1773647400	2	$20	31	0	+31	open	—	03-16 07:54
bitcoin above 70000 on april 13 2026 8am et	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-13 13:15
will bitcoin reach 79k on march 16	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-16 07:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	4	$19	40	0	+40	open	—	04-25 08:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	4	$19	40	0	+40	open	—	04-25 07:50
btc updown 5m 1773422100	3	$19	28	0	+28	open	—	03-13 17:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	6	$18	40	0	+40	open	—	04-25 08:22
btc updown 15m 1775048400	5	$18	18	17	+1	open	—	03-31 18:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	4	$18	25	24	+1	open	—	04-25 08:48
btc updown 5m 1776529800	5	$16	20	19	+1	open	—	04-18 16:32
btc updown 5m 1773738000	4	$15	18	17	+0	open	—	03-17 09:04
btc updown 5m 1776258900	2	$13	21	5	+16	open	—	04-15 07:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	3	$12	16	11	+5	Down	+$2	05-14 06:14
btc updown 5m 1773673800	4	$12	180	0	+180	open	—	03-16 15:14
btc updown 5m 1773663900	4	$12	18	0	+18	open	—	03-16 12:28
btc updown 5m 1773417600	3	$11	13	0	+13	open	—	03-13 16:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 06:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x03e382…
05-14 06:11:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	11	45¢	$5	0x275857…
05-14 06:11:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xe74cb4…
05-07 16:46:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x3929dd…
05-07 15:41:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xa90028…
05-06 07:14:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xd6d8bd…
05-06 07:05:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0xf03aee…
05-06 07:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0xfdb16d…
05-06 07:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0x051d3d…
05-06 06:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x0d9a49…
05-06 06:29:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xb31882…
05-02 17:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x96aa1b…
05-02 17:28:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x1337ec…
05-01 18:03:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	21	50¢	$10	0x94c1f5…
05-01 17:39:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x1d8359…
05-01 17:38:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0x6b27aa…
05-01 17:15:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x4a35c1…
05-01 17:13:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x738828…
04-30 16:54:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	SELL	12	49¢	$6	0xca7142…
04-30 16:51:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xfd7c92…
04-30 16:51:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	42	50¢	$21	0xeff1ed…
04-30 11:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xadaa8d…
04-30 11:56:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x4bbac5…
04-30 08:17:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xca618f…
04-30 07:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xc4cba7…
04-30 06:44:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xa53e3f…
04-29 15:02:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11AM ET	Up	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x9ad026…
04-29 15:00:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x841c3b…
04-29 14:59:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	21	50¢	$10	0xa9f8f6…
04-28 21:27:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	49¢	$1	0xc86171…
04-28 21:27:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x5d7e94…
04-28 21:27:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x0bbb40…
04-28 16:31:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	21	50¢	$10	0x3ce1e2…
04-27 15:46:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	42	50¢	$21	0xf111a4…
04-26 18:07:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	21	50¢	$10	0xb8f2bb…
04-25 08:48:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	24	27¢	$6	0x4b7808…
04-25 08:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	13	45¢	$6	0x4eafe0…
04-25 08:42:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x662996…
04-25 08:41:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x37d28a…
04-25 08:35:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0xea9661…
04-25 08:34:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0xb46963…
04-25 08:29:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x9539fb…
04-25 08:26:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xfb521d…
04-25 08:26:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xaef716…
04-25 08:26:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x3da545…
04-25 08:25:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x4f5cbc…
04-25 08:24:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x7b0453…
04-25 08:22:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xfea98d…
04-25 08:22:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	32¢	$1	0x5544c4…
04-25 08:20:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0xd8047e…
04-25 08:20:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x0d0094…
04-25 08:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xbbaeb7…
04-25 08:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xab3e22…
04-25 08:18:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x9aaeff…
04-25 08:18:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0xe917ef…
04-25 08:17:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x6e8953…
04-25 08:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x809605…
04-25 08:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x520858…
04-25 08:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xafe71a…
04-25 08:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xf61565…
04-25 08:14:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0xc19dbe…
04-25 08:14:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x95a668…
04-25 08:13:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xe0badb…
04-25 08:11:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xf16b45…
04-25 08:10:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xdeefc2…
04-25 08:08:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0xe3397e…
04-25 08:06:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x5aa9ed…
04-25 08:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x651ee7…
04-25 08:04:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x1e57ba…
04-25 08:03:14	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on April 25?	Yes	SELL	81	0¢	$0	0x6fa67d…
04-25 07:50:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x7171f8…
04-25 07:46:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	43¢	$4	0x0de303…
04-25 07:46:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	43¢	$0	0x0185b2…
04-25 07:41:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x7bd6db…
04-25 07:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x5700ab…
04-25 07:32:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x0d8e42…
04-25 07:32:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x41180d…
04-25 07:32:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x3e9c26…
04-25 07:32:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x519ab3…
04-25 07:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x3c6595…
04-25 07:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x4e26b3…
04-25 07:29:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x013b98…
04-25 07:26:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0xed5c54…
04-25 07:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	19	5¢	$1	0xdbd0c2…
04-25 07:23:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x001b7c…
04-25 07:22:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	15	4¢	$1	0x6ca573…
04-25 07:21:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xd2b8c1…
04-25 06:42:14	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on April 25?	Yes	BUY	86	1¢	$1	0x83ee18…
04-24 18:56:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 3PM ET	Down	SELL	10	45¢	$4	0x95a57a…
04-24 18:48:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x253cf3…
04-24 18:34:20	btc updown 5m 1777055400	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0x9d6157…
04-24 06:05:52	btc updown 5m 1777036500	Down	BUY	21	50¢	$10	0x28d1f9…
04-18 16:32:28	btc updown 5m 1776529800	Up	SELL	10	23¢	$2	0x52b4d9…
04-18 16:31:02	btc updown 5m 1776529800	Down	SELL	2	34¢	$1	0xda3c3d…
04-18 16:31:02	btc updown 5m 1776529800	Down	SELL	8	34¢	$3	0x7e2e04…
04-18 16:30:04	btc updown 5m 1776529800	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x9ef5bd…
04-18 16:29:40	btc updown 5m 1776529800	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x6df2a5…
04-18 16:28:36	btc updown 5m 1776529500	Down	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x060125…
04-18 16:04:02	btc updown 5m 1776604500	Down	BUY	21	50¢	$10	0x9213d5…
04-18 05:24:32	btc updown 5m 1776518100	Down	BUY	21	50¢	$10	0x0a45cb…