Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

41.7%

Resolved

Trades

317

lifetime

Volume

$1.29K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-30

last 04-23 17:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Other

53% 29% $-10

Politics

32% 60% $-8

Crypto

8% — —

Tech

6% — —

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 100 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Barack Obama by April 30, 2026?	2	$38	34	34	+0	open	—	04-20 20:20
will progressive bulgaria pb win 95 or more seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	5	$27	18	18	+0	open	—	04-20 14:06
Will Jasmine Clark be the Democratic nominee for GA-13?	4	$24	19	19	+0	open	—	04-23 09:01
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	2	$23	25	25	+0	Yes	+$3	04-23 09:01
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	3	$22	17	17	+0	open	—	04-23 09:01
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in April 2026?	4	$21	14	14	+0	open	—	04-23 09:06
DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?	3	$20	13	13	+0	open	—	04-23 09:03
Will Ukraine be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	3	$20	29	29	+0	open	—	04-23 09:06
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in April?	2	$20	51	50	+2	open	—	04-23 09:01
Will Lyft’s total rides in Q1 2026 be above 240m?	3	$19	13	13	+0	No	$-1	04-23 09:01
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	2	$19	26	26	+0	open	—	04-23 09:01
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	3	$19	12	12	+0	open	—	04-23 09:07
Will Denmark be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	2	$19	18	18	+0	open	—	04-23 09:01
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	2	$19	15	15	+0	open	—	04-21 11:40
Will Sharif Street be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?	4	$18	24	24	+0	open	—	04-23 09:06
will the dravida munnetra kazhagam dmk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	2	$18	12	12	+0	open	—	04-23 09:01
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	2	$18	50	50	+0	open	—	04-23 09:01
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	3	$18	17	17	+0	open	—	04-23 09:01
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$17	40	40	+0	open	—	04-23 09:01
Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?	2	$17	14	14	+0	open	—	04-20 14:06
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	2	$17	24	24	+0	Yes	$-4	04-23 09:01
white house of tweets april 14 april 21 2026 180 199	2	$16	12	12	+0	open	—	04-21 06:07
Will USD fall to 1.5M Iranian rials by April 30?	3	$16	15	15	+0	open	—	04-23 09:06
Will Michelle Milthorpe win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?	2	$16	17	17	+0	No	$-4	04-23 09:01
Will Trump praise Allah again by April 30?	2	$15	45	45	+0	open	—	04-23 09:01
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	2	$15	59	59	+0	open	—	04-23 09:01
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	2	$15	31	31	+0	open	—	04-23 09:01
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	2	$15	13	13	+0	open	—	04-23 09:01
bitcoin above 76k on april 23	2	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	04-22 16:32
Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by April 30?	4	$14	33	33	+0	open	—	04-23 09:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-23 17:21:44	Will Meta have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	SELL	17	0¢	$0	0x675a41…
04-23 09:07:26	Will David Scott be the Democratic nominee for GA-13?	Yes	SELL	15	1¢	$0	0xc081b0…
04-23 09:07:18	Will Russia capture Pokrovka by April 30?	Yes	SELL	8	8¢	$1	0xcfa956…
04-23 09:07:12	Will gas hit (Low) $3.85 by April 30?	Yes	SELL	12	5¢	$1	0x798ec9…
04-23 09:07:06	Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	2	72¢	$2	0x068634…
04-23 09:07:00	Will Lady Gaga attend the Met Gala?	Yes	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0xc5ac36…
04-23 09:06:54	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	9	25¢	$2	0xc44f5f…
04-23 09:06:46	Uber # of trips above 3.6B in Q1?	Yes	SELL	3	68¢	$2	0x97c85a…
04-23 09:06:42	Will USD fall to 1.5M Iranian rials by April 30?	Yes	SELL	8	41¢	$3	0x9a09f9…
04-23 09:06:34	will donald trump publicly insult someone on april 23 2026	Yes	SELL	4	89¢	$3	0x06e7f5…
04-23 09:06:28	Will Sharif Street be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?	Yes	SELL	19	34¢	$6	0x4d2771…
04-23 09:06:22	Will Ukraine be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	34¢	$8	0x0be6cb…
04-23 09:06:16	Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	81¢	$9	0x7884a7…
04-23 09:06:08	Will OpenAI have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	SELL	3	13¢	$0	0x5fdb7e…
04-23 09:05:56	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?	Yes	SELL	9	6¢	$1	0xf89eba…
04-23 09:05:50	Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	4¢	$1	0x9f1e54…
04-23 09:05:44	Will Peter Underwood win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	35	1¢	$0	0x93a7df…
04-23 09:03:30	DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?	Yes	SELL	7	82¢	$5	0xa0b359…
04-23 09:02:42	Uber # of trips above 3.6B in Q1?	Yes	SELL	7	69¢	$4	0x17d995…
04-23 09:02:02	Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in April?	Yes	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0x8d088b…
04-23 09:02:02	North Korea missile test/launch by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	30¢	$0	0x78cd3a…
04-23 09:02:00	Will the April 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?	Yes	SELL	3	33¢	$1	0xea2f7a…
04-23 09:02:00	Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	83¢	$5	0xadaf36…
04-23 09:01:58	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $330 Week of April 20 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	20¢	$1	0xff961a…
04-23 09:01:58	will claude opus 4 6 thinking be the best ai model on april 24 2026	Yes	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0xd6f162…
04-23 09:01:58	Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $153 Week of April 20 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	26¢	$2	0x068dbd…
04-23 09:01:56	Will Google have the second highest estimated revenue for Apr 20–26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	30¢	$2	0xfc9ef6…
04-23 09:01:56	Will Bryan Johnson have sex again this month?	Yes	SELL	7	60¢	$4	0xcf3bce…
04-23 09:01:56	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $256 Week of April 20 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	38¢	$3	0x50fc2a…
04-23 09:01:56	Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	32¢	$2	0x3854f7…
04-23 09:01:56	Will Drake officially release Iceman by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	87¢	$6	0x23cbcb…
04-23 09:01:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 26?	Yes	SELL	9	77¢	$7	0xafdbff…
04-23 09:01:54	Will the April 2026 unemployment rate be 4.4%?	Yes	SELL	8	17¢	$1	0x91ac37…
04-23 09:01:54	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?	Yes	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0x7ccc44…
04-23 09:01:54	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?	Yes	SELL	8	18¢	$1	0x5dada6…
04-23 09:01:52	Will Google reach $355 in April?	Yes	SELL	11	64¢	$7	0xb8ccb8…
04-23 09:01:52	Will Jeffrey Kessler be the Democratic nominee for Senate in West Virginia?	Yes	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0x4fe870…
04-23 09:01:52	Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on April 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0x33b11e…
04-23 09:01:50	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 Week of April 20 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	17¢	$2	0xcc5d04…
04-23 09:01:50	white house of tweets april 17 april 24 2026 120 139	Yes	SELL	0	21¢	$0	0xc4fa74…
04-23 09:01:50	Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	10	73¢	$7	0x78cf32…
04-23 09:01:50	Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	38¢	$5	0x0f1eca…
04-23 09:01:50	will the dravida munnetra kazhagam dmk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	Yes	SELL	12	68¢	$8	0x02f4f5…
04-23 09:01:48	Will Lyft’s total rides in Q1 2026 be above 240m?	Yes	SELL	13	73¢	$9	0xf972d2…
04-23 09:01:48	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	13	38¢	$5	0xf2f40f…
04-23 09:01:48	Will Donald Trump's tie be blue?	Yes	SELL	14	1¢	$0	0x63a333…
04-23 09:01:48	DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?	Yes	SELL	6	83¢	$5	0x188599…
04-23 09:01:46	Will Anthropic provide Mythos to the US government by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	20¢	$3	0xf8f25b…
04-23 09:01:46	Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	82¢	$2	0x8e06cc…
04-23 09:01:46	Will USD fall to 1.5M Iranian rials by April 30?	Yes	SELL	8	42¢	$3	0x6ac87e…
04-23 09:01:46	Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	29¢	$4	0x578e09…
04-23 09:01:44	Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	Yes	SELL	7	26¢	$2	0xc426a3…
04-23 09:01:44	Will Solana dip to $70 in April?	Yes	SELL	16	5¢	$1	0xa50478…
04-23 09:01:44	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	21¢	$3	0x2fc57a…
04-23 09:01:44	Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 April 20-26?	Yes	SELL	17	4¢	$1	0x15dfe5…
04-23 09:01:42	Will Michelle Milthorpe win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?	Yes	SELL	17	35¢	$6	0x8b1cb9…
04-23 09:01:42	Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	17	45¢	$8	0x75c3f0…
04-23 09:01:42	Will Denmark be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	47¢	$9	0x14494b…
04-23 09:01:42	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	68¢	$11	0x0b70ce…
04-23 09:01:42	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?	Yes	SELL	18	18¢	$3	0x01a138…
04-23 09:01:40	Will Kelp DAO socialize the losses?	Yes	SELL	20	11¢	$2	0xbb2bf2…
04-23 09:01:40	Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?	Yes	SELL	19	16¢	$3	0x892b35…
04-23 09:01:40	Pakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by April 30?	Yes	SELL	18	14¢	$3	0x7a0ba7…
04-23 09:01:40	Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	Yes	SELL	0	6¢	$0	0x67a5f4…
04-23 09:01:40	Will Jasmine Clark be the Democratic nominee for GA-13?	Yes	SELL	19	74¢	$14	0x1277d5…
04-23 09:01:38	Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0xce6147…
04-23 09:01:38	Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	Yes	SELL	15	6¢	$1	0xb05952…
04-23 09:01:38	Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	21	3¢	$1	0x6f08f1…
04-23 09:01:38	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	30¢	$7	0x69d18b…
04-23 09:01:38	Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?	Yes	SELL	21	12¢	$2	0x58fbb9…
04-23 09:01:38	Will Russia capture Pokrovka by April 30?	Yes	SELL	15	9¢	$1	0x4fffdf…
04-23 09:01:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?	Yes	SELL	15	6¢	$1	0x3b0320…
04-23 09:01:36	Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	5¢	$0	0xf43fca…
04-23 09:01:36	Will Sharif Street be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?	Yes	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0xc53c6c…
04-23 09:01:36	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	SELL	24	27¢	$7	0x3c2615…
04-23 09:01:34	Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	36¢	$9	0xf28c74…
04-23 09:01:34	Will there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	11¢	$3	0xb03bf8…
04-23 09:01:34	white house of tweets april 17 april 24 2026 120 139	Yes	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x79dc73…
04-23 09:01:34	Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	25	52¢	$13	0x3b85bc…
04-23 09:01:32	white house of tweets april 17 april 24 2026 120 139	Yes	SELL	22	21¢	$5	0x9eaa60…
04-23 09:01:32	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	Yes	SELL	29	9¢	$3	0x8e9d88…
04-23 09:01:32	Will Ukraine be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	35¢	$2	0x800995…
04-23 09:01:32	Will Jason Perry win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	29	22¢	$6	0x377e41…
04-23 09:01:32	Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by April 30?	Yes	SELL	29	13¢	$4	0x0b95db…
04-23 09:01:30	Will Trump visit Pakistan by April 30?	Yes	SELL	30	3¢	$1	0xf5f28f…
04-23 09:01:30	Will OpenAI have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	SELL	26	13¢	$3	0x8c3f32…
04-23 09:01:30	Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	31	17¢	$5	0x7765a2…
04-23 09:01:30	Will gas hit (Low) $3.85 by April 30?	Yes	SELL	18	6¢	$1	0x13d6ce…
04-23 09:01:28	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 260 279	Yes	SELL	31	2¢	$1	0xfd0fd3…
04-23 09:01:28	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.40 in April?	Yes	SELL	31	4¢	$1	0xd93418…
04-23 09:01:28	Will David Scott be the Democratic nominee for GA-13?	Yes	SELL	17	2¢	$0	0x9dc6cb…
04-23 09:01:28	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	7¢	$2	0x0da18e…
04-23 09:01:26	Will Trump praise Allah again by April 30?	Yes	SELL	45	12¢	$5	0xa57aaf…
04-23 09:01:26	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	18¢	$7	0x8377b7…
04-23 09:01:26	Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by April 30?	Yes	SELL	33	12¢	$4	0x77cbfc…
04-23 09:01:26	Will Meta have the #3 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	Yes	SELL	27	0¢	$0	0x4a010e…
04-23 09:01:24	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in April?	Yes	SELL	50	19¢	$9	0xb6d908…
04-23 09:01:24	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	59	9¢	$5	0xa3376d…
04-23 09:01:24	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	SELL	50	16¢	$8	0x230c0c…
04-23 09:01:24	Will Peter Underwood win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	21	1¢	$0	0x0fa702…