Intrepid-Emergence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.9%

Resolved

429

Trades

1,481

lifetime

Volume

$1.57K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-21

last 05-15 07:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 48% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 166 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	1	$4	8	0	+8	Up	+$4	05-05 11:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	04-29 08:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	2	$4	5	5	+0	open	—	04-25 07:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	04-28 02:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	2	$4	6	6	+0	open	—	04-29 03:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	04-30 04:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	04-25 16:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$2	05-09 08:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	open	—	05-15 05:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	2	$4	5	5	+0	open	—	04-29 07:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	3	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	04-30 02:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	2	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	05-15 05:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	2	$3	3	3	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 03:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-29 07:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-28 00:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	2	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	04-29 05:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	3	$3	6	6	+0	open	—	04-29 04:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	05-12 05:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	05-14 03:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	05-03 07:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	05-12 02:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	2	$3	3	2	+0	open	—	04-27 06:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	05-14 06:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	05-11 09:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-29 04:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-30 04:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	2	$3	3	3	+0	open	—	04-25 04:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	05-15 05:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 02:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 03:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 07:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x523d4c…
05-15 07:35:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	34¢	$1	0xb4b06b…
05-15 07:35:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x36fb11…
05-15 07:31:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	31¢	$1	0xdbb2a6…
05-15 07:30:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x64ed06…
05-15 07:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	30¢	$1	0x99bec6…
05-15 07:25:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x7c30b3…
05-15 07:21:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	26¢	$1	0x0638f3…
05-15 07:19:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x001110…
05-15 07:18:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	26¢	$1	0x7054fc…
05-15 07:15:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xc0e04a…
05-15 07:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	22¢	$0	0x22249b…
05-15 07:10:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x1c6496…
05-15 07:06:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	28¢	$1	0xd36d67…
05-15 07:05:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x16361e…
05-15 07:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	28¢	$1	0xbfbbfc…
05-15 06:59:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb3eaf3…
05-15 06:55:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	30¢	$1	0xa99533…
05-15 06:55:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xf0c7fa…
05-15 06:50:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xc0778c…
05-15 06:40:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	3	22¢	$1	0xcb7b51…
05-15 06:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x5246d4…
05-15 06:37:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	16¢	$0	0x1eba7f…
05-15 06:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x5eeeb9…
05-15 06:30:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	13¢	$0	0xffdce4…
05-15 06:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x42791b…
05-15 06:26:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	17¢	$0	0x56dd4b…
05-15 06:25:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xb9f9fe…
05-15 06:21:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	16¢	$0	0x23f70e…
05-15 06:20:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xb6147b…
05-15 06:16:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	26¢	$1	0xbba872…
05-15 06:14:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x704c81…
05-15 06:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0xd7ce63…
05-15 06:10:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x715923…
05-15 06:09:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	20¢	$0	0x44d8fc…
05-15 06:05:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xfc7660…
05-15 06:02:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0xd4f07e…
05-15 06:02:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xbc06a5…
05-15 05:58:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xe7c050…
05-15 05:55:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x9a784a…
05-15 05:50:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	SELL	2	32¢	$1	0xa88780…
05-15 05:50:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x78b49d…
05-15 05:37:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x5301c4…
05-15 05:35:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x3500f3…
05-15 05:31:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x466c54…
05-15 05:30:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x745df0…
05-15 05:27:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	92¢	$2	0x7240f5…
05-15 05:25:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xb979eb…
05-15 05:21:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	29¢	$1	0x3e06cc…
05-15 05:20:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x588b74…
05-15 05:15:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	SELL	3	22¢	$1	0xfa0a1e…
05-15 05:15:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x648bb6…
05-15 05:10:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xae839c…
05-15 05:08:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x5ae1b5…
05-15 05:05:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x861f18…
05-15 04:56:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	20¢	$0	0xb1a72e…
05-15 04:55:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xffa291…
05-15 04:50:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x501d61…
05-15 04:40:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x170a8d…
05-15 04:33:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	27¢	$1	0x1a6fc1…
05-15 04:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x501eb5…
05-15 04:21:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	31¢	$1	0x9def8c…
05-15 04:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x2905ab…
05-15 04:15:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	27¢	$1	0x8badfd…
05-15 04:15:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xa636c2…
05-15 04:12:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	28¢	$1	0x53e1ca…
05-15 04:10:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x196f9e…
05-15 04:05:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	15¢	$0	0x41276a…
05-15 04:05:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xdb326c…
05-15 04:02:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x81c7f0…
05-15 04:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xdc7a49…
05-15 03:55:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xea41b2…
05-15 03:49:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	19¢	$0	0xa2ba22…
05-15 03:45:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xcf3ac3…
05-15 03:41:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	28¢	$1	0x00b5ff…
05-15 03:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xf19d7d…
05-15 03:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x3f8a90…
05-15 03:16:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	SELL	2	29¢	$1	0x50fb18…
05-15 03:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xfa7e30…
05-15 03:10:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	2	27¢	$1	0x04e4ab…
05-15 03:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xf1f474…
05-15 03:08:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x96ba06…
05-15 03:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x29cfd0…
05-15 03:03:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	27¢	$1	0x561204…
05-15 03:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x7d2a3f…
05-15 02:56:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	31¢	$1	0xb7f2c6…
05-15 02:55:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x46a8f9…
05-15 02:53:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x8a022a…
05-15 02:50:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x0d3ad6…
05-15 02:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x1a3141…
05-15 02:40:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	2	28¢	$1	0x805bc9…
05-15 02:40:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x3ac3f9…
05-15 02:35:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	27¢	$1	0x7bc5cc…
05-15 02:35:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xeab3e0…
05-15 02:33:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x9896f0…
05-15 02:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x51d708…
05-15 02:16:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	11¢	$0	0x292da6…
05-15 02:15:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x54c346…
05-14 09:54:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	25¢	$1	0xe74b86…
05-14 09:50:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x0f4dd6…