Burly-Commerce — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$16

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

26.2%

Resolved

Trades

179

lifetime

Volume

$592

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-24

last 05-12 05:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 22% $-14

Other

1% 0% $-1

Politics

0% — —

Sports

0% 0% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 73 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1777003800	2	$46	30	29	+1	open	—	04-24 04:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	7	$44	37	22	+14	open	—	04-25 05:45
btc updown 5m 1777029600	5	$39	30	29	+1	open	—	04-24 11:23
btc updown 5m 1777030200	5	$35	32	31	+1	open	—	04-24 11:33
btc updown 5m 1777029900	5	$34	39	32	+7	open	—	04-24 11:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	9	$23	43	30	+13	open	—	04-25 06:04
btc updown 5m 1777047600	5	$22	26	19	+7	open	—	04-24 16:24
btc updown 5m 1777004100	4	$21	30	22	+8	open	—	04-24 04:19
btc updown 5m 1777017000	1	$16	34	0	+34	open	—	04-24 07:51
btc updown 5m 1777016700	1	$16	17	0	+17	open	—	04-24 07:49
btc updown 5m 1777003500	4	$14	21	20	+1	open	—	04-24 04:09
btc updown 5m 1777004400	2	$14	10	9	+0	open	—	04-24 04:23
btc updown 5m 1777030500	5	$12	54	0	+54	open	—	04-24 11:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	7	$12	21	20	+1	open	—	04-25 05:49
btc updown 5m 1777010100	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	04-24 05:48
btc updown 5m 1777012200	1	$10	19	0	+19	open	—	04-24 06:26
btc updown 5m 1777009800	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	04-24 05:48
btc updown 5m 1777030800	2	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	04-24 11:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	6	$10	15	14	+1	open	—	04-28 07:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	5	$10	13	8	+6	open	—	04-29 06:59
btc updown 5m 1777002000	1	$8	41	0	+41	open	—	04-24 03:43
btc updown 5m 1777012500	1	$8	16	0	+16	open	—	04-24 06:26
btc updown 5m 1777047900	6	$8	25	24	+1	open	—	04-24 16:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	3	$7	11	8	+3	open	—	04-29 06:45
btc updown 5m 1777000800	4	$7	96	0	+96	open	—	04-24 03:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	6	$7	18	13	+4	Down	$-1	05-07 03:04
btc updown 5m 1777001100	3	$7	79	0	+79	open	—	04-24 03:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	4	$6	19	0	+19	Down	$-6	05-12 02:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	5	$6	27	4	+23	open	—	05-04 04:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	5	$5	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	05-07 03:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 05:47:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xb4a6b0…
05-12 02:35:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x68458f…
05-12 02:35:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xe748ba…
05-12 02:35:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x6deae4…
05-12 02:34:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x061d5f…
05-12 02:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x0d328c…
05-12 02:32:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x7d079c…
05-12 02:30:26	Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x239b44…
05-07 03:25:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xef258f…
05-07 03:21:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xecea98…
05-07 03:21:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x8c8e2f…
05-07 03:19:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x2718c6…
05-07 03:19:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	SELL	2	31¢	$0	0xf5c280…
05-07 03:18:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	SELL	3	56¢	$2	0xf6f029…
05-07 03:15:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x76eadc…
05-07 03:15:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x0eaca5…
05-07 03:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	8	22¢	$2	0x48b901…
05-07 03:13:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x5fdaa1…
05-07 03:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xa0b128…
05-07 03:11:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x3af8e2…
05-07 03:09:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0x2a243c…
05-07 03:09:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x31e82c…
05-07 03:08:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x6124a6…
05-07 03:08:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x37760a…
05-07 03:04:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	SELL	4	25¢	$1	0x734cc5…
05-07 03:04:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	SELL	9	24¢	$2	0x55e5fa…
05-07 03:02:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xbec5f3…
05-07 03:01:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xb4ab61…
05-07 03:01:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xab31be…
05-07 03:00:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x682d07…
05-04 04:20:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xa805cf…
05-04 04:18:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xefba47…
05-04 04:18:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xac98a3…
05-04 04:17:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x205784…
05-04 04:17:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	SELL	4	46¢	$2	0x544c05…
05-04 04:17:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x1641ee…
04-29 07:04:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x0091b2…
04-29 07:03:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xda122b…
04-29 06:59:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x4be0e0…
04-29 06:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0x6943d4…
04-29 06:58:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x36f67c…
04-29 06:58:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	SELL	2	86¢	$2	0xf4273d…
04-29 06:57:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xd0eae0…
04-29 06:52:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	22	6¢	$1	0xa5829c…
04-29 06:51:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0x6c80b9…
04-29 06:49:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x3a357e…
04-29 06:46:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xae198a…
04-29 06:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	8	50¢	$4	0x4bef9d…
04-29 06:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	6	24¢	$2	0xd39d2d…
04-29 06:40:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x5437d5…
04-29 06:39:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0xe7ce53…
04-29 06:38:40	Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x3f127f…
04-28 07:36:44	Will Trump say "N Word" in April?	Yes	BUY	57	2¢	$1	0xe4004e…
04-28 07:31:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x10059c…
04-28 07:31:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xaccc7c…
04-28 07:30:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x4c3967…
04-28 07:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x307039…
04-28 07:28:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0x4b98b0…
04-28 07:28:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xbb7d94…
04-28 07:27:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	4	67¢	$3	0x129a87…
04-28 07:27:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xdbb16c…
04-28 07:25:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xdd45cd…
04-28 07:23:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x611c4c…
04-28 07:15:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x9f777f…
04-28 07:13:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x4caf05…
04-25 06:14:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x842e1e…
04-25 06:13:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x66e721…
04-25 06:13:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x8afa7a…
04-25 06:13:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x8f265d…
04-25 06:13:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x9ca714…
04-25 06:07:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x86c9b7…
04-25 06:06:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xbc9b0c…
04-25 06:05:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x2075e8…
04-25 06:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	SELL	10	49¢	$5	0x4590d0…
04-25 06:03:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	SELL	20	52¢	$11	0x9839d1…
04-25 06:01:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x00cd46…
04-25 06:01:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x3c1092…
04-25 06:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x20480f…
04-25 06:01:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x0ae19b…
04-25 06:00:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x2446a3…
04-25 06:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xbaa044…
04-25 06:00:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xfd5df6…
04-25 05:58:24	Will no listed leader be out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x7c090a…
04-25 05:57:54	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on April 26?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x5a62fc…
04-25 05:55:52	Will XRP reach $2.00 in April?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x3177c0…
04-25 05:55:14	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 25?	Yes	BUY	68	1¢	$1	0x1aa428…
04-25 05:54:44	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0xc6d672…
04-25 05:52:38	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x4c4bc1…
04-25 05:52:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xb3ed2e…
04-25 05:51:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xfa6142…
04-25 05:49:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	SELL	3	83¢	$2	0xe68c61…
04-25 05:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x133d2b…
04-25 05:49:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	SELL	12	36¢	$4	0x78740a…
04-25 05:48:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0xa57928…
04-25 05:47:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x59e0e2…
04-25 05:47:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x194e23…
04-25 05:46:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x305752…
04-25 05:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x70249d…
04-25 05:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	13	96¢	$13	0x8736b0…
04-25 05:43:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x1fadd0…