Fluid-Promenade — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$14

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

40.9%

Resolved

Trades

177

lifetime

Volume

$448

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-08

last 06-04 13:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 52% $-14

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	2	$22	1,519	0	+1,519	Down	$-22	05-11 18:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	3	$18	445	0	+445	Up	$-18	05-11 18:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	1	$16	44	0	+44	Down	$-16	05-11 18:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	4	$14	16	0	+16	open	—	05-16 15:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	3	$12	16	0	+16	Up	$-0	05-10 22:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	3	$12	12	0	+12	open	—	05-16 15:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	3	$11	66	0	+66	Up	+$55	05-10 13:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-09 21:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	2	$10	19	0	+19	Up	$-2	05-11 17:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	2	$9	10	0	+10	open	—	05-18 11:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	2	$8	20	0	+20	open	—	05-16 17:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	1	$8	8	0	+8	Up	+$0	05-10 22:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	2	$7	10	0	+10	open	—	05-16 17:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	2	$7	8	0	+8	open	—	05-17 13:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	3	$6	6	3	+3	Up	+$1	05-13 09:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	1	$6	9	0	+9	open	—	05-17 16:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	2	$5	7	0	+7	Up	$-5	05-11 17:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Up	+$5	05-10 12:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	1	$5	167	0	+167	Down	$-5	05-08 21:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	1	$5	11	0	+11	Up	+$6	05-09 21:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Up	+$3	05-11 18:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	1	$5	12	0	+12	Down	$-5	05-10 21:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	$-5	05-09 11:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	05-16 14:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	$-5	05-12 21:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	1	$5	36	0	+36	open	—	05-17 14:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	1	$5	17	0	+17	Down	$-5	05-10 13:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	1	$5	19	0	+19	Up	+$14	05-08 08:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	05-16 15:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	05-16 14:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-04 13:06:37	btc updown 5m 1780578300	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x64e460…
06-04 11:20:16	btc updown 5m 1780572000	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xc0c3d8…
06-03 20:55:48	btc updown 5m 1780520100	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x2ade5f…
06-03 20:47:03	btc updown 5m 1780519500	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x6dd514…
06-03 13:40:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x18d85b…
06-03 13:38:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xaa74e2…
06-03 09:46:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x2848c4…
06-03 09:40:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xfacd69…
06-03 09:39:18	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x99f1f8…
06-02 11:41:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xd03579…
06-02 10:13:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xdc44ec…
06-02 10:08:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x1d5e88…
06-02 10:07:29	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf050cc…
06-02 10:03:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xfd8290…
05-19 08:24:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x76ef18…
05-18 20:35:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xedbd02…
05-18 20:34:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x60eda0…
05-18 20:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x7179fa…
05-18 20:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x644817…
05-18 20:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x30081d…
05-18 20:33:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x7d4be6…
05-18 15:21:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x9a9f52…
05-18 15:20:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x9d2aa4…
05-18 15:16:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x2b0953…
05-18 15:12:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xafd3e0…
05-18 15:11:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x91a77e…
05-18 15:06:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x528780…
05-18 15:05:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x4831be…
05-18 15:01:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x2b9de6…
05-18 15:01:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xab4240…
05-18 15:01:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xf6805c…
05-18 15:00:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x4f5bfd…
05-18 14:57:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x6f9794…
05-18 14:35:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xcb3e86…
05-18 14:26:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x4cc134…
05-18 14:26:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xfb4a77…
05-18 14:21:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x9dcf7a…
05-18 14:21:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x8c8809…
05-18 14:21:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x98e68f…
05-18 14:16:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x061c79…
05-18 14:16:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x7be38d…
05-18 14:16:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x022e66…
05-18 11:58:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x26c7bf…
05-18 11:40:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xa02178…
05-18 11:39:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xaba39a…
05-18 11:26:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x8b47ab…
05-18 11:17:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	7	89¢	$6	0x249bd5…
05-18 11:17:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0xfce22e…
05-18 10:31:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x70ca84…
05-18 10:27:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xa690d7…
05-18 10:20:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x7c15bd…
05-18 10:17:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x09c2e4…
05-18 10:16:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xaf9088…
05-18 10:12:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x0d2dfa…
05-17 16:42:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0xa4ca29…
05-17 14:21:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x926a31…
05-17 14:20:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x144e00…
05-17 14:11:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x2e8fe4…
05-17 14:01:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xe1791f…
05-17 13:55:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xbf43b8…
05-17 13:51:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x0bfc78…
05-17 13:50:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x24b33b…
05-17 13:46:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xf44d5a…
05-17 13:41:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xd27cca…
05-17 13:36:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xaeda8c…
05-17 13:35:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x4cd6ad…
05-17 13:31:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x7bfda9…
05-16 17:35:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x8abefa…
05-16 17:35:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x01d19e…
05-16 17:22:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xff6874…
05-16 17:15:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x4c3ce4…
05-16 17:07:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x828b9b…
05-16 17:07:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x07c6e6…
05-16 16:51:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xd6e07e…
05-16 15:58:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xae1e64…
05-16 15:56:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x35ab0a…
05-16 15:54:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x91f808…
05-16 15:48:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xb3cb05…
05-16 15:47:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x4a1e94…
05-16 15:47:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0x313ab6…
05-16 15:46:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0xdbfd09…
05-16 15:38:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x9a7cb4…
05-16 15:33:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xcb9b95…
05-16 15:33:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x7e8c73…
05-16 15:33:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xa29752…
05-16 14:57:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x1f82d3…
05-16 14:56:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xa559db…
05-16 14:53:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xe92495…
05-16 14:45:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x2025cc…
05-16 14:41:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x6b7261…
05-16 14:39:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x16cdad…
05-16 14:32:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x3901b5…
05-16 14:27:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x938d56…
05-15 17:15:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x3e9fe3…
05-15 17:13:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xa5a475…
05-15 16:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x82cdc0…
05-14 15:40:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xbbf6e9…
05-14 15:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xa68d0b…
05-14 15:30:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x69503b…
05-14 15:21:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x8a109a…