Compassionate-Trolley — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$44

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.5%

Resolved

Trades

172

lifetime

Volume

$1.18K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-10 09:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 59% $-43

Other

0% 0% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 122 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	8	$95	267	67	+200	Down	$-5	05-07 08:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	8	$86	57	57	+0	Down	+$6	05-07 09:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	8	$83	48	48	+0	Up	+$3	05-07 08:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	6	$65	66	66	+0	Up	+$5	05-07 09:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	6	$65	42	42	+0	Down	+$5	05-07 08:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	4	$49	33	33	+0	Down	+$9	05-07 07:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	6	$45	30	30	+0	Down	+$1	05-07 09:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	4	$43	45	45	+0	Down	+$3	05-07 08:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	3	$36	27	16	+10	Up	+$5	05-07 06:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	3	$36	57	29	+28	Up	$-4	05-07 10:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	4	$32	33	0	+33	Up	+$1	05-06 11:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	3	$31	33	18	+15	Up	$-9	05-07 09:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	3	$31	93	22	+71	Up	$-9	05-07 09:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	4	$30	27	27	+0	Up	+$6	05-07 08:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	2	$28	20	20	+0	Down	+$8	05-07 07:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	2	$27	18	18	+0	Down	+$7	05-07 07:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	2	$26	18	18	+0	Up	+$6	05-07 10:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	4	$25	13	13	+0	Up	+$1	05-07 07:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	3	$23	13	13	+0	Up	+$1	05-07 06:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	2	$22	16	16	+0	Up	+$2	05-07 08:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	2	$21	11	11	+0	Up	+$1	05-07 07:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	2	$20	23	23	+0	Down	$-0	05-07 10:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	4	$13	14	0	+14	Up	+$1	05-07 06:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	2	$12	50	50	+0	Up	$-8	05-07 10:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	1	$10	141	0	+141	Down	$-10	05-07 09:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	1	$10	14	0	+14	Up	$-10	05-07 08:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	1	$10	15	0	+15	Down	$-10	05-06 18:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3PM ET	1	$10	21	0	+21	Up	$-10	05-06 19:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	1	$10	18	0	+18	Up	$-10	05-08 10:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	1	$10	12	0	+12	Down	$-10	05-07 07:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 09:54:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x6c4839…
05-10 09:49:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x114381…
05-10 09:41:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x38f8fa…
05-08 20:35:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	12	45¢	$5	0x83abc8…
05-08 13:22:46	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	Yes	SELL	4	23¢	$1	0xc8d564…
05-08 13:22:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	4	27¢	$1	0x0bcb0a…
05-08 10:39:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x0e892d…
05-07 23:09:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xac8d4d…
05-07 23:09:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x3c2c0c…
05-07 22:59:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x43d116…
05-07 11:15:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x0c0e98…
05-07 11:14:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	SELL	12	1¢	$0	0x8853f0…
05-07 11:11:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xa0a639…
05-07 11:08:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xa5c0ea…
05-07 11:08:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	SELL	3	72¢	$2	0x2840a4…
05-07 11:07:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x0ceeaf…
05-07 10:43:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	18	91¢	$16	0x455d6f…
05-07 10:40:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xe3d071…
05-07 10:36:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x3918ee…
05-07 10:35:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	SELL	29	54¢	$16	0x19ad2f…
05-07 10:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x5c3830…
05-07 10:32:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0xa1bddd…
05-07 10:28:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x558018…
05-07 10:24:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	SELL	4	93¢	$3	0xcf704f…
05-07 10:20:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x1eedf2…
05-07 10:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	SELL	23	44¢	$10	0xe11fef…
05-07 10:05:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xff6e4c…
05-07 10:04:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	SELL	50	3¢	$2	0x95aeed…
05-07 10:03:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x948568…
05-07 09:54:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	SELL	11	97¢	$11	0x051678…
05-07 09:52:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xd509ad…
05-07 09:52:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	SELL	14	88¢	$12	0x19192c…
05-07 09:51:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xe265f2…
05-07 09:51:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	SELL	14	73¢	$10	0xc5cd09…
05-07 09:50:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x46e3f4…
05-07 09:50:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	SELL	18	71¢	$13	0xdf8aa6…
05-07 09:50:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xcacb01…
05-07 09:48:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x37e67c…
05-07 09:46:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	SELL	22	51¢	$11	0x9064a8…
05-07 09:45:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xacb098…
05-07 09:43:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	11	85¢	$10	0xed679f…
05-07 09:43:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xd4e769…
05-07 09:43:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	14	77¢	$11	0xa1447e…
05-07 09:43:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x88b735…
05-07 09:42:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	4	57¢	$2	0x0a42f2…
05-07 09:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xf33262…
05-07 09:21:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	141	7¢	$10	0x097610…
05-07 09:18:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	SELL	29	48¢	$14	0x46d8c5…
05-07 09:17:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x21f66b…
05-07 09:16:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	SELL	17	56¢	$10	0x558a14…
05-07 09:16:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xb112e6…
05-07 09:15:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	SELL	20	56¢	$11	0xb39e86…
05-07 09:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x3c82f3…
05-07 09:12:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	74¢	$2	0xae3729…
05-07 09:12:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x791d61…
05-07 09:06:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xcc42d0…
05-07 09:06:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	SELL	18	63¢	$11	0xbb3cb4…
05-07 09:05:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xd808f1…
05-07 08:46:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xd6ab71…
05-07 08:42:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x0849e9…
05-07 08:39:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0xb63aca…
05-07 08:38:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	SELL	11	91¢	$10	0x1f8257…
05-07 08:38:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x409219…
05-07 08:38:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	SELL	16	80¢	$13	0xf4b3af…
05-07 08:37:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x4e500f…
05-07 08:36:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	SELL	40	55¢	$22	0xb306c9…
05-07 08:36:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xf3e68a…
05-07 08:36:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xeb7574…
05-07 08:34:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	SELL	16	67¢	$10	0x99cc5c…
05-07 08:33:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x07f322…
05-07 08:33:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	SELL	29	44¢	$13	0x3dc684…
05-07 08:31:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xb7fe73…
05-07 08:29:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	16	74¢	$12	0x8379ea…
05-07 08:25:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x26f122…
05-07 08:24:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	SELL	7	68¢	$4	0x4ee73a…
05-07 08:23:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xdde5e5…
05-07 08:21:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	SELL	20	66¢	$13	0xeadc07…
05-07 08:20:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x84bcf1…
05-07 08:19:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x80da3f…
05-07 08:19:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd4257d…
05-07 08:18:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	SELL	15	91¢	$14	0xe653e0…
05-07 08:17:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x50ac80…
05-07 08:17:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	SELL	17	64¢	$11	0xc5af93…
05-07 08:16:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xcbfd1b…
05-07 08:09:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x2b87de…
05-07 08:09:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xd5abc0…
05-07 08:09:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	SELL	12	96¢	$11	0x48b2b9…
05-07 08:09:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xf0ea44…
05-07 08:08:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	SELL	12	90¢	$11	0xdc9d5c…
05-07 08:08:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	SELL	14	79¢	$11	0x67a724…
05-07 08:08:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x52f38e…
05-07 08:06:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xd2a80c…
05-07 08:00:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x0c54c9…
05-07 07:59:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$10	0x9f7da0…
05-07 07:58:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0xd78566…
05-07 07:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x651328…
05-07 07:55:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x837db3…
05-07 07:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	SELL	20	94¢	$18	0x903db2…
05-07 07:50:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x56242a…
05-07 07:49:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	SELL	18	97¢	$17	0x8bbd5e…