Wealthy-Declination — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

41.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$309

lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-10

last 07-09 10:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

45% 0% $-0

Other

28% — —

Crypto

23% 100% +$2

Tech

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	2	$66	36	36	+0	open	—	03-17 23:15
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	2	$42	23	23	+0	Yes	$-0	04-30 08:16
Billions FDV above $500M one day after launch?	1	$30	32	0	+32	No	+$2	05-05 05:30
will russia capture rodynske by march 31	1	$25	33	0	+33	open	—	03-17 23:17
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	1	$20	33	0	+33	open	—	04-30 08:17
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	1	$19	24	0	+24	open	—	04-12 22:53
fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 spread home 1pt5	1	$15	23	0	+23	open	—	06-18 14:01
will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by september 30 2026	1	$15	18	0	+18	open	—	07-09 10:51
fifwc kor civ 2026 06 25 spread away 2pt5	1	$15	26	0	+26	open	—	06-25 08:14
EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?	2	$11	15	0	+15	open	—	03-30 04:41
Will OpenAI file for an IPO by May 29, 2026?	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	05-26 07:49
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	1	$10	14	0	+14	open	—	07-09 10:51
Will Ukraine be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$10	13	0	+13	open	—	05-14 10:01
Citrea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	1	$10	13	0	+13	open	—	05-26 07:56
Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$5	17	0	+17	open	—	05-14 09:59
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$3	64	64	+0	open	—	03-01 13:08
Will Sweden be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	1	$2	22	0	+22	open	—	05-14 10:00
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1	$1	0	7	-7	open	—	01-26 23:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-09 10:51:53	Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x642789…
07-09 10:51:32	will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by september 30 2026	No	BUY	18	85¢	$15	0x3e10e3…
06-25 08:14:37	fifwc kor civ 2026 06 25 spread away 2pt5	Curaçao	BUY	26	58¢	$15	0x7d3c63…
06-18 14:01:47	fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 spread home 1pt5	Bosnia and Herzegovina	BUY	23	65¢	$15	0x48e9f1…
05-26 07:56:57	Citrea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x7fdc55…
05-26 07:49:34	Will OpenAI file for an IPO by May 29, 2026?	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x97f023…
05-14 10:01:26	Will Ukraine be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x7fb8a9…
05-14 10:00:27	Will Sweden be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x267760…
05-14 09:59:52	Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x53b984…
05-05 05:30:20	Billions FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	32	92¢	$30	0x29c24d…
04-30 08:17:28	megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	No	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0x612309…
04-30 08:16:34	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	23	90¢	$21	0x0c162f…
04-12 22:53:35	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	24	80¢	$19	0xece558…
04-12 22:52:39	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	23	91¢	$21	0xd524d3…
03-30 04:41:00	EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xcdedff…
03-17 23:17:21	will russia capture rodynske by march 31	No	BUY	33	75¢	$25	0x53ad36…
03-17 23:17:05	EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	11	83¢	$9	0xa3f6ab…
03-17 23:15:25	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	SELL	36	98¢	$35	0x1fe6ea…
03-01 13:08:55	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	SELL	64	0¢	$0	0x737e50…
02-28 20:02:53	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	64	5¢	$3	0x5bff29…
01-26 23:13:31	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	7	14¢	$1	0xcd523c…
01-10 23:14:26	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	No	BUY	36	86¢	$31	0xc881e9…